Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC Prediction

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
2.10
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseHighGap+9.0%
Asteras Tripolis Rest
3 days
AEK Athens FC Rest
4 days

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC: the result in context

Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens FC drew 1-1 in the Super League 1 on 13 Sep 2026. AEK Athens FC had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for Asteras Tripolis.

AEK Athens FC have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. AEK Athens FC tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 2.4 for Asteras Tripolis.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%7.75
X
19%4.45
2
70%1.39
Double Chance
1X
31%2.88
X2
89%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.03
No
50%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.77 + 2.04 = 2.81
Over 1.5
78%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.82
Over 3.5
33%3.10
Under 1.5
22%3.73
Under 2.5
44%1.95
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.3 + 6.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
55%1.97
Over 9.5
48%2.57
Over 10.5
39%3.40
Under 8.5
45%1.69
Under 9.5
52%1.40
Under 10.5
61%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 1.8 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.38
Over 4.5
43%1.67
Under 3.5
37%2.90
Under 4.5
57%2.10

Match Events

4'Lovro MajerFoul
21'Dimitrios LaskarisOG
31'Julián BartoloAssist: Federico Macheda
52'Kervin Arriaga INBarnabás Varga out
52'Mijat Gaćinović INAboubakary Koita out
54'Julián BartoloFoul
74'Federico Macheda INRicardo Viana Filho out
74'Dimitrios Kourbelis INGiannis Bouzoukis out
81'Kalvin Ketu INAntonis Papakanellos out
88'Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador INPetros Mantalos out
90+1'Giannis KotsirasTime wasting
90+2'Julián Bartolo INAlexandros Tereziou out

Lineups

Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3Coach: G. Antonopoulos
AEK Athens FC
4-4-2Coach: M. Nikolić
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating6.84
V. Chatziemmanouil6.161V. Chatziemmanouil
F. Brorsson6.116F. Brorsson
D. Laskaris5.074D. Laskaris
J. Silva6.532J. Silva
G. Kotsiras6.127G. Kotsiras
D. Kourbelis6.721D. Kourbelis
Eder González6.410E. González
Alex Méndez6.628A. Méndez
J. Bartolo8.27J. Bartolo
F. Macheda6.89F. Macheda
K. Ketu7.111K. Ketu
A. Brignoli7.791A. Brignoli
L. Rota6.512L. Rota
H. Moukoudi6.52H. Moukoudi
Filipe Relvas7.844F. Relvas
S. Pilios7.13S. Pilios
L. Majer7.214L. Majer
K. Arriaga6.616K. Arriaga
R. Marin6.718R. Marin
M. Gaćinović6.48M. Gaćinović
Zini7.090Zini
L. Jović6.49L. Jović

Asteras Tripolis Substitutes

91T. Kakadiaris
20N. Kaltsas
51Giannis Kriaras
75B. Mbunga Kimpioka
19F. Orozco
44A. Papakanellos81'for Kalvin Ketu6.2
80B. Pérez
17A. Tereziou90+2'for Julián Bartolo
39Ricardinho74'for Federico Macheda6.4
6K. Chrisopoulos
14J. Chicco
8I. Bouzoukis74'for Dimitrios Kourbelis6.5

AEK Athens FC Substitutes

20P. Mantalos88'for Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador6.2
22C. Lykogiannis
17Dimitrios Kaloskamis
41Marios Balamotis
23João Mário
15M. Todorski
19B. Varga52'for Kervin Arriaga6.8
21D. Vida
27M. Vitális
11A. Koita52'for Mijat Gaćinović7.0
10O. Zubkov
6K. Kairinen

Match Stats

Asteras TripolisAEK Athens FC
37%Ball Possession63%
8Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal10
10Shots Inside Box17
3Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots7
18Fouls11
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
285Total Passes484
218Passes Accurate413
11Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC
1505Elo Rating 1801
1.37Attack 2.55
1.33Defense 1.13
34%Hit Rate 58%
8.2Shots per Game 16.8
3.4Shots on Target 5.9
2.4Corners per Game 5.7
1.6Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis0Wins · 0%
Draws220%
AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC8Wins · 80%
2.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League 124/01/2026
Asteras TripolisAEK Athens FC
01
Super League 131/08/2025
AEK Athens FCAsteras Tripolis
10
Super League 123/02/2025
Asteras TripolisAEK Athens FC
03
Super League 109/11/2024
AEK Athens FCAsteras Tripolis
30
Super League 104/02/2024
AEK Athens FCAsteras Tripolis
42
Super League 122/10/2023
Asteras TripolisAEK Athens FC
03
Super League 125/02/2023
AEK Athens FCAsteras Tripolis
20
Super League 106/11/2022
Asteras TripolisAEK Athens FC
11
Super League 106/03/2022
AEK Athens FCAsteras Tripolis
21
Super League 111/12/2021
Asteras TripolisAEK Athens FC
00

Recent Form

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
2W4D4L
10/09/2026
Asteras TripolisAris Thessalonikis
11
D
07/09/2026
Asteras TripolisIraklis 1908
02
L
30/08/2026
Asteras TripolisOlympiakos Piraeus
01
L
23/08/2026
PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
31
L
18/08/2026
LevadiakosAsteras Tripolis
20
L
31/07/2026
ADO Den HaagAsteras Tripolis
00
D
28/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis
11
D
21/05/2026
PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
12
W
16/05/2026
Asteras TripolisKifisia
00
D
12/05/2026
Asteras TripolisPanserraikos
10
W
AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC
6W2D2L
08/09/2026
AEK Athens FCLask Linz
10
W
05/09/2026
AEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
50
W
02/09/2026
Nestos ChrisoupolisAEK Athens FC
02
W
30/08/2026
KifisiaAEK Athens FC
11
D
26/08/2026
AEK Athens FCLevski Sofia
40
W
22/08/2026
AEK Athens FCIraklis 1908
40
W
18/08/2026
Levski SofiaAEK Athens FC
00
D
12/08/2026
AEK Athens FCOFI
4252
L
02/08/2026
AEK Athens FCSt. Truiden
30
W
29/07/2026
AEK Athens FCSamsunspor
12
L

League Table

Super League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos870118:4+1421WWLWW
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus861112:2+1019WWWWL
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC752021:3+1817WWWDW
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis851213:14-116WWWDL
5PAOKPAOK850316:11+515LWLWW
6OFIOFI841313:12+113WLLDW
7KifisiaKifisia832310:11-111WLWWD
8KalamataKalamata831413:17-410LWWLW
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190882339:11-29LLWDD
10PanetolikosPanetolikos83058:16-89LLLLL
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis81347:15-86DLWDD
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80350:11-113DDLLD
13AtromitosAtromitos70256:12-62LLLDD
14Volos NFCVolos NFC80356:13-70LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos818:421
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus812:219
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC721:317
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis813:1416
5PAOKPAOK816:1115
6OFIOFI813:1213
7KifisiaKifisia810:1111
8KalamataKalamata813:1710
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190889:119
10PanetolikosPanetolikos88:169
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis87:156
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80:113
13AtromitosAtromitos76:122
14Volos NFCVolos NFC86:130
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC forecast

The forecasts for this Super League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Asteras Tripolis and AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 table

The table shows a wide gap: AEK Athens FC are 3rd in the Super League 1, while Asteras Tripolis sit 11th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Asteras Tripolis 7-15, AEK Athens FC 21-3. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.