Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh Prediction

Al Diriyah
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Al Riyadh
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh·Abdullah Al-Harbi 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Al Diriyah Rest
2 days
Al Riyadh Rest
9 days

Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh: the result in context

Al Diriyah beat Al Riyadh 1-0 in the Pro League on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.66
X
27%3.73
2
22%4.60
Double Chance
1X
78%1.17
X2
49%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.76
No
47%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.05 = 2.68
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.82
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
47%1.94
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.39
Over 9.5
52%1.67
Over 10.5
40%2.07
Under 8.5
36%2.70
Under 9.5
48%2.10
Under 10.5
60%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.73
Over 4.5
33%2.30
Under 3.5
48%2.00
Under 4.5
67%1.57

Match Events

4'Sultan Al-EssaFoul
13'Óscar RodríguezAssist: Hussain Al-Sabiyani
45'Hussain Al-Sabiyani INAbdulaziz Al Faraj out
52'Teddy OkouFoul
59'Hassan Hashim Al-Ali INAwad Dahal out
59'Sultan Al-Essa INHussain Al Shurafa out
62'Lovro ChelfiFoul
64'Enzo MillotFoul
66'Lovro Chelfi INAdil Boulbina out
76'Hussam MajrashiFoul
80'Darwin Nuñez INMeshari Fahad Al Nemer out
80'Abdulelah Al-Malki INSultan Al-Farhan out
83'Hussam Majrashi INHussain Al-Raqwani out
88'Hussain Qasim INEssam Hassan Abdullah Bahri out
90+1'Clayton diandy INKhalid Al-Asiri out
90+2'Sultan Al-FarhanFoul

Lineups

Al Diriyah
4-3-3Coach: Bruno Lage
Al Riyadh
4-4-1-1Coach: Maurício Dulac
Avg rating7.19
Avg rating6.67
Amin Al Bukhari7.797A. Al Bukhari
T. Wadi7.212T. Wadi
B. Djimsiti7.519B. Djimsiti
C. Mbemba7.999C. Mbemba
Hussain Al Sibyani7.216H. Al Sibyani
Óscar Rodríguez8.214Ó. Rodríguez
Abdulelah Al Malki7.688A. Al Malki
E. Millot7.320E. Millot
L. Chelfi6.325L. Chelfi
D. Núñez6.629D. Núñez
C. Diandy6.717C. Diandy
M. Borjan8.182M. Borjan
Sultan Alessa6.52S. Alessa
Hossam Majrashi6.35H. Majrashi
R. Abascal7.126R. Abascal
Hussain Qasim6.723H. Qasim
T. Okou5.910T. Okou
V. Lekhal7.022V. Lekhal
K. Keita6.96K. Keita
H. Al Ali6.111H. Al Ali
B. Mensah7.243B. Mensah
Trézéguet6.67Trézéguet

Al Diriyah Substitutes

75Meshari Al Nemer80'for Darwin Nuñez6.9
2Abdulaziz Al Faraj45'for Hussain Al-Sabiyani7.4
78Khalid Al Asiri90+1'for Clayton diandy
52Hussain Al Qahtani
34Mansour Hibatullah Al Sibyani
10A. Boulbina66'for Lovro Chelfi6.8
21M. Hameran
87Qassem Lajami
6Sultan Al Farhan80'for Abdulelah Al-Malki90+2'6.6

Al Riyadh Substitutes

17Hussain Al-Raqwani83'for Hussam Majrashi6.3
19A. M. Al Harthi59'for Sultan Al-Essa6.4
14Essam Bahri88'for Hussain Qasim6.3
12Sulaiman Hazazi
32Awad Dahal59'for Hassan Hashim Al-Ali6.7
28J. Petek
79F. Al Jayzani
13Osama Al Bowardi
76Ahmed Al Anazi

Match Stats

Al DiriyahAl Riyadh
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots16
8Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal10
9Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls15
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves7
371Total Passes465
316Passes Accurate404
15Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Al DiriyahAl Diriyah
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
1601Elo Rating 1497
0.42Attack 1.07
1.77Defense 2.31
23%Hit Rate 44%
12.1Shots per Game 13.4
2.6Shots on Target 3.9
5.4Corners per Game 4.9
3.4Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+104 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Al DiriyahAl Diriyah
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)

Referee Profile

Abdullah Al-Harbi61 matches

4.60Cards per match
4.32Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abdullah Al-Harbi4.60
Other referees4.25

4.60 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).

Cards come from 57 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al Diriyah and Al Riyadh in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al Diriyah are 8th and Al Riyadh 11th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Al Diriyah 9-11, Al Riyadh 11-19. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Diriyah and Al Riyadh have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.