APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs UNSW Prediction

Lambert Park, Sydney 25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+2.8%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Rest
7 days
UNSW Rest
7 days

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs UNSW: the result in context

APIA Leichhardt Tigers beat UNSW 4-1 in the New South Wales NPL on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.40
X
16%4.40
2
10%5.84
Double Chance
1X
90%1.08
X2
26%2.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.62
No
40%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.44 + 1.05 = 3.49
Over 1.5
88%1.12
Over 2.5
72%1.47
Over 3.5
53%2.20
Under 1.5
12%4.95
Under 2.5
28%2.45
Under 3.5
47%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'R. Jordan
45+2'P. Ortiz
51'P. Ortiz
56'P. Ortiz
70'C. Fowler

Team Comparison

APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
UNSWUNSW
1644Elo Rating 1444
1.74Attack 0.31
1.80Defense 1.22
42%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+201 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.49 goals

Game State Tendencies

APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
UNSWUNSW
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
UNSWUNSW0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

New South Wales NPL11/04/2026
UNSWAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
11

Recent Form

APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
7W1D2L
UNSWUNSW
6W0D4L
18/07/2026
UNSWNWS Spirit
31
W
11/07/2026
St George City FAUNSW
02
W
04/07/2026
UNSWSydney FC U23
32
W
27/06/2026
UNSWSutherland Sharks
13
L
21/06/2026
Marconi StallionsUNSW
10
L
13/06/2026
UNSWSt. George Saints
14
L
06/06/2026
SD RaidersUNSW
20
L
30/05/2026
UNSWWollongong Wolves
10
W
23/05/2026
UNSWSydney United
20
W
16/05/2026
UNSWRockdale City Suns
20
W

League Table

New South Wales NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers30215466:35+3168WDWDW
2Sydney UnitedSydney United30204647:20+2764WDWWW
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions30195650:22+2862DWWLL
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks301441246:38+846LWLDW
5Manly UnitedManly United301281039:35+444WWLWD
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns301341348:42+643WLLLD
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit301251337:38-141DWWWL
8SD RaidersSD Raiders301251344:49-541WLLWW
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23301181138:43-541DWLDL
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U23301151455:49+638WLLLW
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves301151435:43-838LWWLL
12St George City FASt George City FA301071330:46-1637LLWWW
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City30881441:48-732LLDLW
14UNSWUNSW30951638:49-1132LLDLL
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints30831928:55-2727LWWDL
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic30651932:62-3023DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers3066:3568
2Sydney UnitedSydney United3047:2064
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions3050:2262
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks3046:3846
5Manly UnitedManly United3039:3544
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns3048:4243
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit3037:3841
8SD RaidersSD Raiders3044:4941
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U233038:4341
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U233055:4938
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves3035:4338
12St George City FASt George City FA3030:4637
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City3041:4832
14UNSWUNSW3038:4932
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints3028:5527
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic3032:6223

About the APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs UNSW forecast

The forecasts for this New South Wales NPL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers and UNSW in the New South Wales NPL table

The table shows a wide gap: APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 1st in the New South Wales NPL, while UNSW sit 14th, 36 points behind. League goal record so far: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 66-35, UNSW 38-49. The full standings are on the New South Wales NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

APIA Leichhardt Tigers and UNSW have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.