England vs Ghana Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 2
Cup
England
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Ghana
Gillette Stadium, Boston·Said Martinez, Honduras 23/06/2026
EnglandEngland
0-0
Finished
GhanaGhana

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel90%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
England Rest
6 days
Ghana Rest
5 days

England vs Ghana: the result in context

England and Ghana drew 0-0 in the World Cup on 23 Jun 2026. England had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 3 for Ghana.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.19
X
20%7.00
2
4%16.75
Double Chance
1X
96%1.02
X2
24%4.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.32
No
47%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.78 + 0.96 = 3.74
Over 1.5
75%1.16
Over 2.5
52%1.55
Over 3.5
32%2.40
Under 1.5
25%4.85
Under 2.5
48%2.41
Under 3.5
68%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 2.1 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%1.74
Over 9.5
44%2.21
Over 10.5
33%2.97
Under 8.5
47%2.00
Under 9.5
56%1.60
Under 10.5
67%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.7 = 3.2
Over 3.5
51%2.90
Over 4.5
29%3.80
Under 3.5
49%1.36
Under 4.5
71%1.24

Match Events

41'Declan RiceFoul
60'Iñaki WilliamsFoul
65'Anthony Gordon INBukayo Saka out
66'Djed Spence INNico O'Reilly out
66'Iñaki Williams INAbdul Fatawu Issahaku out
67'Jordan Ayew INPrince Kwabena Adu out
73'Jude Bellingham INMorgan Rogers out
74'Elliot Anderson INEberechi Eze out
83'Noni Madueke INMarcus Rashford out
87'Marvin Senaya INKojo Peprah Oppong out

Extra Time

95'Prince Kwabena Adu INAbdul Rahman Baba out

Lineups

England
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Ghana
4-1-4-1Coach: Carlos Queiroz
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.68
Jordan Pickford7.21J. Pickford
Reece James7.324R. James
Ezri Konsa7.42E. Konsa
Marc Guéhi7.46M. Guéhi
Djed Spence7.225D. Spence
Elliot Anderson7.08E. Anderson
Declan Rice7.74D. Rice
Noni Madueke6.420N. Madueke
Jude Bellingham7.210J. Bellingham
Anthony Gordon7.018A. Gordon
Harry Kane6.39H. Kane
Benjamin Asare7.316B. Asare
Marvin Senaya26M. Senaya
Jonas Adjei Adjetey6.44J. Adjei Adjetey
Jerome Opoku7.318J. Opoku
Gideon Mensah7.414G. Mensah
Thomas Partey7.35T. Partey
Iñaki Williams6.119I. Williams
Caleb Yirenkyi6.43C. Yirenkyi
Kwasi Sibo6.68K. Sibo
Antoine Semenyo6.211A. Semenyo
Jordan Ayew6.09J. Ayew

England Substitutes

3Nico O'Reilly66'for Djed Spence6.5
7Bukayo Saka65'for Anthony Gordon6.8
23James Trafford
13Dean Henderson
5John Stones
26Jarell Quansah
15Dan Burn
12Trevoh Chalobah
14Jordan Henderson
21Eberechi Eze74'for Elliot Anderson6.6
16Kobbie Mainoo
17Morgan Rogers73'for Jude Bellingham6.4
22Ivan Toney
19Ollie Watkins
11Marcus Rashford83'for Noni Madueke6.1

Ghana Substitutes

7Abdul Fatawu Issahaku66'for Iñaki Williams6.6
25Prince Kwabena Adu67'for Jordan Ayew95'for Abdul Rahman Baba6.7
1Lawrence Ati Zigi
12Joseph Anang
21Kojo Peprah Oppong87'replaced by Marvin Senaya6.5
23Derrick Luckassen
2Alidu Seidu
6Abdul Mumin
17Rahman Baba95'replaced by Prince Kwabena Adu6.5
13Christopher Baah
15Elisha Owusu
10Brandon Thomas-Asante
20Augustine Boakye
22Kamaldeen Sulemana
24Ernest Nuamah

Match Stats

EnglandGhana
79%Ball Possession21%
9Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots2
3Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal0
14Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box0
6Blocked Shots1
14Fouls24
2Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
633Total Passes172
586Passes Accurate127
93%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

EnglandEngland
GhanaGhana
1902Elo Rating 1510
3.98Attack 0.70
1.94Defense 0.94
83%Hit Rate 0%
18.1Shots per Game 8.9
6.8Shots on Target 1.8
5.7Corners per Game 4.5
1.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+392 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.74 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

EnglandEngland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.4 vs 1.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GhanaGhana
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Recent Form

EnglandEngland
10W0D0L
17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
W
10/06/2026
EnglandCosta Rica
30
W
06/06/2026
EnglandNew Zealand
10
W
16/11/2025
AlbaniaEngland
02
W
13/11/2025
EnglandSerbia
20
W
14/10/2025
LatviaEngland
05
W
09/09/2025
SerbiaEngland
05
W
06/09/2025
EnglandAndorra
20
W
07/06/2025
AndorraEngland
01
W
24/03/2025
EnglandLatvia
30
W
GhanaGhana
6W2D2L
18/06/2026
GhanaPanama
10
W
02/06/2026
WalesGhana
11
D
23/05/2026
MexicoGhana
20
L
12/10/2025
GhanaComoros
10
W
08/10/2025
Central African RepublicGhana
05
W
08/09/2025
GhanaMali
10
W
04/09/2025
ChadGhana
11
D
24/03/2025
MadagascarGhana
03
W
21/03/2025
GhanaChad
50
W
28/12/2024
NigeriaGhana
31
L

Referee Profile

Said Martinez23 matches

3.83Cards per match
3.67Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
34.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Said Martinez3.83
Other referees4.08

3.83 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.08).

Cards come from 18 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

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About the England vs Ghana forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

England and Ghana in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: England are 1st in the World Cup, 3 points ahead of Ghana in 3rd. League goal record so far: England 6-2, Ghana 2-2. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. England have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. England and Ghana have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.