Lesotho vs Morocco Prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWorld World · Group Stage - 2
Cup
Lesotho
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Morocco
Abdou Abdel Mefire 29/09/2026
LesothoLesotho
0-2
Finished
MoroccoMorocco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-18.1%
Lesotho Rest
3 days
Morocco Rest
3 days

Lesotho vs Morocco: result, form and history

Morocco beat Lesotho 2-0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Morocco had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lesotho.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
6%46.50
X
15%13.00
2
79%1.04
Double Chance
1X
21%11.75
X2
94%-
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Brahim Díaz
45'Teboho Letsema INBakuena Ramakatsa out
56'Katleho Koeane INTlotliso Mapola out
56'Sera Motebang INMolefi Kuzaya Kulehile out
68'Neil El Aynaoui INAbde Ezzalzouli out
69'Noussair Mazraoui INAchraf Hakimi out
69'Brahim Díaz INSoufiane Rahimi out
73'Oussama TarghallineFoul
82'Azzedine OunahiAssist: Soufiane Rahimi
84'T. Mafatle INKoete Mohloai out
84'Ismael Saibari INTawfik Bentayeb out
84'Azzedine Ounahi INSoufiane El-Faouzi out
85'Soufiane Rahimi

Lineups

Lesotho
5-4-1Coach: Atang Bob Mafoso
Morocco
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Ouahbi
Avg rating6.13
Avg rating6.94
1616S. Moerane
1717T. Malane
T. Makhele6.520T. Makhele
22M. Mkwanazi
2121R. Mokokoana
33K. Koeane
Neo Mokhachane6.411N. Mokhachane
55T. Mafatle
1212T. Lesaoana
T. Letsema6.07T. Letsema
99S. Motebang
Y. Bounou6.31Y. Bounou
Z. El Ouahdi6.913Z. El Ouahdi
I. Diop6.914I. Diop
A. Ait Boudlal6.827A. Ait Boudlal
N. Mazraoui7.23N. Mazraoui
O. Targhalline7.218O. Targhalline
N. El Aynaoui7.124N. El Aynaoui
Brahim Díaz7.810B. Díaz
A. Ounahi8.28A. Ounahi
B. El Khannouss7.023B. El Khannouss
I. Saibari6.511I. Saibari

Lesotho Substitutes

10Lehlohonolo Fothoane
8Itumeleng Kenneth Falene
13Koketso Kharajane
14Molefi Kuzaya Kulehile56'replaced by Sera Motebang
22Tholang Makuru
6Tlotliso Mapola56'replaced by Katleho Koeane
23Leluma Mofoka
15Bakuena Ramakatsa45'replaced by Teboho Letsema
1M. Seahlolo
18T. Sefali
4Koete Mohloai84'replaced by T. Mafatle

Morocco Substitutes

26A. Salah-Eddine
4M. Saâdane
9S. Rahimi69'for Brahim Díaz85'6.6
12M. Mohamedi
25R. Halhal
2A. Hakimi69'for Noussair Mazraoui6.8
17A. Ezzalzouli68'for Neil El Aynaoui6.7
19S. El-Faouzi84'for Azzedine Ounahi6.6
15S. El Mourabet
6A. Bouaddi
29T. Bentayeb84'for Ismael Saibari6.5
16Gessime Yassine

Match Stats

LesothoMorocco
20%Ball Possession80%
5Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots19
1Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box14
2Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots7
10Fouls10
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves1
200Total Passes828
136Passes Accurate766
9Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

LesothoLesotho
MoroccoMorocco
1352Elo Rating 1850
0.42Attack 1.64
0.99Defense 2.47
23%Hit Rate 66%
6.7Shots per Game 12.2
1.3Shots on Target 3.7
3.3Corners per Game 4.7
1.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LesothoLesotho
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
MoroccoMorocco
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

LesothoLesotho0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
MoroccoMorocco2Wins · 100%
4.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification18/11/2024
MoroccoLesotho
70
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification09/09/2024
LesothoMorocco
01

Recent Form

LesothoLesotho
2W3D5L
25/09/2026
NigerLesotho
21
L
07/06/2026
KenyaLesotho
40
L
04/06/2026
LesothoKenya
11
D
29/03/2026
LesothoSeychelles
21
W
26/03/2026
SeychellesLesotho
00
D
13/10/2025
LesothoZimbabwe
10
W
10/10/2025
LesothoNigeria
12
L
09/09/2025
BeninLesotho
40
L
05/09/2025
LesothoSouth Africa
03
L
25/03/2025
RwandaLesotho
11
D
MoroccoMorocco
7W2D1L
25/09/2026
MoroccoGabon
20
W
09/07/2026
FranceMorocco
20
L04/07/2026
CanadaMorocco
03
W
30/06/2026
NetherlandsMorocco
2131
W
25/06/2026
MoroccoHaiti
42
W
20/06/2026
ScotlandMorocco
01
W
14/06/2026
BrazilMorocco
11
D
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
02/06/2026
MoroccoMadagascar
40
W
26/05/2026
MoroccoBurundi
50
W

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MoroccoMorocco22004:0+46WW
2GabonGabon21012:203WL
3NigerNiger21012:3-13LW
4LesothoLesotho20021:4-30WD
#TeamMPGPts
1MoroccoMorocco24:06
2GabonGabon22:23
3NigerNiger22:33
4LesothoLesotho21:40
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About the Lesotho vs Morocco forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lesotho and Morocco have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.