San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin S.J. Prediction

Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
San Martin Tucuman Rest
8 days
San Martin S.J. Rest
8 days

San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin S.J.: the result in context

San Martin Tucuman and San Martin S.J. drew 1-1 in the Primera Nacional on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.10
X
33%2.80
2
20%3.92
Double Chance
1X
80%1.21
X2
54%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.40
No
61%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 0.74 = 1.95
Over 1.5
58%1.65
Over 2.5
30%3.00
Over 3.5
14%6.25
Under 1.5
42%2.11
Under 2.5
70%1.34
Under 3.5
86%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'A. Graneros
38'L. Monje
40'N. Ferreyra
45+1'S. Jaurena
52'G. Carabajal(Penalty)
55'F. CoronelAssist: F. Murillo
58'V. Salazar INJ. Juarez out
58'M. Rios INN. Castro out
68'L. Monje IND. A. Mercado Carrizo out
68'S. Gonzalez ING. Acosta out
72'A. Veliez INA. Cisnero out
73'B. Cabrera ING. Monroy out
79'S. Jaurena INR. Rumbolo out
81'G. Carabajal IND. Diellos out
90+1'F. Coronel INJ. Marchio out

Team Comparison

San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.
1554Elo Rating 1562
1.40Attack 0.86
1.53Defense 1.55
39%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3Wins · 43%
Draws343%
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.1Wins · 14%
1.6Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional21/03/2026
San Martin S.J.San Martin Tucuman
11
Primera Nacional31/08/2024
San Martin TucumanSan Martin S.J.
10
Primera Nacional14/04/2024
San Martin S.J.San Martin Tucuman
00
Primera Nacional22/08/2023
San Martin S.J.San Martin Tucuman
00
Primera Nacional09/04/2023
San Martin TucumanSan Martin S.J.
41
Primera Nacional28/07/2022
San Martin S.J.San Martin Tucuman
02
Copa Argentina02/03/2021
San Martin TucumanSan Martin S.J.
01

Recent Form

San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman
2W3D5L
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.
4W1D5L
01/08/2026
San Martin S.J.Atletico DE Rafaela
11
D
26/07/2026
AgropecuarioSan Martin S.J.
21
L
12/07/2026
Club Atlético GüemesSan Martin S.J.
02
W
05/07/2026
San Martin S.J.Chacarita Juniors
01
L
20/06/2026
San Martin S.J.Agropecuario
20
W
14/06/2026
Gimnasia JujuySan Martin S.J.
21
L
31/05/2026
TemperleySan Martin S.J.
21
L
23/05/2026
San Martin S.J.Deportivo Maipu
21
W
17/05/2026
AlmagroSan Martin S.J.
12
W
13/05/2026
PlatenseSan Martin S.J.
4030
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez361616434:16+1864DDWDD
2AtlantaAtlanta361951242:34+862DWLWW
3TemperleyTemperley361613743:31+1261DLDWW
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3616101053:49+458LLWDL
5MidlandMidland3615101143:29+1455DWLWD
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3614101243:34+952DWLDW
7ColegialesColegiales3614101236:32+452DDWDW
8Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3614101237:35+252LLWDL
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3613121142:36+651WDDDL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3611141139:37+247DLWLW
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3612111329:35-647DDWLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3612101431:39-846WWLWD
13QuilmesQuilmes361291533:30+345WWLLD
14Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors361261829:35-642WWWLW
15AlmagroAlmagro361191633:44-1142LDLWW
16PatronatoPatronato367171229:35-638DLLWL
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago369101725:36-1137LDLLL
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes36692128:62-3427DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3634:1664
2AtlantaAtlanta3642:3462
3TemperleyTemperley3643:3161
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3653:4958
5MidlandMidland3643:2955
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3643:3452
7ColegialesColegiales3636:3252
8Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3637:3552
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3642:3651
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3639:3747
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3629:3547
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3631:3946
13QuilmesQuilmes3633:3045
14Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3629:3542
15AlmagroAlmagro3633:4442
16PatronatoPatronato3629:3538
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3625:3637
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3628:6227
PromotionRelegation

About the San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin S.J. forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Martin Tucuman and San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional table

San Martin S.J. and San Martin Tucuman are close in the Primera Nacional table, 9th and 10th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: San Martin Tucuman 39-37, San Martin S.J. 42-36. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.