Iran vs New Zealand Prediction

Iran
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
New Zealand
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood·César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico 16/06/2026
IranIran
2-2
Finished
New ZealandNew Zealand

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
90%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Iran Rest
11 days
New Zealand Rest
9 days

Iran vs New Zealand: the result in context

Iran and New Zealand drew 2-2 in the World Cup on 16 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.80
X
26%3.50
2
10%4.92
Double Chance
1X
90%1.18
X2
36%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.15
No
47%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 3.25 + 0.87 = 4.12
Over 1.5
74%1.44
Over 2.5
52%2.39
Over 3.5
33%4.50
Under 1.5
26%2.70
Under 2.5
48%1.57
Under 3.5
67%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
52%2.04
Over 9.5
47%2.65
Over 10.5
34%3.55
Under 8.5
48%1.72
Under 9.5
53%1.44
Under 10.5
66%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
57%1.68
Over 4.5
34%2.35
Under 3.5
43%2.06
Under 4.5
66%1.53

Match Events

7'E. JustAssist: C. Wood
32'R. Rezaeian
46'A. Yousefi INM. Ghaedi out
53'S. Moghanlou INA. Alipour out
54'E. JustAssist: C. Wood
64'M. MohebiAssist: R. Rezaeian
65'S. Ghoddos INE. Hajsafi out
68'L. Cacace INB. Old out
68'C. McCowatt INR. Thomas out
78'T. Payne INC. Elliot out
80'M. Taremi INA. Hosseinzadeh out
89'E. HajsafiTripping
90+2'S. Singh INJ. Randall out
90+2'M. Stamenic INT. Bindon out

Lineups

Iran
4-4-2Coach: Amir Ghalenoei
New Zealand
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.77
Alireza Beiranvand6.71A. Beiranvand
Ramin Rezaeian9.323R. Rezaeian
Shoja Khalilzadeh6.34S. Khalilzadeh
Ali Nemati6.519A. Nemati
Milad Mohammadi6.25M. Mohammadi
Mohammad Mohebi7.38M. Mohebi
Saman Ghoddos6.714S. Ghoddos
Saeid Ezatolahi6.66S. Ezatolahi
Aria Yousefi6.617A. Yousefi
Shahriar Moghanlou6.920S. Moghanlou
Mehdi TaremiC6.99M. Taremi
Max Crocombe6.91M. Crocombe
Tim Payne6.22T. Payne
Finn Surman7.216F. Surman
Michael Boxall6.75M. Boxall
Liberato Cacace6.213L. Cacace
Joe Bell6.66J. Bell
Marko Stamenić6.68M. Stamenić
Callum McCowatt6.720C. McCowatt
Sarpreet Singh5.910S. Singh
Elijah Just9.011E. Just
Chris WoodC6.99C. Wood

Iran Substitutes

10Mehdi Ghayedi7.0
11Ali Alipour53'for S. Moghanlou6.7
3Ehsan Hajsafi65'for S. Ghoddos89'6.9
18Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh80'for M. Taremi6.7
12Payam Niazmand
22Hossein Hosseini
2Saleh Hardani
13Hossein Kanaani
15Roozbeh Cheshmi
25Danial Eiri
26Amirmohammad Razzaghinia
21Mohammad Ghorbani
16Mahdi Torabi
7Alireza Jahanbakhsh
24Dennis Eckert Ayensa

New Zealand Substitutes

19Benjamin Old68'for L. Cacace6.5
23Ryan Thomas68'for C. McCowatt6.5
24Callan Elliot78'for T. Payne6.9
4Tyler Bindon90+2'for M. Stamenic
21Jesse Randall90+2'for S. Singh
12Alex Paulsen
22Michael Woud
26Tommy Smith
3Francis De Vries
15Nando Pijnaker
25Lachlan Bayliss
14Alex Rufer
18Ben Waine
17Kosta Barbarouses

Match Stats

IranNew Zealand
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal8
8Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls8
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
409Total Passes446
314Passes Accurate376
77%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

IranIran
New ZealandNew Zealand
1750Elo Rating 1516
0.94Attack 1.14
1.89Defense 0.48
0%Hit Rate 0%
12.2Shots per Game 8.8
4.2Shots on Target 2.8
3.1Corners per Game 2.7
2.7Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+234 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy4.12 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

IranIran
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
New ZealandNew Zealand
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

IranIran
7W2D1L
04/06/2026
IranMali
20
W
29/05/2026
IranGambia
31
W
10/06/2025
IranNorth Korea
30
W
05/06/2025
QatarIran
10
L
25/03/2025
IranUzbekistan
22
D
20/03/2025
IranUnited Arab Emirates
20
W
19/11/2024
KyrgyzstanIran
23
W
14/11/2024
North KoreaIran
23
W
15/10/2024
IranQatar
41
W
10/10/2024
UzbekistanIran
00
D
New ZealandNew Zealand
7W0D3L
06/06/2026
EnglandNew Zealand
10
L
03/06/2026
HaitiNew Zealand
40
L
24/03/2025
New CaledoniaNew Zealand
03
W
21/03/2025
New ZealandFiji
70
W
18/11/2024
SamoaNew Zealand
08
W
15/11/2024
New ZealandVanuatu
81
W
11/10/2024
New ZealandTahiti
30
W
14/06/2022
Costa RicaNew Zealand
10
L
30/03/2022
Solomon IslandsNew Zealand
05
W
27/03/2022
New ZealandTahiti
10
W

Referee Profile

César Ramos Palazuelos228 matches

4.61Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

César Ramos Palazuelos4.61
Other referees4.47

4.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 218 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group G

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BelgiumBelgium31206:2+45WDD
2EgyptEgypt31205:3+25DWD
3IranIran30303:303DDD
4New ZealandNew Zealand30124:10-61LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BelgiumBelgium36:25
2EgyptEgypt35:35
3IranIran33:33
4New ZealandNew Zealand34:101

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Iran vs New Zealand forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Iran and New Zealand in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Iran are 3rd in the World Cup, 2 points ahead of New Zealand in 4th. League goal record so far: Iran 3-3, New Zealand 4-10. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Iran and New Zealand have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.