England vs Croatia Prediction
World · Group Stage - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
England vs Croatia: the result in context
England beat Croatia 4-2 in the World Cup on 17 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game. Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.58 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
England
Avg ratingAvg rating
1J. Pickford
24R. James
2E. Konsa
5J. Stones
3N. O'Reilly
8E. Anderson
4D. Rice
20N. Madueke
10J. Bellingham
18A. Gordon
C9H. Kane
1D. Livaković
6J. Šutalo
22L. Vušković
4J. Gvardiol
2J. Stanišić
C10L. Modrić
15M. Pašalić
14I. Perišić
17P. Sučić
16M. Baturina
26P. MusaEngland Substitutes
Croatia Substitutes
Match Stats
EnglandCroatia Team Comparison
EnglandCroatiaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
England- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.4 vs 1.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Croatia- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
England2Wins · 50%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
13/06/2021EnglandCroatia
18/11/2018EnglandCroatia12/10/2018CroatiaEngland
11/07/2018CroatiaEnglandRecent Form
EnglandEngland
Costa RicaEngland
New Zealand
AlbaniaEnglandEngland
Serbia
LatviaEnglandSerbiaEnglandEngland
AndorraAndorraEnglandEnglandLatviaEnglandAlbaniaCroatiaCroatia
SloveniaCroatia
Belgium
MontenegroCroatiaCroatia
Faroe IslandsCroatia
Gibraltar
Czech RepublicCroatiaCroatiaMontenegroFaroe IslandsCroatiaCroatiaCzech RepublicGibraltarCroatiaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.58 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.10).
Cards come from 261 matches with official statistics.
Full referee stats
Explore more predictions
This match
More World Cup matches
About the England vs Croatia forecast
This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
England and Croatia in the World Cup table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: England are 1st in the World Cup, 1 point ahead of Croatia in 2nd. League goal record so far: England 6-2, Croatia 5-5. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. England have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.