Angola vs Malawi Prediction

Angola
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Malawi
06/10/2026
AngolaAngola
3-1
Finished
MalawiMalawi

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.37
SignalHIGHModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Angola Rest
11 days
Malawi Rest
11 days

Angola vs Malawi: the result in context

Angola beat Malawi 3-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 6 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Angola tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 2.0 for Malawi.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.37
X
17%3.90
2
9%9.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.06
X2
26%2.82
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'MilsonAssist: Junior Sambu Mansoni
6'M. LameckFoul
38'MabululuAssist: Pedro Bondo Francisco
45'B. Singini INYankho Singo out
45'M. Lameck INMayele Malango out
45+2'Kialonda GasparOG
68'Zito Luvumbo INAmbrósini António Cabaça Salvador out
68'Mabululu INValdemiro Pinto Domingos out
70'Valdemiro Pinto DomingosAssist: Pedro Bondo Francisco
76'Show INMario Balburdia out
78'Gaddie Chirwa INFrancisco Madinga out
78'Patrick Mwaungulu INRichard Mbulu out
84'Pedro Bondo Francisco INFernando Inácio da Costa out
84'Milson INDeivi Miguel Vieira out

Lineups

Angola
4-3-3Coach: A. Cissé
Malawi
5-4-1Coach: C. Pasuwa
Avg rating7.11
Avg rating5.99
11H. Marques
M. Sambu7.44M. Sambu
Kialonda Gaspar6.26K. Gaspar
Jonathan Buatu6.63J. Buatu
Pedro Francisco8.013P. Francisco
Show7.023Show
Manuel Keliano7.220M. Keliano
David Carmo7.216D. Carmo
Milson8.211Milson
Zito Luvumbo6.718Z. Luvumbo
Mabululu8.019Mabululu
1616W. Kilipota Thole
22M. Lameck
C. Petro6.13C. Petro
55C. Denis
2222E. Nyirenda
1515G. Chirwa
1717G. Chirwa
66B. Singini
88l. njaliwa
1313P. Mwaungulu
1818A. adebare babatunde

Angola Substitutes

8Mário Balbúrdia76'for Show6.4
9Zini68'for Zito Luvumbo6.5
22Neblú
5Joaquim Marcos Cunga Balanga
2Alexandre Fernando
10Chico Banza
14Fernando Inácio da Costa84'replaced by Pedro Bondo Francisco
17Depú
12Jorge Honesimo Miguel
15Miro68'for Mabululu70'7.4
7Deivi Miguel Vieira84'replaced by Milson
21antonio hossi

Malawi Substitutes

21Festus Duwe
23Amos Sande
14robert saizi
7C. Gumbo
19Adielo Kaduya
24E. Kondowe
11Francisco Madinga78'replaced by Gaddie Chirwa
20M. Malango45'replaced by M. Lameck6.3
9Richard Mbulu78'replaced by Patrick Mwaungulu
4B. Mpokera
12Yankho Singo45'replaced by B. Singini
1G. Chokooka

Match Stats

AngolaMalawi
72%Ball Possession28%
13Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots6
9Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
13Fouls9
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
761Total Passes298
688Passes Accurate214
8Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

AngolaAngola
MalawiMalawi
1538Elo Rating 1379
1.12Attack 1.45
2.28Defense 1.13
27%Hit Rate 39%
15.0Shots per Game 5.5
5.2Shots on Target 2.5
7.1Corners per Game 2.0
1.4Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+158 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AngolaAngola
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MalawiMalawi
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Recent Form

AngolaAngola
2W6D2L
25/09/2026
EgyptAngola
00
D
09/06/2026
AngolaCentral African Republic
30
W
05/06/2026
AngolaMauritania
11
D
29/12/2025
AngolaEgypt
00
D
26/12/2025
AngolaZimbabwe
11
D
22/12/2025
South AfricaAngola
21
L
13/10/2025
CameroonAngola
00
D
08/10/2025
EswatiniAngola
22
D
09/09/2025
AngolaMauritius
31
W
04/09/2025
AngolaLibya
01
L
MalawiMalawi
4W2D4L
25/09/2026
MalawiSouth Sudan
21
W
09/06/2026
EthiopiaMalawi
11
D
06/06/2026
EthiopiaMalawi
10
L
13/10/2025
Sao Tome and PrincipeMalawi
10
L
09/10/2025
MalawiEquatorial Guinea
30
W
08/09/2025
MalawiLiberia
22
D
05/09/2025
NamibiaMalawi
12
W
11/05/2025
South AfricaMalawi
20
L
03/05/2025
MalawiSouth Africa
10
W
24/03/2025
TunisiaMalawi
20
L

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EgyptEgypt21105:0+54WD
2AngolaAngola21103:1+24WD
3MalawiMalawi21013:4-13LW
4South SudanSouth Sudan20021:7-60LW
#TeamMPGPts
1EgyptEgypt25:04
2AngolaAngola23:14
3MalawiMalawi23:43
4South SudanSouth Sudan21:70
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About the Angola vs Malawi forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Angola and Malawi have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.