Panama vs England Prediction

Panama
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
England
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford·A. Al Jassim 27/06/2026
PanamaPanama
0-2
Finished
EnglandEngland

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.94
SignalNEUTRALModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Panama Rest
3 days
England Rest
4 days

Panama vs England: the result in context

England beat Panama 2-0 in the World Cup on 27 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: England had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Panama.

Referee A. Al Jassim averages 4.81 cards a game, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
7%17.00
X
24%8.50
2
69%1.15
Double Chance
1X
31%5.50
X2
93%1.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.17
No
49%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.83 + 2.01 = 2.84
Over 1.5
72%1.09
Over 2.5
48%1.36
Over 3.5
27%1.99
Under 1.5
28%6.25
Under 2.5
52%2.96
Under 3.5
73%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 2.8 + 5.6 = 8.4
Over 8.5
51%1.50
Over 9.5
43%1.78
Over 10.5
32%2.25
Under 8.5
49%2.45
Under 9.5
57%1.94
Under 10.5
68%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.3 = 2.8
Over 3.5
44%3.30
Over 4.5
25%3.30
Under 3.5
56%1.27
Under 4.5
75%1.27

Match Events

46'Tomás Rodríguez INJosé Fajardo out
53'José FajardoFoul
60'Jarell QuansahFoul
62'Jude BellinghamAssist: Bukayo Saka
63'Bukayo Saka INNoni Madueke out
63'Jarell Quansah INDjed Spence out
67'Harry KaneAssist: Jude Bellingham
71'José Luis Rodríguez INAzarias Londoño out
71'Yoel Bárcenas INIsmael Díaz out
71'Jude Bellingham INEberechi Eze out
84'Andrés AndradeFoul
84'Harry Kane INOllie Watkins out
84'Elliot Anderson INJordan Henderson out
88'Jorge Gutiérrez INÉric Davis out
88'Carlos Harvey INAlberto Quintero out

Lineups

Panama
5-4-1Coach: Thomas Christiansen
England
4-1-4-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating7.06
Orlando Mosquera6.922O. Mosquera
Amir Murillo6.523A. Murillo
Fidel Escobar6.94F. Escobar
José Córdoba7.03J. Córdoba
Andrés Andrade6.216A. Andrade
Jorge Gutiérrez6.326J. Gutiérrez
Cristian Martínez6.66C. Martínez
Carlos Harvey6.914C. Harvey
Yoel BárcenasC6.211Y. Bárcenas
José Luis Rodríguez6.37J. Luis Rodríguez
Tomás Rodríguez6.39T. Rodríguez
Jordan Pickford7.21J. Pickford
Jarell Quansah7.326J. Quansah
Ezri Konsa7.52E. Konsa
Marc Guéhi7.66M. Guéhi
Nico O'Reilly7.23N. O'Reilly
Elliot Anderson7.38E. Anderson
Bukayo Saka6.77B. Saka
Morgan Rogers6.317M. Rogers
Jude Bellingham9.210J. Bellingham
Marcus Rashford6.211M. Rashford
Harry KaneC7.79H. Kane

Panama Substitutes

17José Fajardo46'for Tomás Rodríguez53'6.5
10Ismael Díaz71'for Yoel Bárcenas6.2
24Azarias Londoño71'for José Luis Rodríguez6.7
15Éric Davis88'for Jorge Gutiérrez6.6
19Alberto Quintero88'for Carlos Harvey6.5
12César Samudio
1Luis Mejía
13Jiovany Ramos
25Roderick Miller
2César Blackman
5Edgardo Fariña
20Aníbal Godoy
21César Yanis
8Adalberto Carrasquilla
18Cecilio Waterman

England Substitutes

25Djed Spence63'for Jarell Quansah7.0
20Noni Madueke63'for Bukayo Saka6.3
21Eberechi Eze71'for Jude Bellingham6.3
14Jordan Henderson84'for Elliot Anderson6.9
19Ollie Watkins84'for Harry Kane6.3
13Dean Henderson
23James Trafford
5John Stones
15Dan Burn
12Trevoh Chalobah
16Kobbie Mainoo
4Declan Rice
22Ivan Toney
18Anthony Gordon

Match Stats

PanamaEngland
33%Ball Possession67%
3Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots17
2Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
16Fouls13
4Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves2
268Total Passes558
202Passes Accurate490
75%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

PanamaPanama
EnglandEngland
1584Elo Rating 1902
0.50Attack 3.98
1.81Defense 1.94
0%Hit Rate 83%
9.8Shots per Game 18.1
2.7Shots on Target 6.8
3.0Corners per Game 5.7
2.4Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PanamaPanama
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
EnglandEngland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.4 vs 1.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

PanamaPanama0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
EnglandEngland1Wins · 100%
7.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

World Cup24/06/2018
EnglandPanama
61

Recent Form

PanamaPanama
4W3D3L
24/06/2026
PanamaCroatia
01
L
18/06/2026
GhanaPanama
10
L
06/06/2026
PanamaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
04/06/2026
PanamaDominican Republic
42
W
31/05/2026
BrazilPanama
62
L
19/11/2025
PanamaEl Salvador
30
W
14/11/2025
GuatemalaPanama
23
W
15/10/2025
PanamaSuriname
11
D
11/10/2025
El SalvadorPanama
01
W
09/09/2025
PanamaGuatemala
11
D
EnglandEngland
9W1D0L
23/06/2026
EnglandGhana
00
D
17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
W
10/06/2026
EnglandCosta Rica
30
W
06/06/2026
EnglandNew Zealand
10
W
16/11/2025
AlbaniaEngland
02
W
13/11/2025
EnglandSerbia
20
W
14/10/2025
LatviaEngland
05
W
09/09/2025
SerbiaEngland
05
W
06/09/2025
EnglandAndorra
20
W
07/06/2025
AndorraEngland
01
W

Referee Profile

A. Al Jassim148 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Al Jassim4.81
Other referees3.91

4.81 cards a match, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

About the Panama vs England forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Panama and England in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: England are 1st in the World Cup, 7 points ahead of Panama in 4th. League goal record so far: Panama 0-4, England 6-2. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. England have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Panama and England have met only 1 time recently, with 7.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.