Aldershot Town vs Carlisle Prediction

Aldershot Town
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Carlisle
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseHighGap-10.1%
Aldershot Town Rest
3 days
Carlisle Rest
3 days

Aldershot Town vs Carlisle: result, form and history

Carlisle beat Aldershot Town 3-1 in the National League on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.45
X
25%3.80
2
48%1.85
Double Chance
1X
52%1.88
X2
73%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.46
No
39%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.61 = 3.04
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.52
Over 3.5
39%2.23
Under 1.5
19%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.45
Under 3.5
61%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'D. AjiboyeAssist: M. Azeez
28'D. AjiboyeAssist: J. Williams
32'E. Oladunjoye INT. Dyce out
41'B. Peart INJ. Matton out
62'J. Ellis
64'M. Dinanga INT. Abrahams out
70'T. Jenks INS. Wearne out
71'D. Ajiboye INM. Obiero out
74'B. Nicholson
76'K. Oshilaja
84'J. Williams INR. Galvin out
84'R. Linney INC. Whelan out
87'M. Stickland
89'D. Odusanya
90'J. Ellis INT. Anderson out
90+2'M. ObieroAssist: R. Galvin

Team Comparison

Aldershot TownAldershot Town
CarlisleCarlisle
1484Elo Rating 1618
1.82Attack 1.78
1.42Defense 2.34
39%Hit Rate 81%
-Shots per Game 22.0
-Shots on Target 10.0
-Corners per Game 11.0
-Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Aldershot TownAldershot Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CarlisleCarlisle
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Aldershot TownAldershot Town0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
CarlisleCarlisle2Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

National League10/03/2026
Aldershot TownCarlisle
02
National League13/09/2025
CarlisleAldershot Town
20

Recent Form

Aldershot TownAldershot Town
4W3D3L
29/09/2026
AFC HornchurchAldershot Town
21
L
26/09/2026
Aldershot TownTamworth
51
W
19/09/2026
BarrowAldershot Town
10
L
15/09/2026
Aldershot TownYeovil Town
11
D
12/09/2026
Solihull MoorsAldershot Town
12
W
08/09/2026
Aldershot TownWest Ham United U21
03
L
05/09/2026
Aldershot TownFC Halifax Town
10
W
31/08/2026
EastleighAldershot Town
11
D
28/08/2026
Aldershot TownHarrogate Town
31
W
22/08/2026
Kidderminster HarriersAldershot Town
11
D
CarlisleCarlisle
3W4D3L
29/09/2026
AFC FyldeCarlisle
02
W
26/09/2026
CarlisleWoking
25
L
19/09/2026
EastleighCarlisle
10
L
15/09/2026
CarlisleForest Green
11
D
12/09/2026
CarlisleSouthend
22
D
05/09/2026
Boreham WoodCarlisle
21
L
31/08/2026
CarlisleScunthorpe
42
W
28/08/2026
WealdstoneCarlisle
11
D
22/08/2026
CarlisleAFC Hornchurch
41
W
15/08/2026
Yeovil TownCarlisle
11
D

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood15132040:14+2641WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town15101432:21+1131LWWWW
3SouthendSouthend1585236:24+1229DDWWD
4Yeovil TownYeovil Town1584335:18+1728WLWWD
5WorthingWorthing1584332:22+1028DWWWD
6AltrinchamAltrincham1591522:20+228DWWLW
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1582527:23+426WLWLL
8BarrowBarrow1473425:18+724DWWWW
9CarlisleCarlisle1565428:21+723WWDWW
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1563626:20+621LDWWD
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1556416:14+221DLDDL
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1563617:21-421WLLDL
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1570817:23-621LLWLW
14WokingWoking1553724:24018LWLWL
15Forest GreenForest Green1353521:22-118DLDDL
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1553718:19-118LLLLL
17EastleighEastleigh1553718:24-618LWLLD
18TamworthTamworth1452725:31-617WLWWL
19WealdstoneWealdstone1543820:27-715LWLLD
20HartlepoolHartlepool15501015:23-815LWWLL
21Boston UnitedBoston United1543819:28-915WLLLD
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe14311018:28-1010LLLLW
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors15311117:39-2210WLLLW
24GatesheadGateshead1411129:33-244LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1540:1441
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1532:2131
3SouthendSouthend1536:2429
4Yeovil TownYeovil Town1535:1828
5WorthingWorthing1532:2228
6AltrinchamAltrincham1522:2028
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1527:2326
8BarrowBarrow1425:1824
9CarlisleCarlisle1528:2123
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1526:2021
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1516:1421
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1517:2121
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1517:2321
14WokingWoking1524:2418
15Forest GreenForest Green1321:2218
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1518:1918
17EastleighEastleigh1518:2418
18TamworthTamworth1425:3117
19WealdstoneWealdstone1520:2715
20HartlepoolHartlepool1515:2315
21Boston UnitedBoston United1519:2815
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1418:2810
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1517:3910
24GatesheadGateshead149:334
PromotionRelegation

About the Aldershot Town vs Carlisle forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aldershot Town and Carlisle in the National League table

In the National League table, Carlisle are 9th and Aldershot Town 16th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Aldershot Town 18-19, Carlisle 28-21. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Carlisle have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Aldershot Town and Carlisle have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.