Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor Prediction

Başakşehir
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Kocaelispor
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul·Mehmet Turkmen, Türkiye 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalGOODModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Başakşehir Rest
17 days
Kocaelispor Rest
90 days

Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor: the result in context

Başakşehir beat Kocaelispor 2-0 in the Süper Lig on 16 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Başakşehir had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Kocaelispor.

Referee Mehmet Turkmen averages 3.81 cards a game, 1.03 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.60
X
23%3.77
2
15%5.65
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
38%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%1.92
No
75%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 0.76 = 2.62
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
50%1.95
Over 3.5
25%3.40
Under 1.5
26%3.31
Under 2.5
50%1.83
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.60
Over 9.5
53%2.00
Over 10.5
40%2.52
Under 8.5
38%2.17
Under 9.5
47%1.72
Under 10.5
60%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.1 = 3.6
Over 3.5
38%1.67
Over 4.5
16%2.15
Under 3.5
62%2.10
Under 4.5
84%1.65

Match Events

14'C. OperiAssist: A. Fayzullaev
27'Goal Disallowed - FoulE. Bayram
31'T. Bingol
51'A. Fayzullaev
63'A. Fayzullaev INY. Sari out
67'B. Kutlu INM. Altunbas out
72'E. ShomurodovAssist: A. Skov Olsen
75'B. Yildirim INU. Bozok out
75'E. Shomurodov IND. Selke out
76'T. Bingol INE. Ortakaya out
81'T. Zoukrou
85'D. Agyei INE. Bilim out
85'M. Baku INA. Ozyar out
89'A. Skov Olsen INH. Gureler out
89'J. Kaluzinski INO. Ergun out
90+2'O. Sahiner

Lineups

Başakşehir
4-2-3-1Coach: Nuri Sahin
Kocaelispor
4-3-3Coach: Selcuk Inan
Avg rating7.16
Avg rating6.57
Muhammed Şengezer7.916M. Şengezer
Ömer Ali ŞahinerC6.742Ö. Ali Şahiner
Emin Bayram7.023E. Bayram
Jerome Opoku7.23J. Opoku
Christopher Operi8.521C. Operi
Olivier Kemen6.98O. Kemen
Jakub Kałuziński7.718J. Kałuziński
Andreas Skov Olsen8.270A. Skov Olsen
Eldor Shomurodov7.314E. Shomurodov
Abbosbek Fayzullaev6.911A. Fayzullaev
Bertuğ Yıldırım6.591B. Yıldırım
Serhat Öztaşdelen7.283S. Öztaşdelen
Rigoberto Rivas6.599R. Rivas
Tanguy Zoukrou6.34T. Zoukrou
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel6.52A. Jamal Dijksteel
Massadio HaïdaraC6.721M. Haïdara
Uğur Kaan Yıldız6.322U. Kaan Yıldız
Show7.014Show
Berkan Kutlu6.310B. Kutlu
Dan Agyei6.77D. Agyei
Makana Baku6.332M. Baku
Tayfur Bingöl6.275T. Bingöl

Başakşehir Substitutes

7Yusuf Sarı63'for A. Fayzullaev6.6
98Deniz Dilmen
15Hamza Güreler89'for A. Skov Olsen
33Michał Karbownik
20Umut Güneş
19Berkay Özcan
4Onur Ergün89'for J. Kaluzinski
77Ivan Brnić
17Umut Bozok75'for B. Yildirim6.2
9Davie Selke75'for E. Shomurodov6.6

Kocaelispor Substitutes

26Metehan Altunbaş67'for B. Kutlu6.7
23Onurcan Piri
41Onur Öztonga
5Emir Ortakaya76'for T. Bingol6.7
3Muharrem Cinan
20Mahamadou Susoho
27Ege Bilim85'for D. Agyei
89Bedirhan Yıldız
19Haydar Karataş
17Arda Ozyar85'for M. Baku

Match Stats

BaşakşehirKocaelispor
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
14Fouls14
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
469Total Passes461
400Passes Accurate388
85%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
KocaelisporKocaelispor
1702Elo Rating 1670
1.12Attack 1.91
1.53Defense 2.05
39%Hit Rate 64%
11.0Shots per Game 15.0
4.4Shots on Target 5.0
3.3Corners per Game 5.3
2.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KocaelisporKocaelispor
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
KocaelisporKocaelispor0Wins · 0%
0.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Süper Lig06/04/2026
KocaelisporBaşakşehir
00
Süper Lig31/10/2025
BaşakşehirKocaelispor
10

Recent Form

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
5W2D3L
30/07/2026
Inter TurkuBaşakşehir
20
L
22/07/2026
BaşakşehirInter Turku
11
D
16/07/2026
Puskas AcademyBaşakşehir
02
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgBaşakşehir
12
W
10/07/2026
RiedBaşakşehir
11
D
06/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowBaşakşehir
31
L
16/05/2026
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
12
W
09/05/2026
BaşakşehirSamsunspor
30
W
02/05/2026
FenerbahçeBaşakşehir
31
L
24/04/2026
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
40
W
KocaelisporKocaelispor
1W4D5L
17/05/2026
AntalyasporKocaelispor
10
L
09/05/2026
KocaelisporFatih Karagümrük
01
L
03/05/2026
KasımpaşaKocaelispor
11
D
26/04/2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Kocaelispor
10
L
18/04/2026
KocaelisporGöztepe
11
D
12/04/2026
GalatasarayKocaelispor
11
D
06/04/2026
KocaelisporBaşakşehir
00
D
18/03/2026
AlanyasporKocaelispor
50
L
14/03/2026
KocaelisporKonyaspor
12
L
09/03/2026
EyüpsporKocaelispor
01
W

Referee Profile

Mehmet Turkmen109 matches

3.81Cards per match
3.61Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mehmet Turkmen3.81
Other referees4.84

3.81 cards a match, 1.03 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.84).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1081123:12+1125WWWWL
2AmedAmed1072125:11+1423WWWDW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1071224:8+1622WWWWW
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1051424:10+1416LLWWW
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1051421:16+516WLWWL
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1051411:9+216DWLLW
9GöztepeGöztepe1043321:17+415WWWWD
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1042417:16+114WLWDW
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK104249:15-614LWWDW
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
13RizesporRizespor1032511:15-411DLLLD
14KonyasporKonyaspor102266:13-78LWLDD
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK102269:17-88LLLLL
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1011810:26-164LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor101093:28-253LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1023:1225
2AmedAmed1025:1123
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1024:822
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1024:1016
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1021:1616
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1011:916
9GöztepeGöztepe1021:1715
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1017:1614
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK109:1514
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
13RizesporRizespor1011:1511
14KonyasporKonyaspor106:138
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK109:178
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1010:264
18EyüpsporEyüpspor103:283
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Başakşehir and Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig table

Kocaelispor and Başakşehir are close in the Süper Lig table, 8th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Başakşehir 17-16, Kocaelispor 11-9. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Başakşehir and Kocaelispor have met only 2 times recently, averaging 0.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.