Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction
World · Round of 32
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Mexico
Avg ratingAvg rating
1R. Rangel
2J. Sánchez
C3C. Montes
5J. Vásquez
23J. Gallardo
19G. Mora
6E. Lira
7L. Romo
25R. Alvarado
9R. Jiménez
16J. Quiñones
1H. Galíndez
21A. Franco
4J. Ordóñez
6W. Pacho
3P. Hincapié
9J. Yeboah
C23M. Caicedo
15P. Vite
20N. Angulo
19G. Plata
13E. ValenciaMexico Substitutes
Ecuador Substitutes
Match Stats
MexicoEcuador Team Comparison
MexicoEcuadorAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Mexico- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
Ecuador- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Mexico0Wins · 0%1Wins · 50%Previous meetings
01/07/2024MexicoEcuador19/06/2015MexicoEcuadorRecent Form
Mexico
CzechiaMexicoMexico
South KoreaMexico
South AfricaMexico
SerbiaMexico
AustraliaMexico
Ghana
USAMexicoMexico
HondurasMexico
Saudi ArabiaMexico
Costa RicaEcuadorEcuador
GermanyEcuador
Curaçao
Ivory CoastEcuadorEcuador
GuatemalaEcuadorSaudi ArabiaEcuador
Argentina
ParaguayEcuador
PeruEcuadorEcuador
Brazil
ChileEcuadorReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).
Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Brazil2
Japan1
Netherlands12
Morocco13Ivory Coast1
Norway2
Spain3
Austria0
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
Brazil2Japan1Netherlands12Morocco13Ivory Coast1Norway2Spain3Austria0Argentina12Cape Verde Islands11League Table
Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 | WDL |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Group E
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 6 | LWW |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 4 | Curaçao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 | LDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curaçao | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
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This match
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About the Mexico vs Ecuador forecast
As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About World Cup
More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. Mexico and Ecuador have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.