Quilmes vs Almagro Prediction

Quilmes
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Almagro
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes 09/08/2026
QuilmesQuilmes
1-1
Finished
AlmagroAlmagro

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.45
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseHighGap+7.9%
Quilmes Rest
3 days
Almagro Rest
4 days

Quilmes vs Almagro: the result in context

Quilmes and Almagro drew 1-1 in the Primera Nacional on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Almagro have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 1.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.54
X
34%3.40
2
18%6.65
Double Chance
1X
82%1.08
X2
52%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%2.50
No
66%1.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 0.78 = 1.88
Over 1.5
53%1.50
Over 2.5
30%2.50
Over 3.5
11%4.92
Under 1.5
47%2.44
Under 2.5
70%1.45
Under 3.5
89%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'A. Bindella
44'J. Orlando
46'F. De La Vega INE. Martinez out
46'A. Bindella INT. Ortega out
46'G. Vega INA. Lavezzi out
57'R. Martinez INN. Colazo out
58'F. Bustamante INT. Lopez out
58'C. Salto INJ. Bustos out
65'J. Yangali
65'U. Vera INJ. Coronel out
74'A. SpetaleAssist: A. Batista
77'J. Fernandes INT. Dornell out
77'E. Silcan INN. Tolosa out
78'J. Bustos
84'A. Spetale INA. Bolivar out
87'J. OrlandoAssist: J. Vitale

Team Comparison

QuilmesQuilmes
AlmagroAlmagro
1520Elo Rating 1507
0.82Attack 1.22
2.31Defense 1.77
41%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

QuilmesQuilmes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AlmagroAlmagro
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

QuilmesQuilmes1Wins · 13%
Draws225%
AlmagroAlmagro5Wins · 62%
1.9Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional21/03/2026
AlmagroQuilmes
10
Primera Nacional31/08/2025
AlmagroQuilmes
22
Primera Nacional27/04/2025
QuilmesAlmagro
01
Primera Nacional23/09/2022
QuilmesAlmagro
11
Primera Nacional11/12/2020
AlmagroQuilmes
01
Primera Nacional20/10/2019
AlmagroQuilmes
21
Primera Nacional23/09/2018
QuilmesAlmagro
01
Primera Nacional25/11/2017
QuilmesAlmagro
02

Recent Form

QuilmesQuilmes
4W3D3L
06/08/2026
QuilmesGimnasia Jujuy
20
W
01/08/2026
PatronatoQuilmes
33
D
27/07/2026
QuilmesColegiales
01
L
12/07/2026
MidlandQuilmes
10
L
04/07/2026
QuilmesAtlanta
21
W
20/06/2026
ColegialesQuilmes
31
L
13/06/2026
QuilmesGimnasia Y Tiro
10
W
07/06/2026
San Martin TucumanQuilmes
00
D
31/05/2026
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
20
W
24/05/2026
AgropecuarioQuilmes
00
D
AlmagroAlmagro
5W2D3L
05/08/2026
AlmagroGimnasia Y Tiro
02
L
01/08/2026
AlmagroMidland
11
D
28/07/2026
AtlantaAlmagro
13
W
12/07/2026
San Martin TucumanAlmagro
30
L
04/07/2026
AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
10
W
20/06/2026
AlmagroAtlanta
20
W
13/06/2026
AlmagroAgropecuario
21
W
07/06/2026
Tristan SuarezAlmagro
00
D
31/05/2026
AlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
20
W
24/05/2026
Chacarita JuniorsAlmagro
10
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2AtlantaAtlanta351941242:34+861WLWWW
3TemperleyTemperley351612741:29+1260LDWWL
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy351610952:44+858LWDLD
5MidlandMidland351591143:29+1454WLWDL
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu351491243:34+951WLDWW
8ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3512121137:35+248DDDLL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3511101429:38-943WLWDL
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes35682126:60-3426LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2AtlantaAtlanta3542:3461
3TemperleyTemperley3541:2960
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3552:4458
5MidlandMidland3543:2954
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3543:3451
8ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3537:3548
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3529:3843
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3526:6026
PromotionRelegation

About the Quilmes vs Almagro forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Quilmes and Almagro in the Primera Nacional table

In the Primera Nacional table, Quilmes (13th) and Almagro (14th) are level on 42 points. League goal record so far: Quilmes 32-30, Almagro 32-42. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.