Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano Prediction

Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel35%SurpriseHighGap+4.3%
Atletico DE Rafaela Rest
6 days
Defensores De Belgrano Rest
5 days

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano: the result in context

Atletico DE Rafaela and Defensores De Belgrano drew 0-0 in the Primera Nacional on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%3.01
X
34%2.60
2
21%2.75
Double Chance
1X
79%1.40
X2
54%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.50
No
62%1.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 0.72 = 2.00
Over 1.5
58%1.75
Over 2.5
29%3.30
Over 3.5
15%7.10
Under 1.5
42%1.97
Under 2.5
71%1.29
Under 3.5
85%1.07
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'L. Flores
21'A. Obando
31'E. Aguirre
59'F. Jourdan INM. Pardo out
59'M. Quiroga INA. Rodriguez out
68'J. Cavallaro INM. Morello out
71'A. Benitez INP. Moyano out
74'I. Gutierrez IND. Garcia out
79'D. Garcia
82'P. Moyano
87'J. Capurro INL. Moscoloni out
87'A. Obando INM. Fernandez out
87'E. Gonzalez INN. Borsotti out
87'J. Ardaiz INF. Tcherkaski out
87'E. Aguirre INL. Ciccolini out

Team Comparison

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
1533Elo Rating 1493
1.22Attack 0.53
1.05Defense 1.76
41%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional30/03/2026
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
11
Primera Nacional25/08/2024
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
Primera Nacional07/04/2024
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
01
Primera Nacional31/10/2023
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
10
Primera Nacional11/07/2022
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
11
Primera Nacional15/08/2021
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
20
Primera Nacional03/04/2021
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
00
Primera Nacional03/01/2021
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
20
Primera Nacional22/02/2020
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
13
Primera Nacional31/08/2019
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
22

Recent Form

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
3W3D4L
08/08/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaChacarita Juniors
10
W
01/08/2026
San Martin S.J.Atletico DE Rafaela
11
D
25/07/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaNueva Chicago
10
W
18/07/2026
TemperleyAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L
11/07/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaDeportivo Maipu
13
L
04/07/2026
AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
10
L
23/06/2026
Nueva ChicagoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
14/06/2026
PatronatoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
06/06/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaColegiales
10
W
31/05/2026
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026

Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste35198838:31+765LWDLW
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz35189851:32+1963WWDWD
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron351771151:37+1458LLLWL
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn351512851:31+2057WDLWD
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe351512843:27+1657WDDWD
6Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3513121029:24+551WDDLL
7Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar3513121030:31-151LWWWW
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes3513101235:34+149DLWLW
9Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3511101436:36043WLWDL
10Los AndesLos Andes359151127:26+142DDLLW
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3510101531:42-1140LLWDD
12Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano358151225:32-739DDLDL
13Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre358151231:42-1139LWDWL
14Central NorteCentral Norte357171123:31-838DWDDD
15All BoysAll Boys357171121:30-938WDDLD
16San TelmoSan Telmo359111529:41-1238LDLWW
17AcassusoAcassuso358101725:35-1034DDWLW
18San MiguelSan Miguel356151427:41-1433DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste3538:3165
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz3551:3263
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron3551:3758
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn3551:3157
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe3543:2757
6Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3529:2451
7Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar3530:3151
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes3535:3449
9Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3536:3643
10Los AndesLos Andes3527:2642
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3531:4240
12Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano3525:3239
13Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre3531:4239
14Central NorteCentral Norte3523:3138
15All BoysAll Boys3521:3038
16San TelmoSan Telmo3529:4138
17AcassusoAcassuso3525:3534
18San MiguelSan Miguel3527:4133

Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2AtlantaAtlanta351941242:34+861WLWWW
3TemperleyTemperley351612741:29+1260LDWWL
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy351610952:44+858LWDLD
5MidlandMidland351591143:29+1454WLWDL
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu351491243:34+951WLDWW
8ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3512121137:35+248DDDLL
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3511101429:38-943WLWDL
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes35682126:60-3426LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2AtlantaAtlanta3542:3461
3TemperleyTemperley3541:2960
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3552:4458
5MidlandMidland3543:2954
6Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
7Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3543:3451
8ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3537:3548
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3529:3843
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3526:6026
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera Nacional

More Primera Nacional fixtures and forecasts are on the Primera Nacional Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.