France vs Spain Prediction
World · Semi-finals
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
France vs Spain: result, form and history
Spain beat France 2-0 in the World Cup on 14 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Spain have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game. Referee Iván Barton averages 3.88 cards a game, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
France
France Starting XI
Spain Starting XI
France Substitutes
Spain Substitutes
Match Stats
FranceSpain Team Comparison
FranceSpainAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
France- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Spain- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
France1Wins · 25%3Wins · 75%Previous meetings
05/06/2025SpainFrance
09/07/2024SpainFrance10/10/2021SpainFrance23/06/2012SpainFranceRecent Form
FranceFrance
Morocco
ParaguayFranceFrance
Sweden
NorwayFranceFrance
IraqFrance
SenegalFrance
Northern IrelandFrance
Ivory Coast
AzerbaijanFranceFrance
UkraineSpainSpain
Belgium
PortugalSpainSpain
Austria
UruguaySpainSpain
Saudi ArabiaSpain
Cape Verde Islands
PeruSpainSpainIraqSpain
Türkiye
GeorgiaSpainReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.88 cards a match, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.31).
Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Brazil2
Japan1
Netherlands12Morocco13Ivory Coast1Norway2
Spain3Austria0
Argentina12Cape Verde Islands11
League Table
Group H
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 7 | WWD |
| 2 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 | LDD |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 | DLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 1:5 | 2 |
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About the France vs Spain forecast
As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About World Cup
More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 9.3 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.