Argentina vs Algeria Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Argentina
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Algeria
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City·Szymon Marciniak, Poland 17/06/2026
ArgentinaArgentina
3-0
Finished
AlgeriaAlgeria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.31
SignalHIGHModel83%SurpriseMediumGap-0.1%
Argentina Rest
7 days
Algeria Rest
6 days

Argentina vs Algeria: result, form and history

Argentina beat Algeria 3-0 in the World Cup on 17 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.43
X
18%4.46
2
20%8.00
Double Chance
1X
80%1.08
X2
38%2.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.10
No
48%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.02 = 2.47
Over 1.5
72%1.30
Over 2.5
46%1.94
Over 3.5
24%3.35
Under 1.5
28%3.48
Under 2.5
54%1.88
Under 3.5
76%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.2 = 9
Over 8.5
52%2.12
Over 9.5
47%2.75
Over 10.5
34%3.80
Under 8.5
48%1.65
Under 9.5
53%1.40
Under 10.5
66%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
59%1.66
Over 4.5
36%2.31
Under 3.5
41%2.13
Under 4.5
64%1.58

Match Events

8'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Chaibi
17'L. MessiAssist: R. de Paul
46'G. Montiel INN. Molina out
55'L. Martinez INJ. Alvarez out
55'T. Almada INN. Gonzalez out
60'L. Messi
64'H. Boudaoui INH. Aouar out
64'A. Gouiri INM. Amoura out
64'A. Hadj Moussa INR. Mahrez out
76'L. MessiAssist: N. Gonzalez
80'L. Messi INN. Paz out
80'C. Romero INN. Otamendi out
81'I. Maza INA. Boulbina out
82'N. Bentaleb INR. Zerrouki out

Lineups

Argentina
4-4-2Coach: Lionel Scaloni
Algeria
4-3-3Coach: Vladimir Petkovic
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.42
Emiliano Martínez6.923E. Martínez
Gonzalo Montiel6.94G. Montiel
Cristian Romero7.213C. Romero
Lisandro Martínez7.56L. Martínez
Facundo Medina7.225F. Medina
Rodrigo De Paul7.27R. De Paul
Alexis Mac Allister6.620A. Mac Allister
Enzo Fernández7.024E. Fernández
Thiago Almada6.616T. Almada
Lionel MessiC10.010L. Messi
Lautaro Martínez6.522L. Martínez
Luca Zidane6.223L. Zidane
Rafik Belghali5.917R. Belghali
Aïssa MandiC7.22A. Mandi
Ramy Bensebaini6.721R. Bensebaini
Rayan Aït-Nouri5.915R. Aït-Nouri
Hicham Boudaoui6.314H. Boudaoui
Nabil Bentaleb6.619N. Bentaleb
Ibrahim Maza6.322I. Maza
Anis Hadj Moussa6.711A. Hadj Moussa
Amine Gouiri6.39A. Gouiri
Farès Chaïbi6.310F. Chaïbi

Argentina Substitutes

26Nahuel Molina46'for G. Montiel6.6
15Nicolás González55'for T. Almada6.9
9Julián Alvarez55'for L. Martinez6.2
19Nicolás Otamendi80'for C. Romero6.6
18Nico Paz80'for L. Messi6.6
1Juan Musso
12Gerónimo Rulli
3Nicolás Tagliafico
2Marcos Senesi
5Leandro Paredes
8Valentín Barco
11Giovani Lo Celso
14Exequiel Palacios
17Giuliano Simeone
21José Manuel López

Algeria Substitutes

8Houssem Aouar64'for H. Boudaoui6.5
7Riyad Mahrez64'for A. Hadj Moussa6.6
18Mohamed Amoura64'for A. Gouiri6.5
20Adil Boulbina81'for I. Maza6.2
6Ramiz Zerrouki82'for N. Bentaleb6.6
1Melvin Mastil
16Oussama Benbot
3Achref Abada
4Mohamed Tougai
5Zineddine Belaid
13Jaouen Hadjam
26Samir Sophian Chergui
24Yassine Titraoui
12Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali
25Farès Ghedjemis

Match Stats

ArgentinaAlgeria
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks2
10Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal0
4Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots3
13Fouls8
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
561Total Passes609
504Passes Accurate563
90%Pass Accuracy92%

Team Comparison

ArgentinaArgentina
AlgeriaAlgeria
1913Elo Rating 1647
1.57Attack 2.01
2.10Defense 1.20
54%Hit Rate 37%
10.0Shots per Game 13.7
3.3Shots on Target 4.5
4.5Corners per Game 3.7
2.5Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+266 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArgentinaArgentina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AlgeriaAlgeria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)

Recent Form

ArgentinaArgentina
7W1D2L
10/06/2026
ArgentinaIceland
30
W
07/06/2026
ArgentinaHonduras
20
W
10/09/2025
EcuadorArgentina
10
L
05/09/2025
ArgentinaVenezuela
30
W
11/06/2025
ArgentinaColombia
11
D
06/06/2025
ChileArgentina
01
W
26/03/2025
ArgentinaBrazil
41
W
22/03/2025
UruguayArgentina
01
W
20/11/2024
ArgentinaPeru
10
W
15/11/2024
ParaguayArgentina
21
L
AlgeriaAlgeria
8W1D1L
11/06/2026
BoliviaAlgeria
04
W
03/06/2026
NetherlandsAlgeria
01
W
10/01/2026
AlgeriaNigeria
02
L
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
W
31/12/2025
Equatorial GuineaAlgeria
13
W
28/12/2025
AlgeriaBurkina Faso
10
W
24/12/2025
AlgeriaSudan
30
W
14/10/2025
AlgeriaUganda
21
W
09/10/2025
SomaliaAlgeria
03
W
08/09/2025
GuineaAlgeria
00
D

Referee Profile

Szymon Marciniak297 matches

4.22Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Szymon Marciniak4.19
Other referees4.28

4.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 269 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group J

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArgentinaArgentina33008:1+79WWW
2AustriaAustria31116:604DLW
3AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
4JordanJordan30033:8-50LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArgentinaArgentina38:19
2AustriaAustria36:64
3AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
4JordanJordan33:80

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

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About the Argentina vs Algeria forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Argentina and Algeria in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Argentina are 1st in the World Cup, 5 points ahead of Algeria in 3rd. League goal record so far: Argentina 8-1, Algeria 5-7. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Argentina and Algeria have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.