Samsunspor vs Göztepe Prediction

Samsunspor
3-3
Finished
HT 2-1
Göztepe
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun·Kadir Saglam, Türkiye 17/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Samsunspor Rest
16 days
Göztepe Rest
22 days

Samsunspor vs Göztepe: result, form and history

Samsunspor and Göztepe drew 3-3 in the Süper Lig on 17 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.20
X
28%3.25
2
32%3.25
Double Chance
1X
68%1.33
X2
60%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.73
No
42%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.33 = 2.75
Over 1.5
80%1.29
Over 2.5
56%1.95
Over 3.5
30%3.35
Under 1.5
20%3.35
Under 2.5
44%1.83
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.52
Over 9.5
53%1.92
Over 10.5
43%2.38
Under 8.5
36%2.32
Under 9.5
47%1.80
Under 10.5
57%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3.2 = 5.9
Over 3.5
78%-
Over 4.5
61%1.65
Under 3.5
22%-
Under 4.5
39%2.15

Match Events

-5'Juan Santos da SilvaArgument
3'A. Matos
17'Alex MatosFoul
25'Penalty confirmedSaikuba Jarju
30'Marius(Penalty)
43'E. KilincAssist: J. Mendes
46'S. Armstrong
52'Toni BorevkovićArgument
52'Sinclair ArmstrongArgument
55'Penalty confirmedMarius Mouandilmadji
56'AllanFoul
58'Marius Mouandilmadji(Penalty missed)
60'A. Antunes INE. Bekiroglu out
60'A. Matos INRhaldney out
61'S. Armstrong INJuan Santos out
61'Andre Henrique INJanderson out
65'E. BekirogluAssist: Janderson
70'Marius INF. Kaya out
78'S. Jarju INA. Sekongo out
78'Y. Kayan INS. Onur out
90'C. YukselAssist: F. Kaya
90+2'A. Kurtulan INO. Bayrak out

Lineups

Samsunspor
4-3-3Coach: Thorsten Fink
Göztepe
3-4-1-2Coach: Stanimir Stoilov
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.69
O. Kocuk6.21O. Kocuk
J. Mendes6.92J. Mendes
T. Borevkovic6.324T. Borevkovic
A. B. Diabbate6.26A. B. Diabbate
L. Tomasson6.217L. Tomasson
A. Makoumbou6.229A. Makoumbou
C. Yuksel8.25C. Yuksel
Y. Kayan6.320Y. Kayan
S. Jarju6.730S. Jarju
Marius7.29Marius
E. KilincC8.211E. Kilinc
L. Gugeshashvili5.725L. Gugeshashvili
T. AltikardesC6.24T. Altikardes
Allan Godoi6.03A. Godoi
E. Yildirim6.213E. Yildirim
A. Kurtulan6.92A. Kurtulan
A. Matos7.56A. Matos
N. Miroshi6.920N. Miroshi
A. Cherni7.215A. Cherni
A. Antunes6.68A. Antunes
Andre Henrique6.57A. Henrique
S. Armstrong7.522S. Armstrong

Samsunspor Substitutes

25B. Bayazit
13E. Ustun
34G. Guarino
72M. Tan
23E. Albak
42A. Sekongo78'for S. Jarju6.5
8S. Onur78'for Y. Kayan7.2
70T. Bulbul
14F. Kaya70'for Marius6.6

Göztepe Substitutes

1A. Ozcimen
33S. Ozturk
16O. Bayrak90+2'for A. Kurtulan
10E. Bekiroglu60'for A. Antunes65'7.6
5Rhaldney60'for A. Matos7.0
11Guilherme Luiz
9Juan Santos-5'61'for S. Armstrong6.3
17G. Bayrakdar
39Janderson61'for Andre Henrique6.2

Match Stats

SamsunsporGöztepe
69%Ball Possession31%
4Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards4
21Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box6
11Blocked Shots7
8Fouls13
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves0
509Total Passes230
408Passes Accurate138
80%Pass Accuracy60%

Team Comparison

SamsunsporSamsunspor
GöztepeGöztepe
1610Elo Rating 1691
0.64Attack 2.46
0.09Defense 1.45
0%Hit Rate 50%
12.7Shots per Game 16.4
3.5Shots on Target 5.6
5.1Corners per Game 4.3
2.8Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SamsunsporSamsunspor
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
GöztepeGöztepe
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

SamsunsporSamsunspor3Wins · 43%
Draws114%
GöztepeGöztepe3Wins · 43%
2.7Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Süper Lig16/05/2026
SamsunsporGöztepe
30
Süper Lig21/12/2025
GöztepeSamsunspor
20
Süper Lig03/03/2025
GöztepeSamsunspor
22
Süper Lig28/09/2024
SamsunsporGöztepe
43
1. Lig07/04/2023
GöztepeSamsunspor
10
1. Lig06/11/2022
SamsunsporGöztepe
10
Türkiye Kupası29/12/2021
GöztepeSamsunspor
10

Recent Form

SamsunsporSamsunspor
6W1D3L
01/08/2026
KVC WesterloSamsunspor
12
W
29/07/2026
AEK Athens FCSamsunspor
12
W
25/07/2026
RAAL La LouvièreSamsunspor
00
D
22/07/2026
DunkerqueSamsunspor
21
L
16/05/2026
SamsunsporGöztepe
30
W
09/05/2026
BaşakşehirSamsunspor
30
L
02/05/2026
SamsunsporGalatasaray
41
W
27/04/2026
AlanyasporSamsunspor
23
W
23/04/2026
SamsunsporTrabzonspor
1030
L
19/04/2026
SamsunsporBeşiktaş
21
W
GöztepeGöztepe
5W4D1L
26/07/2026
GöztepeRudes
11
D
23/07/2026
Zorya LuhanskGöztepe
12
W
16/07/2026
LNZ CherkasyGöztepe
02
W
13/07/2026
HNK GoricaGöztepe
02
W
16/05/2026
SamsunsporGöztepe
30
L
09/05/2026
GöztepeGaziantep FK
21
W
02/05/2026
TrabzonsporGöztepe
11
D
25/04/2026
GöztepeAntalyaspor
20
W
18/04/2026
KocaelisporGöztepe
11
D
12/04/2026
GöztepeKasımpaşa
33
D

Referee Profile

Kadir Saglam133 matches

5.13Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kadir Saglam5.13
Other referees4.73

5.13 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray971119:12+722WWWLW
2AmedAmed962120:10+1020WWDWW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor961222:8+1419WWWWL
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe951323:8+1516LWWWD
6KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor950411:9+215WLLWL
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK94238:12-414WWDWL
9Çorum FKÇorum FK941418:15+313LWWLW
10GöztepeGöztepe933319:16+312WWWDD
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir932412:14-211LWDWL
13RizesporRizespor931511:15-410LLLDW
14KonyasporKonyaspor92256:9-38WLDDW
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor91178:21-134LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray919:1222
2AmedAmed920:1020
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor922:819
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe923:816
6KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
7KocaelisporKocaelispor911:915
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK98:1214
9Çorum FKÇorum FK918:1513
10GöztepeGöztepe919:1612
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir912:1411
13RizesporRizespor911:1510
14KonyasporKonyaspor96:98
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor98:214
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Samsunspor vs Göztepe forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Samsunspor and Göztepe in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Göztepe are 10th and Samsunspor 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Samsunspor 8-21, Göztepe 19-16. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Göztepe have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.