Al-Nassr vs NEOM Prediction

Al-Nassr
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
NEOM
Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh·Faisal Alblwi 20/10/2026
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
1-0
Finished
NEOMNEOM

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.41
SignalSOLIDModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.41
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Al-Nassr Rest
7 days
NEOM Rest
3 days

Al-Nassr vs NEOM: result, form and history

Al-Nassr beat NEOM 1-0 in the Pro League on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Faisal Alblwi averages 5.01 cards a game, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.41
X
20%4.61
2
12%6.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.10
X2
32%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.49 + 0.94 = 3.43
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
64%1.50
Over 3.5
44%2.33
Under 1.5
17%5.00
Under 2.5
36%2.47
Under 3.5
56%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 3.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.50
Over 9.5
59%1.90
Over 10.5
47%2.37
Under 8.5
30%2.35
Under 9.5
41%1.86
Under 10.5
53%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.83
Over 4.5
27%2.22
Under 3.5
54%1.83
Under 4.5
73%1.62

Match Events

28'Mohammed Al-DossariFoul
32'Georgios MasourasDissent
45+3'Penalty confirmedJoao Felix
45+5'Mohammed Al-BuraykDissent
45+6'Cristiano Ronaldo(Penalty missed)
56'Mohannad Abu TahaFoul
57'Abbas Al Hassan INValentín Vada out
57'Khalil Al-Absi INGeorgios Masouras out
61'Joao FelixAssist: Angelo Borges
63'Samu CostaFoul
72'Angelo Borges INAbdullah Al-Hamdan out
76'Mohammed Al-Dossari INHaroune Camara out
76'Mohannad Abu Taha INKhalifah Al-Dawsari out
77'Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari INFaisal Al-Ghamdi out
81'Ayman Yahya INAwad Aman out
90+1'Joao Felix INSami Al-Najei out
90+1'Sadio Mané INSaad Haqawi out

Lineups

Al-Nassr
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Postecoglou
NEOM
3-4-3Coach: C. Galtier
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.37
Bento6.624Bento
Nawaf Boushal7.512N. Boushal
Abdulelah Al Amri7.45A. Al Amri
Íñigo Martínez7.626Í. Martínez
Ayman Yahya7.223A. Yahya
Samú Costa7.211S. Costa
Abdullah Al Khaibari7.117A. Al Khaibari
Ângelo7.320Ângelo
João Félix8.279J. Félix
S. Mané7.010S. Mané
Cristiano Ronaldo6.47C. Ronaldo
M. Bułka6.31M. Bułka
Muhammad Al Dosari6.055M. Al Dosari
N. Zézé6.544N. Zézé
M. Sarr7.55M. Sarr
Mohammed Al Burayk6.02M. Al Burayk
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari6.415A. Al Oyayari
A. Al Hassan6.46A. Al Hassan
Mohannad Abu Taha5.619M. Abu Taha
Khalil Al Absi5.914K. Al Absi
A. Lacazette6.191A. Lacazette
S. Benrahma6.610S. Benrahma

Al-Nassr Substitutes

14Sami Al Naji90+1'for Joao Felix
9Abdullah Al Hamdan72'for Angelo Borges6.6
22Abdulhadi Al Alwan
6Saad Al Nasser
70Awad Aman81'for Ayman Yahya6.9
60Saad Haqawi90+1'for Sadio Mané
50Majed Qasheesh
46Yassine Gays Munsif Sallem
8Hayder Abdulkareem

NEOM Substitutes

23V. Vada57'for Abbas Al Hassan6.7
4Khalifah Al Dawsari76'for Mohannad Abu Taha6.6
8Faisal Al Ghamdi77'for Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari6.8
75Khalid Al Rammah
77Muhannad Al Saad
70Haroune Camara76'for Mohammed Al-Dossari6.4
33Abdulrahman Dagriri
27Islam Hawsawi
7G. Masouras32'57'for Khalil Al-Absi6.3

Match Stats

Al-NassrNEOM
58%Ball Possession42%
3Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards5
17Total Shots7
2Shots on Goal1
12Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
14Fouls18
3Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves1
479Total Passes344
393Passes Accurate255
18Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
NEOMNEOM
1867Elo Rating 1645
2.12Attack 1.34
1.97Defense 2.44
86%Hit Rate 44%
14.6Shots per Game 10.4
4.5Shots on Target 3.1
6.3Corners per Game 5.1
1.2Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+222 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.43 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NEOMNEOM
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Al-NassrAl-Nassr2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
NEOMNEOM0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Pro League07/03/2026
Al-NassrNEOM
10
Pro League08/11/2025
NEOMAl-Nassr
13

Referee Profile

Faisal Alblwi89 matches

5.01Cards per match
4.78Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Faisal Alblwi5.01
Other referees4.22

5.01 cards a match, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 86 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Nassr vs NEOM forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Nassr and NEOM in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al-Nassr are 2nd and NEOM 6th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Nassr 23-8, NEOM 16-9. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Nassr have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Al-Nassr and NEOM have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.