Algeria vs Austria Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 3
Cup
Algeria
3-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Austria
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City·Ilgiz Tantashev, Uzbekistan 28/06/2026
AlgeriaAlgeria
3-3
Finished
AustriaAustria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalHIGHModel25%SurpriseMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.70
SignalGOODModel23%SurpriseHighGap+14.0%
Algeria Rest
4 days
Austria Rest
5 days

Algeria vs Austria: the result in context

Algeria and Austria drew 3-3 in the World Cup on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%3.80
X
32%2.13
2
24%3.17
Double Chance
1X
76%1.36
X2
56%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.19
No
49%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.01 = 2.52
Over 1.5
70%1.70
Over 2.5
43%3.23
Over 3.5
23%6.20
Under 1.5
30%2.17
Under 2.5
57%1.31
Under 3.5
77%1.09
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.4 = 9
Over 8.5
52%2.51
Over 9.5
43%3.47
Over 10.5
33%4.87
Under 8.5
48%1.46
Under 9.5
57%1.24
Under 10.5
67%1.13
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
52%3.15
Over 4.5
30%3.30
Under 3.5
48%1.30
Under 4.5
70%1.28

Match Events

11'M. ArnautovicRoughing
28'M. ArnautovicAssist: D. Alaba
45'R. Belghali
46'M. Arnautovic INM. Gregoritsch out
46'X. Schlager INF. Grillitsch out
46'R. Schmid INP. Wanner out
55'M. SabitzerAssist: K. Laimer
60'R. MahrezAssist: H. Aouar
62'D. Alaba INK. Danso out
71'J. Hadjam INR. Ait-Nouri out
71'A. Gouiri INZ. Belaid out
71'R. Belghali INS. Chergui out
90+3'R. MahrezAssist: H. Aouar
90+4'H. Aouar INF. Ghedjemis out
90+5'P. Mwene INS. Kalajdzic out
90+6'S. KalajdzicAssist: M. Gregoritsch

Lineups

Algeria
4-2-3-1Coach: Vladimir Petkovic
Austria
4-2-3-1Coach: Ralf Rangnick
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.50
Oussama Benbot5.016O. Benbot
Rafik Belghali7.517R. Belghali
Aïssa Mandi6.62A. Mandi
Ramy Bensebaini6.221R. Bensebaini
Jaouen Hadjam6.513J. Hadjam
Farès Chaïbi7.210F. Chaïbi
Nabil Bentaleb7.319N. Bentaleb
Riyad MahrezC9.27R. Mahrez
Ibrahim Maza6.922I. Maza
Houssem Aouar7.38H. Aouar
Amine Gouiri6.39A. Gouiri
Alexander Schlager6.21A. Schlager
Stefan Posch5.65S. Posch
Philipp Lienhart5.915P. Lienhart
David AlabaC6.98D. Alaba
Phillipp Mwene6.016P. Mwene
Nicolas Seiwald6.36N. Seiwald
Xaver Schlager6.74X. Schlager
Konrad Laimer6.320K. Laimer
Romano Schmid6.018R. Schmid
Marcel Sabitzer7.39M. Sabitzer
Marko Arnautović7.37M. Arnautović

Algeria Substitutes

5Zineddine Belaid71'for A. Gouiri6.5
15Rayan Aït-Nouri71'for J. Hadjam6.2
26Samir Sophian Chergui71'for R. Belghali6.3
25Farès Ghedjemis90+4'for H. Aouar
1Melvin Mastil
23Luca Zidane
3Achref Abada
4Mohamed Tougai
6Ramiz Zerrouki
14Hicham Boudaoui
24Yassine Titraoui
11Anis Hadj Moussa
20Adil Boulbina
12Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali

Austria Substitutes

10Florian Grillitsch46'for X. Schlager6.6
24Paul Wanner46'for R. Schmid6.2
11Michael Gregoritsch46'for M. Arnautovic6.9
3Kevin Danso62'for D. Alaba6.2
14Saša Kalajdžić90+5'for P. Mwene90+6'7.6
12Florian Wiegele
13Patrick Pentz
2David Affengruber
23Marco Friedl
25Michael Svoboda
17Carney Chukwuemeka
19Dejan Ljubičić
22Alexander Prass
26Alessandro Schöpf
21Patrick Wimmer

Match Stats

AlgeriaAustria
65%Ball Possession35%
0Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
3Fouls7
1Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
755Total Passes397
706Passes Accurate346
94%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

AlgeriaAlgeria
AustriaAustria
1647Elo Rating 1675
2.01Attack 1.81
1.20Defense 1.49
37%Hit Rate 36%
13.7Shots per Game 13.2
4.5Shots on Target 5.3
3.7Corners per Game 4.1
1.1Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AlgeriaAlgeria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
AustriaAustria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AlgeriaAlgeria
8W0D2L
23/06/2026
JordanAlgeria
12
W
17/06/2026
ArgentinaAlgeria
30
L
11/06/2026
BoliviaAlgeria
04
W
03/06/2026
NetherlandsAlgeria
01
W
10/01/2026
AlgeriaNigeria
02
L
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
W
31/12/2025
Equatorial GuineaAlgeria
13
W
28/12/2025
AlgeriaBurkina Faso
10
W
24/12/2025
AlgeriaSudan
30
W
14/10/2025
AlgeriaUganda
21
W
AustriaAustria
7W1D2L
22/06/2026
ArgentinaAustria
20
L17/06/2026
AustriaJordan
31
W
01/06/2026
AustriaTunisia
10
W
18/11/2025
AustriaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
15/11/2025
CyprusAustria
02
W
12/10/2025
RomaniaAustria
10
L
09/10/2025
AustriaSan Marino
100
W
09/09/2025
Bosnia & HerzegovinaAustria
12
W
06/09/2025
AustriaCyprus
10
W
10/06/2025
San MarinoAustria
04
W

Referee Profile

Ilgiz Tantashev143 matches

3.68Cards per match
3.44Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ilgiz Tantashev3.68
Other referees3.62

3.68 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.62).

Cards come from 59 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group J

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArgentinaArgentina33008:1+79WWW
2AustriaAustria31116:604DLW
3AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
4JordanJordan30033:8-50LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArgentinaArgentina38:19
2AustriaAustria36:64
3AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
4JordanJordan33:80

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

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About the Algeria vs Austria forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Algeria and Austria in the World Cup table

In the World Cup table, Algeria (3rd) and Austria (2nd) are level on 4 points. League goal record so far: Algeria 5-7, Austria 6-6. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Algeria and Austria have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.