Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction

Kingdom Arena, Riyadh·Khalid Al-Turais 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-7.2%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Rest
24 days
Al-Ittihad FC Rest
26 days

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC: the result in context

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al-Ittihad FC 3-2 in the Pro League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.25
X
17%5.75
2
11%8.25
Double Chance
1X
89%1.05
X2
28%3.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.60
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.19 + 1.09 = 3.28
Over 1.5
87%1.06
Over 2.5
69%1.30
Over 3.5
50%1.84
Under 1.5
13%7.00
Under 2.5
31%3.25
Under 3.5
50%1.88
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.3 + 3.4 = 10.7
Over 8.5
67%1.36
Over 9.5
56%1.68
Over 10.5
44%2.09
Under 8.5
33%2.67
Under 9.5
44%2.04
Under 10.5
56%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.7 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%1.80
Over 4.5
46%1.83
Under 3.5
35%1.91
Under 4.5
54%1.83

Match Events

11'Gabriel MartinelliAssist: Ollie Watkins
22'Youssef En-NesyriAssist: Marwan Al-Sahafi
30'Ollie Watkins
37'Rúben NevesDissent
38'Dion LopyFoul
45+3'Goal cancelledOllie Watkins
58'Marwan Al-Sahafi INGeorginio Wijnaldum out
64'Crysencio SummervilleAssist: Ollie Watkins
67'Saimon Bouabre INMohamed Kanno out
67'Theo Hernandez INMoteb Al-Harbi out
69'Faris Abdi INMuath Faquihi out
69'Muhannad Al-Shanqeeti INAhmed Al Julaydan out
73'Steven BergwijnFoul
81'Ollie Watkins INSultan Mandash out
81'Nasser Al-Dawsari INMurad Al Hawsawi out
83'Ahmed Al-Ghamdi INMukhtar Ali out
83'Houssem Aouar INSaleh Al-Shehri out
87'Penalty confirmedJan-Carlo Simić
89'Steven Bergwijn(Penalty)
90'Hassan Al-Tambakti INAli Lajami out
90+6'Predrag RajkovićDissent

Lineups

Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-4-2Coach: S. Inzaghi
Al-Ittihad FC
4-4-2Coach: Jens Wissing
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.34
Y. Bounou6.537Y. Bounou
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari6.82M. Mater Mohsin Mahzari
Hassan Tambakti6.387H. Tambakti
K. Koulibaly6.13K. Koulibaly
T. Hernández6.619T. Hernández
Saïmon Bouabré6.470S. Bouabré
Rúben Neves6.88R. Neves
Nasser Al Dawsari6.46N. Al Dawsari
C. Summerville7.338C. Summerville
Gabriel Martinelli8.27G. Martinelli
O. Watkins9.611O. Watkins
P. Rajković6.71P. Rajković
Muhannad Al Shanqiti6.313M. Al Shanqiti
Danilo Pereira6.42D. Pereira
J. Šimić6.84J. Šimić
F. Abdi6.025F. Abdi
Marwan Al Sahafi6.522M. Al Sahafi
D. Lopy6.230D. Lopy
Ahmed Al Ghamdi6.527A. Al Ghamdi
S. Bergwijn6.134S. Bergwijn
H. Aouar6.410H. Aouar
Y. En-Nesyri8.021Y. En-Nesyri

Al-Hilal Saudi FC Substitutes

27Sultan Mandash81'for Ollie Watkins6.6
18Murad Al Hawsawi81'for Nasser Al-Dawsari5.9
24Moteb Al Harbi67'for Theo Hernandez6.1
77Nawaf Al Habashi
33Mohammed Al Owais
96Suhayb Al Zaid
72S. Dahal
28Mohamed Kanno67'for Saimon Bouabre6.0
78Ali Lajami90'for Hassan Al-Tambakti

Al-Ittihad FC Substitutes

32Ahmed Al Julaydan69'for Muhannad Al-Shanqeeti6.0
6Saad Al Mosa
29Farhah Al Shamrani
11Saleh Al Shehri83'for Houssem Aouar6.3
8Mukhtar Ali83'for Ahmed Al-Ghamdi5.8
42Muath Faqeehi69'for Faris Abdi5.7
60Rakan Kaabi
50Mohammed Al Absi
23G. Wijnaldum58'for Marwan Al-Sahafi5.8

Match Stats

Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FC
48%Ball Possession52%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots0
14Fouls11
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
402Total Passes430
330Passes Accurate373
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
1946Elo Rating 1735
2.21Attack 2.12
1.99Defense 1.74
100%Hit Rate 50%
17.9Shots per Game 17.9
6.5Shots on Target 6.9
8.0Corners per Game 6.3
1.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+211 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.29 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1Wins · 10%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Pro League21/02/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FC
11
Pro League24/10/2025
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
02
Pro League22/02/2025
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
41
King's Cup07/01/2025
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FC
1131
Pro League21/09/2024
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FC
31
King's Cup30/04/2024
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
12
Super Cup11/04/2024
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
14
AFC Champions League12/03/2024
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
02
AFC Champions League05/03/2024
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FC
20
Pro League01/03/2024
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FC
31

Recent Form

Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC
8W1D1L
15/09/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Gharafa
21
W
12/09/2026
Al TaawonAl-Hilal Saudi FC
06
W
07/09/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCNEOM
02
L
04/09/2026
Al ShababAl-Hilal Saudi FC
02
W
01/09/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli Jeddah
30
W
28/08/2026
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Hilal Saudi FC
15
W
20/08/2026
Al-FayhaAl-Hilal Saudi FC
03
W
17/08/2026
Al-RaedAl-Hilal Saudi FC
02
W
14/08/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Faisaly FC
42
W
03/08/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl Ahli Doha
33
D
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
7W3D0L

Referee Profile

Khalid Al-Turais44 matches

4.15Cards per match
3.98Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Khalid Al-Turais4.15
Other referees4.09

4.15 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.09).

Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC forecast

As a derby, this Pro League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC in the Pro League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 1st in the Pro League, 4 points ahead of Al-Ittihad FC in 4th. League goal record so far: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 30-9, Al-Ittihad FC 20-10. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Hilal Saudi FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.