Almagro vs Nueva Chicago Prediction

Almagro
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Nueva Chicago
Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Almagro Rest
7 days
Nueva Chicago Rest
5 days

Almagro vs Nueva Chicago: the result in context

Nueva Chicago beat Almagro 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.30
X
34%2.76
2
25%3.44
Double Chance
1X
74%1.26
X2
59%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.30
No
61%1.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 0.73 = 1.92
Over 1.5
57%1.62
Over 2.5
31%2.88
Over 3.5
14%6.50
Under 1.5
43%2.15
Under 2.5
69%1.36
Under 3.5
86%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'A. Gonzalez
8'I. AntunesAssist: L. Ambrogio
20'L. Ambrogio
23'T. Rodriguez
24'F. Bustamante
56'S. Chamorro
57'T. Ocampo ING. Vega out
62'G. Paz
62'J. Orlando INT. Dornell out
62'J. Flores ING. Asis out
75'F. Bustamante INT. Lopez out
75'J. Fernandes INJ. Bustos out
77'G. Paz INB. Palazzo out
79'D. Arroyo ING. Ferracutti out
80'D. Gissi
82'M. Perez INM. Rogoski out
82'L. Ambrogio INA. Ruiz out
85'E. Martinez INC. Salto out
90+3'N. Tolosa

Team Comparison

AlmagroAlmagro
Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago
1507Elo Rating 1481
1.22Attack 0.61
1.77Defense 1.95
36%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

AlmagroAlmagro
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AlmagroAlmagro5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional12/05/2026
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
12
Primera Nacional22/06/2024
AlmagroNueva Chicago
12
Primera Nacional03/02/2024
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
10
Primera Nacional14/07/2023
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
20
Primera Nacional12/03/2023
AlmagroNueva Chicago
00
Primera Nacional13/09/2022
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
23
Primera Nacional28/10/2018
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
00
Primera Nacional10/03/2018
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
24
Primera Nacional15/05/2017
AlmagroNueva Chicago
10
Primera Nacional16/10/2016
Nueva ChicagoAlmagro
01

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez361616434:16+1864DDWDD
2AtlantaAtlanta361951242:34+862DWLWW
3TemperleyTemperley361613743:31+1261DLDWW
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3616101053:49+458LLWDL
5MidlandMidland3615101143:29+1455DWLWD
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3614101243:34+952DWLDW
7ColegialesColegiales3614101236:32+452DDWDW
8Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3614101237:35+252LLWDL
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3613121142:36+651WDDDL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3611141139:37+247DLWLW
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3612101431:39-846WWLWD
13QuilmesQuilmes361291533:30+345WWLLD
14AlmagroAlmagro361191633:44-1142LDLWW
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes36692128:62-3427DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3634:1664
2AtlantaAtlanta3642:3462
3TemperleyTemperley3643:3161
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3653:4958
5MidlandMidland3643:2955
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3643:3452
7ColegialesColegiales3636:3252
8Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3637:3552
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3642:3651
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3639:3747
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3631:3946
13QuilmesQuilmes3633:3045
14AlmagroAlmagro3633:4442
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3628:6227
PromotionRelegation

About the Almagro vs Nueva Chicago forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Almagro and Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Almagro are 14th and Nueva Chicago 17th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Almagro 33-44, Nueva Chicago 25-34. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.