Algeria vs Zambia Prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Algeria
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Zambia
Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Kabylia·Yannick Malala 25/09/2026
AlgeriaAlgeria
3-1
Finished
ZambiaZambia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-12.1%
Algeria Rest
84 days
Zambia Rest
270 days

Algeria vs Zambia: the result in context

Algeria beat Zambia 3-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.20
X
18%5.40
2
11%13.00
Double Chance
1X
89%1.03
X2
29%4.08
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'Jaouen HadjamAssist: Mohamed Amoura
20'Amine Gouiri INAmin Chiakha out
45'Patson Daka INDavid Simukonda out
49'Joseph LitetaFoul
57'Fashion SakalaAssist: David Simukonda
67'Ibrahim MazaAssist: Mohamed Amoura
68'Mathews Banda INGhampani Lungu out
68'Miguel Changa Chaiwa INOwen Tembo out
68'A. Kangwanda INLameck Banda out
71'Adem Zorgane INHimad Abdelli out
71'Mohamed Amoura INAdil Boulbina out
71'Mohamed Belloumi INAnis Hadj Moussa out
74'Anis Hadj MoussaAssist: Ibrahim Maza
77'Kingstone Mutandwa INChanka Zimba out
82'Owen TemboFoul
89'S. Radouani INAchraf Abada out
89'Fashion SakalaFoul

Lineups

Algeria
4-3-3Coach: B. Hemdani
Zambia
4-4-2Coach: M. Sichone
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.03
M. Mastil6.81M. Mastil
1919S. Radouani
S. Chergui6.92S. Chergui
R. Bensebaïni6.921R. Bensebaïni
J. Hadjam7.713J. Hadjam
F. Chaïbi6.410F. Chaïbi
A. Zorgane7.16A. Zorgane
I. Maza8.930I. Maza
M. Belloumi6.920M. Belloumi
A. Gouiri6.59A. Gouiri
M. Amoura7.311M. Amoura
11W. Mwanza
M. Banda5.915M. Banda
66R. Chanda
Dominic Chanda6.121D. Chanda
D. Hamansenya5.822D. Hamansenya
1111A. Kangwanda
M. Chaiwa5.55M. Chaiwa
J. Liteta5.726J. Liteta
F. Sakala7.110F. Sakala
K. Mutandwa6.47K. Mutandwa
P. Daka6.420P. Daka

Algeria Substitutes

17H. Abdelli71'for Adem Zorgane6.3
14A. Aouchiche
15R. Aït-Nouri
22M. Bakrar
5Z. Belaïd
18A. Boulbina71'for Mohamed Amoura7.0
12Amin Chiakha20'for Amine Gouiri6.5
7A. Hadj-Moussa71'for Mohamed Belloumi74'7.6
24I. Kebbal
23A. Ramdane
4A. Touba
3A. Abada89'replaced by S. Radouani6.3

Zambia Substitutes

2Tinklar Sinkala
28David Simukonda45'for Patson Daka6.0
4Owen Mwamba
16Tresford Lawrence Mulenga
27Eliya Mandanji
24G. Lungu68'for Mathews Banda6.4
14Given Kalusa
3Obino Chisala
9L. Banda68'replaced by A. Kangwanda5.9
12Wilson Chisala
25Owen Tembo68'replaced by Miguel Changa Chaiwa82'
19Chanka Zimba77'replaced by Kingstone Mutandwa

Match Stats

AlgeriaZambia
67%Ball Possession33%
6Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
21Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal8
14Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots2
13Fouls18
4Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
546Total Passes249
491Passes Accurate196
18Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

AlgeriaAlgeria
ZambiaZambia
1647Elo Rating 1526
2.01Attack 1.07
1.20Defense 1.56
37%Hit Rate 41%
13.7Shots per Game 9.1
4.5Shots on Target 2.2
3.7Corners per Game 4.5
1.1Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AlgeriaAlgeria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
ZambiaZambia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AlgeriaAlgeria1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
ZambiaZambia2Wins · 50%
4.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification25/03/2021
ZambiaAlgeria
33
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification14/11/2019
AlgeriaZambia
50
World Cup - Qualification Africa05/09/2017
AlgeriaZambia
01
World Cup - Qualification Africa02/09/2017
ZambiaAlgeria
31

Recent Form

AlgeriaAlgeria
6W1D3L
03/07/2026
SwitzerlandAlgeria
20
L28/06/2026
AlgeriaAustria
33
D
23/06/2026
JordanAlgeria
12
W
17/06/2026
ArgentinaAlgeria
30
L
11/06/2026
BoliviaAlgeria
04
W
03/06/2026
NetherlandsAlgeria
01
W
10/01/2026
AlgeriaNigeria
02
L
06/01/2026
AlgeriaCongo DR
1000
W
31/12/2025
Equatorial GuineaAlgeria
13
W
28/12/2025
AlgeriaBurkina Faso
10
W
ZambiaZambia
1W2D7L
29/12/2025
ZambiaMorocco
03
L
26/12/2025
ZambiaComoros
00
D
22/12/2025
MaliZambia
11
D
12/10/2025
ZambiaNiger
01
L
08/10/2025
TanzaniaZambia
01
W
08/09/2025
ZambiaMorocco
02
L
17/08/2025
ZambiaKenya
01
L
14/08/2025
MoroccoZambia
31
L
10/08/2025
ZambiaAngola
12
L
07/08/2025
Congo DRZambia
20
L

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlgeriaAlgeria21105:3+24DW
2ZambiaZambia21013:303WL
3TogoTogo21011:2-13LW
4BurundiBurundi20112:3-11WW
#TeamMPGPts
1AlgeriaAlgeria25:34
2ZambiaZambia23:33
3TogoTogo21:23
4BurundiBurundi22:31
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About the Algeria vs Zambia forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.