Burundi vs Algeria Prediction

Burundi
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Algeria
Stade Intwari, Bujumbura 29/09/2026
BurundiBurundi
2-2
Finished
AlgeriaAlgeria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.27
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-13.8%
Burundi Rest
3 days
Algeria Rest
3 days

Burundi vs Algeria: result, form and history

Burundi and Algeria drew 2-2 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Burundi tend to win more corners, 6.0 a game to 3.7 for Algeria.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%10.50
X
22%5.00
2
66%1.27
Double Chance
1X
34%3.44
X2
88%1.05
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Fares ChaibiOG
12'J. Girumugisha
18'H. MsangaFoul
30'Mohamed Belloumi
45'Mohamed BelloumiFoul
45+4'Himad Abdelli INAdem Zorgane out
63'Adil Boulbina
64'Mohamed Belloumi INMonsef Bakrar out
64'Adil Boulbina INMohamed Amoura out
65'Asman ndikumana INBonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana out
65'Mossi Nduwumwe INAbdoul Karim Mpawenimana out
65'Fares Chaibi INAdil Aouchiche out
73'Amin Chiakha INIlan Kebbal out
74'Mokono Elie Eldhino INMohamed Amissi out
85'Bienvenue Kanakimana INEmmanuel swedi out
90+3'Ilan KebbalFoul

Lineups

Burundi
5-4-1Coach: P. Sangwa
Algeria
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Hemdani
Avg rating6.39
Avg rating6.62
J. Nahimana6.31J. Nahimana
B. Kanakimana6.120B. Kanakimana
Y. Ndayishimiye6.714Y. Ndayishimiye
F. Nsabiyumva6.319F. Nsabiyumva
C. Nduwarugira6.722C. Nduwarugira
44A. Muderi
1818M. Nduwumwe
88M. Elie Eldhino
55H. Msanga
77J. Girumugisha
2121A. ndikumana
M. Mastil6.41M. Mastil
1919S. Radouani
A. Abada7.03A. Abada
R. Bensebaïni7.021R. Bensebaïni
J. Hadjam6.913J. Hadjam
H. Abdelli6.017H. Abdelli
F. Chaïbi6.410F. Chaïbi
M. Belloumi7.820M. Belloumi
I. Maza6.330I. Maza
A. Boulbina7.318A. Boulbina
Amin Chiakha6.212A. Chiakha

Burundi Substitutes

11M. Amissi74'replaced by Mokono Elie Eldhino6.5
9S. Abdallah
17Cedric Amissi
12B. Bimenyimana65'replaced by Asman ndikumana6.4
3K. Icoyitungiye
15Omar Moussa
6Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana65'replaced by Mossi Nduwumwe
13D. Mukombozi
2Franck Nduwimana
10S. Ntibazonkiza
23O. Onésime
16E. Swedi85'for Bienvenue Kanakimana6.2

Algeria Substitutes

14A. Aouchiche65'for Fares Chaibi5.9
22M. Bakrar64'for Mohamed Belloumi6.5
5Z. Belaïd
26A. Bourabaa
2S. Chergui
7A. Hadj-Moussa
24I. Kebbal73'for Amin Chiakha90+3'5.8
25S. Nair
23A. Ramdane
4A. Touba
6A. Zorgane45+4'for Himad Abdelli7.1
11M. Amoura64'for Adil Boulbina6.7

Match Stats

BurundiAlgeria
30%Ball Possession70%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
244Total Passes596
170Passes Accurate521
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

BurundiBurundi
AlgeriaAlgeria
1307Elo Rating 1647
0.54Attack 2.01
1.39Defense 1.20
0%Hit Rate 37%
14.4Shots per Game 13.7
3.9Shots on Target 4.5
6.0Corners per Game 3.7
1.5Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BurundiBurundi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AlgeriaAlgeria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)

Recent Form

BurundiBurundi
3W0D7L
25/09/2026
TogoBurundi
10
L
26/05/2026
MoroccoBurundi
50
L
31/03/2026
BurundiChad
40
W
27/03/2026
ChadBurundi
04
W
14/10/2025
GabonBurundi
20
L
09/10/2025
BurundiKenya
01
L
09/09/2025
GambiaBurundi
20
L
05/09/2025
Ivory CoastBurundi
10
L
25/03/2025
BurundiSeychelles
50
W
21/03/2025
BurundiIvory Coast
01
L
AlgeriaAlgeria
6W1D3L
25/09/2026
AlgeriaZambia
31
W
03/07/2026
SwitzerlandAlgeria
20
L
28/06/2026
AlgeriaAustria
33
D
23/06/2026
JordanAlgeria
12
W
17/06/2026
ArgentinaAlgeria
30
L
11/06/2026
BoliviaAlgeria
04
W
03/06/2026
NetherlandsAlgeria
01
W
10/01/2026
AlgeriaNigeria
02
L
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
W
31/12/2025
Equatorial GuineaAlgeria
13
W

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlgeriaAlgeria21105:3+24DW
2ZambiaZambia21013:303WL
3TogoTogo21011:2-13LW
4BurundiBurundi20112:3-11WW
#TeamMPGPts
1AlgeriaAlgeria25:34
2ZambiaZambia23:33
3TogoTogo21:23
4BurundiBurundi22:31
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About the Burundi vs Algeria forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Burundi and Algeria have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.