Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Prediction

Congo DR
3-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Uzbekistan
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta·F. Zwayer 28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
88%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.8%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
Congo DR Rest
3 days
Uzbekistan Rest
4 days

Congo DR vs Uzbekistan: result, form and history

Congo DR beat Uzbekistan 3-1 in the World Cup on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee F. Zwayer averages 4.93 cards a game, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.70
X
28%3.77
2
12%5.08
Double Chance
1X
88%1.17
X2
40%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.05
No
49%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.96 = 2.55
Over 1.5
72%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.20
Over 3.5
24%3.98
Under 1.5
28%2.92
Under 2.5
56%1.67
Under 3.5
76%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.1 = 8.8
Over 8.5
52%1.95
Over 9.5
43%2.54
Over 10.5
32%3.45
Under 8.5
48%1.77
Under 9.5
57%1.46
Under 10.5
68%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%2.00
Over 4.5
34%2.95
Under 3.5
42%1.70
Under 4.5
66%1.34

Match Events

10'E. ShomurodovAssist: A. Mozgovoy
17'Goal Disallowed - FoulN. Mbuku
21'N. SadikiRoughing
43'A. Khusanov
45+5'N. MbukuRoughing
48'S. NasrullaevHolding
51'C. Bakambu INF. Mayele out
59'O. Shukurov INO. Khamrobekov out
59'D. Khamdamov INA. Ganiev out
62'S. MoutoussamyTripping
68'Y. Wissa(Penalty)
72'B. Cipenga INT. Bongonda out
72'S. Moutoussamy INN. Mukau out
72'N. Mbuku INM. Elia out
73'A. Fayzullaev INO. Urunov out
78'F. Mayele
82'J. Urozov INI. Sergeev out
82'A. Mozgovoy INJ. Iskanderov out
83'A. Masuaku INJ. Kayembe out
90+1'Y. WissaAssist: M. Elia

Lineups

Congo DR
4-4-2Coach: Sebastien Desabre
Uzbekistan
3-4-2-1Coach: Fabio Cannavaro
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.42
Lionel Mpasi Nzau6.31L. Mpasi Nzau
Aaron Wan-Bissaka6.92A. Wan-Bissaka
Chancel MbembaC7.022C. Mbemba
Axel Tuanzebe7.04A. Tuanzebe
Arthur Masuaku7.026A. Masuaku
Nathanaël Mbuku6.67N. Mbuku
Samuel Moutoussamy7.08S. Moutoussamy
Noah Sadiki7.714N. Sadiki
Brian Cipenga6.39B. Cipenga
Cédric Bakambu6.017C. Bakambu
Yoane Wissa8.020Y. Wissa
Abduvokhid Nematov5.912A. Nematov
Rustam Ashurmatov6.75R. Ashurmatov
Abdukodir Khusanov5.62A. Khusanov
Jakhongir Urozov6.226J. Urozov
Khozhiakbar Alizhonov6.53K. Alizhonov
Akmal Mozgovoy6.96A. Mozgovoy
Otabek Shukurov6.67O. Shukurov
Sherzod Nasrullaev6.913S. Nasrullaev
Dostonbek Khamdamov6.317D. Khamdamov
Abbosbek Fayzullaev6.722A. Fayzullaev
Eldor ShomurodovC7.014E. Shomurodov

Congo DR Substitutes

19Fiston Mayele51'for C. Bakambu78'6.6
10Théo Bongonda72'for B. Cipenga6.3
6Ngal'ayel Mukau72'for S. Moutoussamy6.7
13Meschak Elia72'for N. Mbuku7.0
12Joris Kayembe83'for A. Masuaku6.6
21Matthieu Epolo
16Timothy Fayulu
5Dylan Batubinsika
24Gedeon Kalulu
3Steve Kapuadi
15Aaron Tshibola
18Charles Pickel
11Gaël Kakuta
25Edo Kayembe
23Simon Banza

Uzbekistan Substitutes

19Azizjon Ganiev59'for D. Khamdamov6.3
9Odiljon Khamrobekov59'for O. Shukurov6.3
11Oston Urunov73'for A. Fayzullaev6.3
8Jamshid Iskandarov82'for A. Mozgovoy6.2
21Igor Sergeev82'for J. Urozov6.3
16Botirali Ergashev
1Utkir Yusupov
25Avazbek Ulmasaliyev
4Farrukh Sayfiev
15Umarbek Eshmuradov
24Bekhruz Karimov
20Azizbek Amanov
10Ruslanbek Jiyanov
23Sherzod Esanov
18Abdulla Abdullaev

Match Stats

Congo DRUzbekistan
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots3
4Shots on Goal1
14Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box2
8Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots0
6Fouls16
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
485Total Passes355
400Passes Accurate269
82%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Congo DRCongo DR
UzbekistanUzbekistan
1673Elo Rating 1624
1.49Attack 0.96
1.77Defense 0.46
46%Hit Rate 17%
11.1Shots per Game 7.7
2.8Shots on Target 2.4
2.6Corners per Game 3.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Congo DRCongo DR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UzbekistanUzbekistan
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Congo DRCongo DR
4W3D3L
24/06/2026
ColombiaCongo DR
10
L
17/06/2026
PortugalCongo DR
11
D
09/06/2026
Congo DRChile
12
L
03/06/2026
Congo DRDenmark
00
D
31/03/2026
Congo DRJamaica
1000
W
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
L
30/12/2025
BotswanaCongo DR
03
W
27/12/2025
SenegalCongo DR
11
D
23/12/2025
Congo DRBenin
10
W
16/11/2025
NigeriaCongo DR
3141
W
UzbekistanUzbekistan
3W2D5L
23/06/2026
PortugalUzbekistan
50
L
18/06/2026
UzbekistanColombia
13
L
08/06/2026
NetherlandsUzbekistan
21
L
02/06/2026
CanadaUzbekistan
20
L
10/06/2025
UzbekistanQatar
30
W
05/06/2025
United Arab EmiratesUzbekistan
00
D
25/03/2025
IranUzbekistan
22
D
20/03/2025
UzbekistanKyrgyzstan
10
W
19/11/2024
North KoreaUzbekistan
01
W
14/11/2024
QatarUzbekistan
32
L

Referee Profile

F. Zwayer248 matches

4.93Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Zwayer4.93
Other referees4.19

4.93 cards a match, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 243 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group K

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ColombiaColombia32104:1+37DWW
2PortugalPortugal31206:1+55DWD
3Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
4UzbekistanUzbekistan30032:11-90LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ColombiaColombia34:17
2PortugalPortugal36:15
3Congo DRCongo DR34:34
4UzbekistanUzbekistan32:110

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Congo DR vs Uzbekistan forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Congo DR and Uzbekistan in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Congo DR are 3rd in the World Cup, 4 points ahead of Uzbekistan in 4th. League goal record so far: Congo DR 4-3, Uzbekistan 2-11. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Congo DR and Uzbekistan have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.