Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC Prediction

Levski Sofia
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
AEK Athens FC
Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, Sofia·Glenn Nyberg, Sweden 18/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.1 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.42
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+10.3%
Levski Sofia Rest
7 days
AEK Athens FC Rest
6 days

Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC: the result in context

Levski Sofia and AEK Athens FC drew 0-0 in the UEFA Champions League on 18 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

AEK Athens FC tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 2.4 for Levski Sofia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.30
X
25%3.10
2
42%2.27
Double Chance
1X
58%1.58
X2
67%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.93
No
51%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.2 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.42
Over 2.5
51%2.31
Over 3.5
27%4.33
Under 1.5
25%2.75
Under 2.5
49%1.60
Under 3.5
73%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
48%1.98
Over 9.5
41%2.56
Over 10.5
30%3.50
Under 8.5
52%1.77
Under 9.5
59%1.44
Under 10.5
70%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
39%1.63
Over 4.5
29%2.20
Under 3.5
61%2.13
Under 4.5
71%1.54

Match Events

58'L. Jovic INB. Varga out
58'L. Majer INP. Mantalos out
67'A. Oko-Flex INJ. Perea out
79'Reinaldo INA. Mitkov out
79'Everton Bala INM. Soula out
81'Zini INO. Zubkov out
81'A. Koita INM. Gacinovic out
88'A. Neves INS. Hevertton out
89'Maicon INS. Stoyanchov out

Lineups

Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Julio Velazquez
AEK Athens FC
4-4-2Coach: Marko Nikolic
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.73
Svetoslav Vutsov7.292S. Vutsov
Aldair6.721Aldair
Kristian DimitrovC7.750K. Dimitrov
Nikola Serafimov7.331N. Serafimov
Álex Centelles6.720Á. Centelles
El Mehdi Moubarik7.219E. Mehdi Moubarik
Maicon7.23Maicon
Armstrong Oko-Flex6.311A. Oko-Flex
Serginho7.335Serginho
Everton Bala6.517E. Bala
Reinaldo6.57Reinaldo
Thomas Strakosha6.91T. Strakosha
Lazaros Rota6.912L. Rota
Harold MoukoudiC6.62H. Moukoudi
Filipe Relvas7.344F. Relvas
Stavros Pilios7.03S. Pilios
Lovro Majer6.914L. Majer
Răzvan Marin6.718R. Marin
Kaan Kairinen6.26K. Kairinen
Aboubakary Koita7.311A. Koita
Zini6.590Zini
Luka Jović6.29L. Jović

Levski Sofia Substitutes

9Juan Perea67'for A. Oko-Flex6.3
78Martin Lukov
1Ognyan Vladimirov
2Hevertton Santos88'for A. Neves
4Christian Makoun
18Gašper Trdin
10Asen Ivanov Mitkov79'for Reinaldo6.7
22Mazire Soula79'for Everton Bala6.5
27David Kusso
77Adrian Raychev
28Steven Stoyanchov89'for Maicon

AEK Athens FC Substitutes

20Petros Mantalos58'for L. Majer6.6
25Barnabás Varga58'for L. Jovic6.6
91Alberto Brignoli
41Marios Balamotis
15Martin Georgiev
21Domagoj Vida
7Dereck Kutesa
8Mijat Gaćinović81'for A. Koita6.7
10Oleksandr Zubkov81'for Zini6.5
17Dimitrios Kaloskamis

Match Stats

Levski SofiaAEK Athens FC
52%Ball Possession48%
1Corner Kicks2
15Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal9
6Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots2
8Fouls17
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
490Total Passes459
431Passes Accurate396
88%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC
1745Elo Rating 1801
1.52Attack 2.55
2.39Defense 1.13
66%Hit Rate 58%
9.3Shots per Game 16.8
2.2Shots on Target 5.9
2.4Corners per Game 5.7
0.7Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC
5W3D2L
12/08/2026
AEK Athens FCOFI
4252
L
02/08/2026
AEK Athens FCSt. Truiden
30
W
29/07/2026
AEK Athens FCSamsunspor
12
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
W
18/07/2026
GroningenAEK Athens FC
12
W
15/07/2026
VitesseAEK Athens FC
00
D
12/07/2026
De GraafschapAEK Athens FC
12
W
17/05/2026
AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus
11
D
13/05/2026
PAOKAEK Athens FC
11
D
10/05/2026
AEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
21
W

Referee Profile

Glenn Nyberg200 matches

3.59Cards per match
3.46Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Glenn Nyberg3.59
Other referees3.94

3.59 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded

League Table

UEFA Champions League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain330014:5+99WWW
2Aston VillaAston Villa330012:3+99WWW
3LiverpoolLiverpool330012:7+59WWW
4Real MadridReal Madrid330010:5+59WWW
5Real BetisReal Betis33007:4+39WWW
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart32107:2+57DWW
7ArsenalArsenal32106:2+47DWW
8BarcelonaBarcelona320111:6+56LWW
9ComoComo320110:5+56WLW
10Manchester CityManchester City32019:5+46WLW
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV32019:6+36WWL
12Sporting CPSporting CP32017:4+36LWW
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund32015:4+16WLW
14Bayern MünchenBayern München312010:5+55DDW
15AS RomaAS Roma31118:5+34WLD
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid31114:3+14DWL
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk31114:3+14LWD
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven31112:204WLD
19VillarrealVillarreal31028:803LWL
20InterInter31025:6-13WLL
21Manchester UnitedManchester United31025:6-13LLW
22NapoliNapoli31025:7-23WLL
23GalatasarayGalatasaray31026:9-33WLL
24Lask LinzLask Linz31026:9-33WLL
25Sabah FASabah FA31023:6-33LWL
26FeyenoordFeyenoord31024:8-43LWL
27LensLens31023:7-43LLW
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt31024:9-53LWL
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC31023:8-53LLW
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig31023:8-53LWL
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe30213:9-62DLD
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha30124:7-31DLL
33VikingViking30125:9-41LDL
34FC PortoFC Porto30032:6-40LLL
35LilleLille30034:10-60LLL
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava30031:13-120LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain314:59
2Aston VillaAston Villa312:39
3LiverpoolLiverpool312:79
4Real MadridReal Madrid310:59
5Real BetisReal Betis37:49
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart37:27
7ArsenalArsenal36:27
8BarcelonaBarcelona311:66
9ComoComo310:56
10Manchester CityManchester City39:56
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV39:66
12Sporting CPSporting CP37:46
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund35:46
14Bayern MünchenBayern München310:55
15AS RomaAS Roma38:54
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid34:34
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk34:34
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven32:24
19VillarrealVillarreal38:83
20InterInter35:63
21Manchester UnitedManchester United35:63
22NapoliNapoli35:73
23GalatasarayGalatasaray36:93
24Lask LinzLask Linz36:93
25Sabah FASabah FA33:63
26FeyenoordFeyenoord34:83
27LensLens33:73
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt34:93
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC33:83
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig33:83
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe33:92
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha34:71
33VikingViking35:91
34FC PortoFC Porto32:60
35LilleLille34:100
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava31:130

About the Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC forecast

As a knockout tie in the UEFA Champions League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.1 out of 10 by our context model. Levski Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Levski Sofia and AEK Athens FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.