Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction

Saudi Arabia
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Uruguay
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens·Maurizio Mariani, Italy 16/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.27
SignalHIGHModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Saudi Arabia Rest
5 days
Uruguay Rest
278 days

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay: result, form and history

Saudi Arabia and Uruguay drew 1-1 in the World Cup on 15 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%8.20
X
24%4.34
2
48%1.45
Double Chance
1X
52%2.77
X2
72%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.28
No
48%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.13 = 2.35
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.10
Over 3.5
23%3.66
Under 1.5
28%3.20
Under 2.5
55%1.76
Under 3.5
77%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.6 = 9.4
Over 8.5
53%1.84
Over 9.5
47%2.37
Over 10.5
34%3.30
Under 8.5
47%1.89
Under 9.5
53%1.55
Under 10.5
66%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
59%1.61
Over 4.5
36%2.21
Under 3.5
41%2.19
Under 4.5
64%1.59

Match Events

41'A. Al Amri
44'A. Al AmriRoughing
46'M. Vina INJ. Sanabria out
46'D. Nunez INA. Canobbio out
63'M. Al Juwayr INN. Al Dawsari out
72'M. Ugarte INN. de la Cruz out
80'M. Araujo
81'M. Araujo INB. Rodriguez out
81'M. Abu Al Shamat INN. Boushal out
90'F. Vinas INR. Aguirre out
90+2'S. Abdulhamid INA. Lajami out
90+3'M. Al Harbi INA. Al Hamdan out
90+3'F. Al Buraikan INA. Hejji out

Lineups

Saudi Arabia
4-4-2Coach: Georgios Donis
Uruguay
4-2-3-1Coach: Marcelo Bielsa
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.67
Mohammed Al-Owais7.921M. Al-Owais
Saud Abdulhamid6.512S. Abdulhamid
Abdulelah Al-Amri7.34A. Al-Amri
Hassan Altambakti6.05H. Altambakti
Moteb Al-Harbi7.024M. Al-Harbi
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat6.226M. Abu Al-Shamat
Mohamed Kanno7.023M. Kanno
Abdullah Al-Khaibari6.315A. Al-Khaibari
Salem Al-DawsariC6.310S. Al-Dawsari
Firas Al-Buraikan6.69F. Al-Buraikan
Musab Al Juwayr6.37M. Al Juwayr
Fernando Muslera6.523F. Muslera
Guillermo Varela6.613G. Varela
Sebastián Cáceres6.63S. Cáceres
Mathías Olivera7.716M. Olivera
Matías Viña6.317M. Viña
Manuel Ugarte6.25M. Ugarte
Rodrigo Bentancur6.96R. Bentancur
Federico ValverdeC6.58F. Valverde
Federico Viñas6.321F. Viñas
Maximiliano Araújo7.520M. Araújo
99D. Núñez

Saudi Arabia Substitutes

6Nasser Al-Dawsari63'for M. Al Juwayr6.3
22Ahmed Al-Kassar
1Nawaf Al-Aqidi
3Ali Lajami90+2'for S. Abdulhamid
25Jehad Thakri
14Hassan Kadesh
2Ali Majrashi
13Nawaf Boushal81'for M. Abu Al Shamat6.3
16Ziyad Aljohani
8Ayman Yahya
18Ala'a Al-Hejji
11Saleh Al-Shehri
17Khalid Al-Ghannam
19Abdullah Al-Hamdan90+3'for M. Al Harbi
20Sultan Mandash

Uruguay Substitutes

25Juan Sanabria46'for M. Vina6.6
14Agustín Canobbio46'replaced by D. Nunez6.3
12Santiago Mele
1Sergio Rochet
2José María Giménez
24Santiago Bueno
22Joaquín Piquerez
18Brian Rodríguez81'for M. Araujo6.7
11Facundo Pellistri
15Emiliano Martínez
7Nicolás de la Cruz72'for M. Ugarte6.9
26Rodrigo Zalazar
19Rodrigo Aguirre90'for F. Vinas

Match Stats

Saudi ArabiaUruguay
33%Ball Possession67%
4Corner Kicks14
1Yellow Cards0
7Total Shots27
3Shots on Goal10
3Shots off Goal10
4Shots Inside Box16
3Shots Outside Box11
1Blocked Shots7
11Fouls6
0Offsides6
9Goalkeeper Saves2
322Total Passes612
236Passes Accurate540
73%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
UruguayUruguay
1670Elo Rating 1683
1.57Attack 1.01
3.00Defense 2.50
77%Hit Rate 31%
-Shots per Game 14.1
-Shots on Target 5.0
-Corners per Game 6.5
-Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
UruguayUruguay
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
UruguayUruguay1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

World Cup20/06/2018
UruguaySaudi Arabia
10

Recent Form

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
3W3D4L
10/06/2026
Saudi ArabiaSenegal
00
D
06/06/2026
Puerto RicoSaudi Arabia
03
W
31/05/2026
EcuadorSaudi Arabia
21
L
14/10/2025
Saudi ArabiaIraq
00
D
08/10/2025
IndonesiaSaudi Arabia
23
W
29/06/2025
MexicoSaudi Arabia
20
L
23/06/2025
Saudi ArabiaTrinidad and Tobago
11
D
20/06/2025
Saudi ArabiaUSA
01
L
16/06/2025
HaitiSaudi Arabia
01
W
10/06/2025
Saudi ArabiaAustralia
12
L
UruguayUruguay
3W4D3L
10/09/2025
ChileUruguay
00
D
05/09/2025
UruguayPeru
30
W
11/06/2025
UruguayVenezuela
20
W
06/06/2025
ParaguayUruguay
20
L
25/03/2025
BoliviaUruguay
00
D
22/03/2025
UruguayArgentina
01
L
20/11/2024
BrazilUruguay
11
D
16/11/2024
UruguayColombia
32
W
16/10/2024
UruguayEcuador
00
D
12/10/2024
PeruUruguay
10
L

Referee Profile

Maurizio Mariani204 matches

4.20Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Maurizio Mariani4.20
Other referees4.46

4.20 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.46).

Cards come from 195 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group H

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SpainSpain32105:0+57WWD
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands30302:203DDD
3UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia30211:5-42DLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SpainSpain35:07
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands32:23
3UruguayUruguay33:42
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia31:52

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Saudi Arabia and Uruguay in the World Cup table

In the World Cup table, Saudi Arabia (4th) and Uruguay (3rd) are level on 2 points. League goal record so far: Saudi Arabia 1-5, Uruguay 3-4. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Saudi Arabia and Uruguay have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.