Togo vs Burundi Prediction

Togo
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Burundi
Stade de Kegue, Lome·Celso Alvação 25/09/2026
TogoTogo
1-0
Finished
BurundiBurundi

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.56
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Togo Rest
107 days
Burundi Rest
122 days

Togo vs Burundi: the result in context

Togo beat Burundi 1-0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.56
X
27%3.49
2
12%6.00
Double Chance
1X
88%1.10
X2
39%2.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'Dermane KarimAssist: Zuberu Sharani
45'S. Ntibazonkiza INBienvenue Kanakimana out
55'Komlavi Komi INSadik Fofana out
56'Kevin BomaFoul
61'Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana INAsman ndikumana out
73'Kodjo Jean Claude INsamsondin ouro out
73'Kevin Denkey INLaba Kodjo out
75'Christophe NduwarugiraFoul
76'Mokono Elie Eldhino INCedric Amissi out
76'Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana INH. Msanga out
80'Zuberu SharaniFoul
83'J. Girumugisha INMohamed Amissi out
85'Zuberu Sharani INLoic·Bessile out
90+2'Youssouf NdayishimiyeFoul

Lineups

Togo
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Neveu
Burundi
4-3-3Coach: P. Sangwa
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.43
M. Barcola8.116M. Barcola
H. Koudossou6.219H. Koudossou
K. Boma6.42K. Boma
S. Nador6.75S. Nador
88A. Sabourh Bode
K. Aziangbe6.515K. Aziangbe
D. Dakonam6.621D. Dakonam
1313K. Komi
D. Karim8.217D. Karim
S. Zuberu7.511S. Zuberu
K. Denkey6.310K. Denkey
J. Nahimana6.51J. Nahimana
44A. Muderi
F. Nsabiyumva6.319F. Nsabiyumva
1515O. Moussa
C. Nduwarugira6.022C. Nduwarugira
66A. Karim Mpawenimana
Y. Ndayishimiye6.614Y. Ndayishimiye
88M. Elie Eldhino
S. Ntibazonkiza6.710S. Ntibazonkiza
B. Bimenyimana5.812B. Bimenyimana
77J. Girumugisha

Togo Substitutes

18I. Akakpo
4G. Akueson
22Y. Annor
12Atte youssifou
3L. Bessilé85'for Zuberu Sharani6.5
20S. Fofana55'replaced by Komlavi Komi6.9
9K. Laba73'for Kevin Denkey6.4
1S. Mensah
7P. Nadjombe
6S. Ouro73'for Kodjo Jean Claude6.7
14M. Ouro-Tagba
23Achirafou Yaya

Burundi Substitutes

9S. Abdallah
11M. Amissi76'replaced by Mokono Elie Eldhino83'replaced by J. Girumugisha6.3
17Cedric Amissi76'replaced by Mokono Elie Eldhino83'replaced by J. Girumugisha
3K. Icoyitungiye
20B. Kanakimana45'for S. Ntibazonkiza6.1
5H. Msanga76'replaced by Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana
2D. Mukombozi
21Asman ndikumana61'replaced by Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana
18Mossi Nduwumwe
23O. Onésime
16Daniel Hakizimana

Match Stats

TogoBurundi
52%Ball Possession48%
9Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots5
22Fouls20
2Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves2
326Total Passes314
254Passes Accurate233
20Free Kicks22

Team Comparison

TogoTogo
BurundiBurundi
1434Elo Rating 1307
0.37Attack 0.54
2.30Defense 1.39
37%Hit Rate 0%
12.5Shots per Game 14.4
1.9Shots on Target 3.9
6.8Corners per Game 6.0
1.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+127 Elo

Game State Tendencies

TogoTogo
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
BurundiBurundi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

TogoTogo
2W5D3L
09/06/2026
TogoBenin
51
W
05/06/2026
Central African RepublicTogo
11
D
13/10/2025
South SudanTogo
00
D
10/10/2025
TogoCongo DR
01
L
09/09/2025
TogoSudan
10
W
05/09/2025
MauritaniaTogo
20
L
25/03/2025
SenegalTogo
20
L
22/03/2025
TogoMauritania
22
D
27/12/2024
NigerTogo
00
D
22/12/2024
TogoNiger
11
D
BurundiBurundi
3W0D7L
26/05/2026
MoroccoBurundi
50
L
31/03/2026
BurundiChad
40
W
27/03/2026
ChadBurundi
04
W
14/10/2025
GabonBurundi
20
L
09/10/2025
BurundiKenya
01
L
09/09/2025
GambiaBurundi
20
L
05/09/2025
Ivory CoastBurundi
10
L
25/03/2025
BurundiSeychelles
50
W
21/03/2025
BurundiIvory Coast
01
L
29/12/2024
UgandaBurundi
10
L

Referee Profile

Celso Alvação30 matches

3.64Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.00Red cards per match
31.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Celso Alvação3.64
Other referees3.70

3.64 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.70).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlgeriaAlgeria21105:3+24DW
2ZambiaZambia21013:303WL
3TogoTogo21011:2-13LW
4BurundiBurundi20112:3-11WW
#TeamMPGPts
1AlgeriaAlgeria25:34
2ZambiaZambia23:33
3TogoTogo21:23
4BurundiBurundi22:31
Promotion

About the Togo vs Burundi forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Togo and Burundi have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.