Amed vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction

Amed
3-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Erzurumspor FK
Şilbe Spor Kompleksi, Diyarbakır·Halil Umut Meler, Türkiye 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+11.2%
Amed Rest
106 days
Erzurumspor FK Rest
30 days

Amed vs Erzurumspor FK: result, form and history

Amed beat Erzurumspor FK 3-0 in the Süper Lig on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Erzurumspor FK have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Amed tend to win more corners, 4.9 a game to 2.4 for Erzurumspor FK.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.25
X
27%3.40
2
27%3.00
Double Chance
1X
74%1.36
X2
54%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.63
No
47%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.18 = 2.47
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
42%1.84
Over 3.5
21%3.05
Under 1.5
28%3.70
Under 2.5
58%1.98
Under 3.5
79%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.5 = 8.7
Over 8.5
56%1.72
Over 9.5
43%2.18
Over 10.5
33%2.92
Under 8.5
44%2.02
Under 9.5
57%1.61
Under 10.5
67%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%1.75
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%2.00

Match Events

3'Goal cancelledFernando Andrade
53'Dia SabaAssist: Lumbardh Dellova
62'Dia SabaAssist: Gift Orban
64'Mbaye Diagne INSamuel Ballet out
64'Cem Üstündag INGökhan Gül out
64'Fernando Andrade INFesty Ebosele out
64'Sefa Akgün INGyrano Kerk out
70'Gökhan GülAssist: Samuel Ballet
75'Martín Rodríguez INMurat Cem Akpinar out
75'Mustafa Fettahoglu INNariman Akhundzade out
77'Yira Collins Sor INUmut Meraş out
77'Dia Saba INRayan Lutin out
82'Orhan Ovacıklı INİlkan Sever out
88'Gift Orban INMiraç Acer out
90+1'Rayan RavelosonFoul

Lineups

Amed
3-4-2-1Coach: Besnik Hasi
Erzurumspor FK
4-1-4-1Coach: Serkan Ozbalta
Avg rating7.23
Avg rating6.39
Alban Lafont7.240A. Lafont
Mehmet YeşilC7.221M. Yeşil
David Robert Bates7.54D. Robert Bates
Lumbardh Dellova8.35L. Dellova
Ermal Krasniqi7.27E. Krasniqi
Rayan Raveloson6.922R. Raveloson
Cem Üstündag7.36C. Üstündag
Yira Collins Sor6.711Y. Collins Sor
Dia Saba9.291D. Saba
Gift Orban7.099G. Orban
Mbaye Diagne6.245M. Diagne
Matija Orbanić6.331M. Orbanić
Orhan Ovacıklı6.953O. Ovacıklı
Amar Gerxhaliu6.54A. Gerxhaliu
Yakup Kırtay6.73Y. Kırtay
Nihad Mujakić6.018N. Mujakić
Brandon Baiye6.76B. Baiye
Fernando Andrade6.011F. Andrade
Martín Rodríguez5.665M. Rodríguez
Sefa Akgün6.78S. Akgün
Mustafa Fettahoglu6.099M. Fettahoglu
Eren TozluC6.310E. Tozlu

Amed Substitutes

18Gökhan Gül64'for Cem Üstündag70'7.3
10Samuel Ballet64'for Mbaye Diagne7.3
17Umut Meraş77'for Yira Collins Sor6.3
93Rayan Lutin77'for Dia Saba6.9
3Miraç Acer88'for Gift Orban
27Burak Bozan
33Amadou Cissé
47Kahraman Demirtaş
97Berk Kızıldemir
74Mohamed Khalil

Erzurumspor FK Substitutes

2Festy Ebosele64'for Fernando Andrade6.5
9Gyrano Kerk64'for Sefa Akgün6.5
5Murat Cem Akpinar75'for Martín Rodríguez6.7
90Nariman Akhundzade75'for Mustafa Fettahoglu6.6
7İlkan Sever82'for Orhan Ovacıklı6.3
1Ertuğrul Taşkıran
22Mustafa Yumlu
23Cengizhan Bayrak
15Guram Giorbelidze
45Mert Önal

Match Stats

AmedErzurumspor FK
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
13Total Shots5
5Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box2
6Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots0
10Fouls12
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
440Total Passes505
384Passes Accurate440
87%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

AmedAmed
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
1766Elo Rating 1737
2.36Attack 1.43
2.01Defense 2.31
81%Hit Rate 66%
17.1Shots per Game 9.1
5.4Shots on Target 2.7
4.9Corners per Game 2.4
4.4Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AmedAmed
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AmedAmed0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK3Wins · 75%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

1. Lig18/01/2026
Erzurumspor FKAmed
20
1. Lig18/08/2025
AmedErzurumspor FK
22
1. Lig16/03/2025
AmedErzurumspor FK
12
1. Lig03/11/2024
Erzurumspor FKAmed
20

Recent Form

AmedAmed
5W4D1L
02/05/2026
Iğdır FKAmed
33
D
26/04/2026
AmedBodrum FK
11
D
19/04/2026
BandırmasporAmed
20
L
13/04/2026
AmedÜmraniyespor
22
D
09/04/2026
Esenler EroksporAmed
11
D
05/04/2026
AmedBoluspor
61
W
22/03/2026
HataysporAmed
03
W
15/03/2026
AmedManisa F.K.
20
W
11/03/2026
İstanbulsporAmed
04
W
07/03/2026
AmedSerik Spor
10
W
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK
5W4D1L
17/07/2026
Erzurumspor FKRizespor
00
D
02/05/2026
Çorum FKErzurumspor FK
11
D
26/04/2026
Erzurumspor FKBandırmaspor
11
D
19/04/2026
Bodrum FKErzurumspor FK
11
D
13/04/2026
Erzurumspor FKBoluspor
20
W
09/04/2026
İstanbulsporErzurumspor FK
01
W
04/04/2026
Erzurumspor FKIğdır FK
21
W
22/03/2026
Esenler EroksporErzurumspor FK
02
W
15/03/2026
Erzurumspor FKHatayspor
30
W
11/03/2026
ÜmraniyesporErzurumspor FK
31
L

Referee Profile

Halil Umut Meler211 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Halil Umut Meler4.86
Other referees4.58

4.86 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray971119:12+722WWWLW
2AmedAmed962120:10+1020WWDWW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor961222:8+1419WWWWL
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe951323:8+1516LWWWD
6KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor950411:9+215WLLWL
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK94238:12-414WWDWL
9Çorum FKÇorum FK941418:15+313LWWLW
10GöztepeGöztepe933319:16+312WWWDD
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir932412:14-211LWDWL
13RizesporRizespor931511:15-410LLLDW
14KonyasporKonyaspor92256:9-38WLDDW
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor91178:21-134LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray919:1222
2AmedAmed920:1020
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor922:819
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe923:816
6KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
7KocaelisporKocaelispor911:915
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK98:1214
9Çorum FKÇorum FK918:1513
10GöztepeGöztepe919:1612
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir912:1411
13RizesporRizespor911:1510
14KonyasporKonyaspor96:98
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor98:214
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Amed vs Erzurumspor FK forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Amed and Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Amed are 2nd and Erzurumspor FK 8th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Amed 20-10, Erzurumspor FK 8-12. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Amed have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.