Switzerland vs Algeria Prediction

Switzerland
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Algeria
BC Place, Vancouver·Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.98
SignalNEUTRALModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Switzerland Rest
8 days
Algeria Rest
5 days

Switzerland vs Algeria: the result in context

Switzerland beat Algeria 2-0 in the World Cup on 3 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.98
X
30%3.25
2
17%4.30
Double Chance
1X
83%1.22
X2
47%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.92
No
47%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.11 = 2.61
Over 1.5
73%1.38
Over 2.5
45%2.21
Over 3.5
25%3.78
Under 1.5
27%3.00
Under 2.5
55%1.70
Under 3.5
75%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.70
Over 9.5
46%2.13
Over 10.5
33%2.79
Under 8.5
45%2.05
Under 9.5
54%1.65
Under 10.5
67%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%2.54
Over 4.5
27%3.60
Under 3.5
55%1.46
Under 4.5
73%1.25

Match Events

10'B. EmboloAssist: J. Manzambi
36'F. ChaibiTripping
46'D. Ndoye
58'H. Aouar INJ. Hadjam out
58'R. Zerrouki INA. Gouiri out
71'R. Vargas INF. Rieder out
71'J. Manzambi INN. Okafor out
71'R. Mahrez INA. Hadj Moussa out
71'N. Bentaleb INH. Boudaoui out
72'H. BoudaouiRoughing
82'R. Belghali INA. Boulbina out
83'B. Embolo INZ. Amdouni out
87'D. Zakaria INS. Widmer out
87'D. Ndoye INM. Aebischer out

Lineups

Switzerland
4-2-3-1Coach: Murat Yakin
Algeria
4-3-3Coach: Vladimir Petkovic
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.61
Gregor Kobel7.21G. Kobel
Denis Zakaria7.36D. Zakaria
Nico Elvedi7.24N. Elvedi
Manuel Akanji7.55M. Akanji
Ricardo Rodríguez7.213R. Rodríguez
Remo Freuler7.08R. Freuler
Granit XhakaC7.510G. Xhaka
Dan Ndoye8.211D. Ndoye
Johan Manzambi7.99J. Manzambi
Rubén Vargas6.917R. Vargas
Breel Embolo6.97B. Embolo
Luca Zidane6.323L. Zidane
Rafik Belghali7.217R. Belghali
Aïssa Mandi6.62A. Mandi
Ramy Bensebaini6.721R. Bensebaini
Rayan Aït-Nouri6.915R. Aït-Nouri
Ramiz Zerrouki6.26R. Zerrouki
Nabil Bentaleb6.919N. Bentaleb
Farès Chaïbi6.010F. Chaïbi
Riyad MahrezC6.57R. Mahrez
Ibrahim Maza6.722I. Maza
Houssem Aouar6.58H. Aouar

Switzerland Substitutes

22Fabian Rieder71'for R. Vargas6.5
19Noah Okafor71'for J. Manzambi6.9
23Zeki Amdouni83'for B. Embolo6.5
3Silvan Widmer87'for D. Zakaria6.9
20Michel Aebischer87'for D. Ndoye6.3
12Yvon Mvogo
21Marvin Keller
18Eray Cömert
24Aurèle Amenda
2Miro Muheim
16Christian Fassnacht
14Ardon Jashari
15Djibril Sow
26Cédric Itten

Algeria Substitutes

13Jaouen Hadjam58'for H. Aouar7.2
9Amine Gouiri58'for R. Zerrouki6.2
11Anis Hadj Moussa71'for R. Mahrez6.6
14Hicham Boudaoui71'for N. Bentaleb72'6.7
20Adil Boulbina82'for R. Belghali6.5
1Melvin Mastil
16Oussama Benbot
3Achref Abada
4Mohamed Tougai
5Zineddine Belaid
26Samir Sophian Chergui
24Yassine Titraoui
25Farès Ghedjemis

Match Stats

SwitzerlandAlgeria
45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls12
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
436Total Passes561
354Passes Accurate476
81%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

SwitzerlandSwitzerland
AlgeriaAlgeria
1786Elo Rating 1647
2.49Attack 2.01
2.63Defense 1.20
86%Hit Rate 37%
17.9Shots per Game 13.7
7.5Shots on Target 4.5
5.4Corners per Game 3.7
0.7Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+139 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SwitzerlandSwitzerland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AlgeriaAlgeria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)

Recent Form

SwitzerlandSwitzerland
6W4D0L
24/06/2026
SwitzerlandCanada
21
W
18/06/2026
SwitzerlandBosnia & Herzegovina
41
W
13/06/2026
QatarSwitzerland
11
D
06/06/2026
SwitzerlandAustralia
11
D
31/05/2026
SwitzerlandJordan
41
W
18/11/2025
KosovoSwitzerland
11
D
15/11/2025
SwitzerlandSweden
41
W
13/10/2025
SloveniaSwitzerland
00
D
10/10/2025
SwedenSwitzerland
02
W
08/09/2025
SwitzerlandSlovenia
30
W
AlgeriaAlgeria
7W1D2L
28/06/2026
AlgeriaAustria
33
D
23/06/2026
JordanAlgeria
12
W
17/06/2026
ArgentinaAlgeria
30
L
11/06/2026
BoliviaAlgeria
04
W
03/06/2026
NetherlandsAlgeria
01
W
10/01/2026
AlgeriaNigeria
02
L
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
W
31/12/2025
Equatorial GuineaAlgeria
13
W
28/12/2025
AlgeriaBurkina Faso
10
W
24/12/2025
AlgeriaSudan
30
W

Referee Profile

Yael Falcon Perez232 matches

5.46Cards per match
5.22Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yael Falcon Perez5.46
Other referees5.09

5.46 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 178 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland32107:3+47WWD
2CanadaCanada31118:3+54LWD
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
4QatarQatar30122:10-81LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland37:37
2CanadaCanada38:34
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
4QatarQatar32:101

Group J

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArgentinaArgentina33008:1+79WWW
2AustriaAustria31116:604DLW
3AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
4JordanJordan30033:8-50LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArgentinaArgentina38:19
2AustriaAustria36:64
3AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
4JordanJordan33:80

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Switzerland vs Algeria forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. Switzerland have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Switzerland and Algeria have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.