USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

USA
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Levi's Stadium, San-FranciscoĀ·Raphael Claus, Brazil 02/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.48
SignalHIGHModel83%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
USA Rest
5 days
Bosnia & Herzegovina Rest
7 days

USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: the result in context

USA beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 in the World Cup on 2 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: USA had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Referee Raphael Claus averages 4.31 cards a game, 0.74 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.36
X
22%5.00
2
11%8.70
Double Chance
1X
89%1.08
X2
33%3.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.91
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 0.93 = 2.67
Over 1.5
73%1.18
Over 2.5
46%1.67
Over 3.5
25%2.62
Under 1.5
27%4.45
Under 2.5
54%2.25
Under 3.5
75%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 2.7 = 8.9
Over 8.5
52%1.50
Over 9.5
43%1.83
Over 10.5
32%2.35
Under 8.5
48%2.45
Under 9.5
57%1.93
Under 10.5
68%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.8 = 3.1
Over 3.5
48%2.73
Over 4.5
27%3.88
Under 3.5
52%1.41
Under 4.5
73%1.25

Match Events

45'F. Balogun
51'A. Gigovic INE. Bajraktarevic out
51'I. Sunjic INB. Tahirovic out
51'E. Dzeko INE. Mahmic out
64'F. BalogunSerious foul
75'S. Kolasinac INH. Tabakovic out
75'N. Katic INA. Memic out
80'S. Barbarez
80'S. RadeljicHolding
82'M. Tillman
87'S. Dest INS. Berhalter out
88'C. Pulisic INR. Pepi out
90+5'W. McKennie ING. Reyna out

Lineups

USA
4-3-3Coach: Mauricio Pochettino
Bosnia & Herzegovina
5-3-2Coach: Sergej Barbarez
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.23
Matthew Freese7.024M. Freese
Alexander Freeman7.716A. Freeman
Chris Richards7.53C. Richards
Tim ReamC7.313T. Ream
Antonee Robinson7.35A. Robinson
Weston McKennie7.58W. McKennie
Tyler Adams6.94T. Adams
Malik Tillman8.017M. Tillman
SergiƱo Dest7.22S. Dest
Folarin Balogun6.220F. Balogun
Christian PuliÅ”ić6.910C. PuliÅ”ić
Nikola Vasilj4.91N. Vasilj
Amar Dedić6.67A. Dedić
Nikola Katić6.318N. Katić
Tarik Muharemović6.34T. Muharemović
Stjepan Radeljić6.521S. Radeljić
Sead KolaŔinac6.25S. KolaŔinac
Armin Gigović6.78A. Gigović
Ivan Šunjić6.214I. Šunjić
Kerim Alajbegović6.019K. Alajbegović
Edin DžekoC6.311E. Džeko
Ermedin Demirović6.210E. Demirović

USA Substitutes

14Sebastian Berhalter87'for S. Dest6.7
9Ricardo Pepi88'for C. Pulisic6.5
7Giovanni Reyna90+5'for W. McKennie
1Matt Turner
25Chris Brady
12Miles Robinson
6Auston Trusty
23Joe Scally
26Alex Zendejas
11Brenden Aaronson
18Maximilian Arfsten
21Tim Weah
19Haji Wright

Bosnia & Herzegovina Substitutes

6Benjamin Tahirović51'for I. Sunjic6.6
26Ermin Mahmić51'for E. Dzeko6.0
20Esmir Bajraktarević51'for A. Gigovic6.3
15Amar Memić75'for N. Katic6.2
23Haris Tabaković75'for S. Kolasinac6.3
22Martin Zlomislić
12Mladen Jurkas
24Arjan Malić
2Nihad Mujakić
3Dennis Hadžikadunić
16Amir Hadžiahmetović
17Dženis Burnić
13Ivan BaÅ”ić
25Jovo Lukić
9Samed Baždar

Match Stats

USABosnia & Herzegovina
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots10
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls13
3Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
415Total Passes446
346Passes Accurate364
83%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

USAUSA
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
1697Elo Rating 1554
2.01Attack 1.28
1.20Defense 2.10
54%Hit Rate 46%
11.1Shots per Game 9.2
3.5Shots on Target 2.7
5.1Corners per Game 3.0
1.6Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

šŸ Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
šŸ“ˆBTTS Trend
šŸ“ŠHome Overperforming
šŸ“ŠAway Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

USAUSA
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.6 in second half)
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

USAUSA
7W0D3L
26/06/2026
TürkiyeUSA
32
L
19/06/2026
USAAustralia
20
W
13/06/2026
USAParaguay
41
W
06/06/2026
USAGermany
12
L
31/05/2026
USASenegal
32
W
07/07/2025
USAMexico
12
L
03/07/2025
USAGuatemala
21
W
30/06/2025
USACosta Rica
4232
W
23/06/2025
USAHaiti
21
W
20/06/2025
Saudi ArabiaUSA
01
W
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
4W5D1L
24/06/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaQatar
31
W
18/06/2026
SwitzerlandBosnia & Herzegovina
41
L
12/06/2026
CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
06/06/2026
PanamaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
29/05/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaFYR Macedonia
00
D
31/03/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaItaly
4111
W
26/03/2026
WalesBosnia & Herzegovina
2141
W
18/11/2025
AustriaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
15/11/2025
Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomania
31
W
09/10/2025
CyprusBosnia & Herzegovina
22
D

Referee Profile

Raphael Claus295 matches

4.31Cards per match
4.06Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Raphael Claus4.31
Other referees5.05

4.31 cards a match, 0.74 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.05).

Cards come from 287 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland32107:3+47WWD
2CanadaCanada31118:3+54LWD
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
4QatarQatar30122:10-81LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland37:37
2CanadaCanada38:34
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
4QatarQatar32:101

Group D

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1USAUSA32018:4+46LWW
2AustraliaAustralia31112:204DLW
3ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
4TürkiyeTürkiye31023:5-23WLL
#TeamMPGPts
1USAUSA38:46
2AustraliaAustralia32:24
3ParaguayParaguay32:44
4TürkiyeTürkiye33:53

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. USA have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. USA and Bosnia & Herzegovina have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.