Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction

Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Argentino de Merlo Rest
8 days
Sportivo Italiano Rest
7 days

Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano: the result in context

Sportivo Italiano beat Argentino de Merlo 2-1 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sportivo Italiano had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Argentino de Merlo.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.30
X
30%2.98
2
42%2.13
Double Chance
1X
58%1.58
X2
72%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.97
No
56%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.88 + 1.14 = 2.02
Over 1.5
63%1.39
Over 2.5
37%2.31
Over 3.5
19%4.33
Under 1.5
37%2.59
Under 2.5
63%1.52
Under 3.5
81%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'F. Centurion INA. Guerra out
57'L. Fantino INA. Daivez out
59'K. Gimenez INJ. De Cuadro out
61'F. Sellecchia INA. Salvador out
64'F. Gomez
74'M. Gomez INJ. Ortiz out
74'J. Rodriguez INC. Medina out
78'F. Gomez INT. Hirigoyen out
78'L. Laborda INR. Fortino out
80'P. Caceres
89'D. Ursino INF. Lopez out
89'L. Romero INT. Jerez out
90'
90+5'

Team Comparison

Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
1427Elo Rating 1560
1.09Attack 1.00
1.45Defense 1.59
27%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo2Wins · 22%
Draws445%
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano3Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana31/05/2026
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
02
Primera B Metropolitana13/07/2025
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
11
Primera B Metropolitana23/02/2025
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
00
Primera B Metropolitana29/09/2024
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
51
Primera B Metropolitana11/05/2024
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
11
Primera C07/08/2022
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
12
Primera C04/04/2022
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
00
Primera C20/09/2021
Argentino de MerloSportivo Italiano
13
Primera C30/04/2021
Sportivo ItalianoArgentino de Merlo
32

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas42249969:33+3681LWDWL
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi422114756:28+2877DWDWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4220121048:33+1572WLDWW
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4220111146:27+1971LWLDL
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4219131050:35+1570WLWDL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4218141040:28+1268LWLDL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4218121245:41+466DWDLW
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4217121343:40+363DLDDW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4215151240:35+560WLDDD
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4215141351:53-259DWWDW
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4212151541:46-551DLWLW
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4212151543:49-651LLDLW
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4213111839:45-650WWLLL
14FlandriaFlandria4213101940:50-1049DWWWD
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4211161540:55-1549DLWDD
16LiniersLiniers4211151636:43-748WLDDW
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4210171533:41-847LWLDD
18Dock SudDock Sud4211141742:51-947LLLLL
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4210161635:41-646DWDLD
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4210161626:38-1246WLDWD
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza428211328:38-1045WWDWW
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó421142728:69-4117LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4269:3381
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4256:2877
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4248:3372
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4246:2771
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4250:3570
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4240:2868
7Real PilarReal Pilar4245:4166
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4243:4063
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4240:3560
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4251:5359
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4241:4651
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4243:4951
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4239:4550
14FlandriaFlandria4240:5049
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4240:5549
16LiniersLiniers4236:4348
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4233:4147
18Dock SudDock Sud4242:5147
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4235:4146
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4226:3846
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4228:3845
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4228:6917
PromotionRelegation

About the Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Argentino de Merlo and Sportivo Italiano in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Sportivo Italiano are 3rd and Argentino de Merlo 13th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Argentino de Merlo 39-45, Sportivo Italiano 48-33. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.