Portugal vs Congo DR Prediction

Portugal
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Congo DR
NRG Stadium, Houston·Abdulrahman Al-Jassim, Qatar 17/06/2026
PortugalPortugal
1-1
Finished
Congo DRCongo DR

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.37
SignalHIGHModel86%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Portugal Rest
6 days
Congo DR Rest
8 days

Portugal vs Congo DR: result, form and history

Portugal and Congo DR drew 1-1 in the World Cup on 17 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Abdulrahman Al-Jassim averages 4.81 cards a game, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.29
X
18%5.40
2
15%11.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.05
X2
33%3.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.30
No
47%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.05 = 2.88
Over 1.5
74%1.23
Over 2.5
48%1.80
Over 3.5
26%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.80
Under 2.5
52%2.02
Under 3.5
74%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 2.6 = 8.8
Over 8.5
52%1.55
Over 9.5
47%1.95
Over 10.5
34%2.46
Under 8.5
48%2.30
Under 9.5
53%1.81
Under 10.5
66%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
58%2.67
Over 4.5
35%4.45
Under 3.5
42%1.43
Under 4.5
65%1.18

Match Events

6'J. NevesAssist: P. Neto
13'B. SilvaTripping
32'C. MbembaRoughing
45+5'Y. WissaAssist: A. Masuaku
46'B. Silva INF. Conceicao out
57'N. Mukau INN. Sadiki out
71'P. Neto INR. Leao out
72'N. Mendes INN. Semedo out
74'E. Kayembe INC. Pickel out
74'A. Masuaku INJ. Kayembe out
83'Vitinha ING. Ramos out
85'A. Wan-Bissaka ING. Kalulu out
85'C. Bakambu INS. Banza out
88'N. SemedoHolding
90+2'T. AraujoRoughing

Lineups

Portugal
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberto Martinez
Congo DR
5-3-2Coach: Sebastien Desabre
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.67
Diogo Costa6.91D. Costa
João Cancelo6.520J. Cancelo
Tomás Araújo6.94T. Araújo
Renato Veiga7.313R. Veiga
Nuno Mendes6.525N. Mendes
João Neves8.015J. Neves
Vitinha7.523Vitinha
Bernardo Silva6.310B. Silva
Bruno Fernandes7.98B. Fernandes
Pedro Neto7.018P. Neto
Cristiano RonaldoC6.37C. Ronaldo
Lionel Mpasi Nzau6.01L. Mpasi Nzau
Aaron Wan-Bissaka6.62A. Wan-Bissaka
Chancel MbembaC6.322C. Mbemba
Axel Tuanzebe6.54A. Tuanzebe
Steve Kapuadi6.33S. Kapuadi
Arthur Masuaku6.926A. Masuaku
Ngal'ayel Mukau6.76N. Mukau
Samuel Moutoussamy6.38S. Moutoussamy
Edo Kayembe6.925E. Kayembe
Yoane Wissa7.220Y. Wissa
Cédric Bakambu6.917C. Bakambu

Portugal Substitutes

26Francisco Conceição46'for B. Silva6.9
17Rafael Leão71'for P. Neto6.3
2Nélson Semedo72'for N. Mendes88'6.7
9Gonçalo Ramos83'for Vitinha6.3
12José Sá
22Rui Silva
3Rúben Dias
5Diogo Dalot
14Gonçalo Inácio
6Matheus Nunes
24Samú Costa
21Rúben Neves
16Francisco Trincão
19Gonçalo Guedes
11João Félix

Congo DR Substitutes

14Noah Sadiki57'for N. Mukau7.0
12Joris Kayembe74'for A. Masuaku7.2
18Charles Pickel74'for E. Kayembe6.7
24Gedeon Kalulu85'for A. Wan-Bissaka6.9
23Simon Banza85'for C. Bakambu6.3
16Timothy Fayulu
21Matthieu Epolo
5Dylan Batubinsika
7Nathanaël Mbuku
10Théo Bongonda
15Aaron Tshibola
9Brian Cipenga
11Gaël Kakuta
13Meschak Elia
19Fiston Mayele

Match Stats

PortugalCongo DR
75%Ball Possession25%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots8
1Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box2
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves0
783Total Passes249
724Passes Accurate195
92%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

PortugalPortugal
Congo DRCongo DR
1845Elo Rating 1673
2.01Attack 1.49
1.94Defense 1.77
86%Hit Rate 46%
17.3Shots per Game 11.1
6.1Shots on Target 2.8
5.7Corners per Game 2.6
2.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+172 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PortugalPortugal
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Congo DRCongo DR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

PortugalPortugal
8W1D1L
10/06/2026
PortugalNigeria
21
W
06/06/2026
PortugalChile
21
W
16/11/2025
PortugalArmenia
91
W
13/11/2025
Rep. Of IrelandPortugal
20
L
14/10/2025
PortugalHungary
22
D
11/10/2025
PortugalRep. Of Ireland
10
W
09/09/2025
HungaryPortugal
23
W
06/09/2025
ArmeniaPortugal
05
W
08/06/2025
PortugalSpain
5232
W
04/06/2025
GermanyPortugal
12
W
Congo DRCongo DR
6W2D2L
09/06/2026
Congo DRChile
12
L
03/06/2026
Congo DRDenmark
00
D
31/03/2026
Congo DRJamaica
1000
W
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
L
30/12/2025
BotswanaCongo DR
03
W
27/12/2025
SenegalCongo DR
11
D
23/12/2025
Congo DRBenin
10
W
16/11/2025
NigeriaCongo DR
3141
W
13/11/2025
CameroonCongo DR
01
W
14/10/2025
Congo DRSudan
10
W

Referee Profile

Abdulrahman Al-Jassim148 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abdulrahman Al-Jassim4.81
Other referees3.91

4.81 cards a match, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group K

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ColombiaColombia32104:1+37DWW
2PortugalPortugal31206:1+55DWD
3Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
4UzbekistanUzbekistan30032:11-90LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ColombiaColombia34:17
2PortugalPortugal36:15
3Congo DRCongo DR34:34
4UzbekistanUzbekistan32:110

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Portugal vs Congo DR forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Portugal and Congo DR in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Portugal are 2nd in the World Cup, 1 point ahead of Congo DR in 3rd. League goal record so far: Portugal 6-1, Congo DR 4-3. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Portugal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Portugal and Congo DR have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.