Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, Sofia 07/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalHIGHModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Levski Sofia Rest
3 days
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
4 days

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the result in context

Levski Sofia beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 in the First League on 7 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Levski Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.35
X
13%4.58
2
10%8.10
Double Chance
1X
90%1.05
X2
23%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.15
No
45%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.39 + 0.95 = 3.34
Over 1.5
80%1.25
Over 2.5
58%1.81
Over 3.5
29%3.05
Under 1.5
20%3.60
Under 2.5
42%1.91
Under 3.5
71%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'D. Kusso
42'E. Ali
53'M. Moubarik
57'A. Oko-Flex INEverton Bala out
57'A. Mitkov INSerginho out
64'A. Velev INC. Longville out
66'C. Longville
67'M. Soula ING. Trdin out
67'J. Perea INReinaldo out
69'T. Pavlov
73'I. Ivanov
78'D. Kusso INA. Neves out
83'C. Itu IND. Ali out
83'M. Trdan INJ. Lamy out
90+4'Reinaldo

Lineups

Levski Sofia
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Coach: Dusan Kosic

Levski Sofia Starting XI

92Svetoslav Vutsov
50Kristian Dimitrov
20Álex Centelles
2Hevertton Santos
4Christian Makoun
10Asen Ivanov Mitkov57'replaced by Serginho
11Armstrong Oko-Flex57'replaced by Everton Bala
22Mazire Soula67'replaced by G. Trdin
27David Kusso6'78'replaced by A. Neves
19El Mehdi Moubarik53'
9Juan Perea67'replaced by Reinaldo

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Starting XI

1Bojan Milosavljević
2Adrián Cova
4Andrei Chindriş
13Lucas Ryan
5Todor Pavlov69'
12Efe Ali42'
7Sevi Idriz
94Cătălin Itu83'for D. Ali
6Miha Trdan83'replaced by J. Lamy
22Ivaylo Ivanov73'
9Axel Velev64'replaced by C. Longville

Levski Sofia Substitutes

35Serginho57'for A. Mitkov
17Everton Bala57'for A. Oko-Flex
78Martin Lukov
1Ognyan Vladimirov
21Aldair78'for D. Kusso
31Nikola Serafimov
18Gašper Trdin67'for M. Soula
77Adrian Raychev
7Reinaldo67'for J. Perea90+4'
28Steven Stoyanchov

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

40Petar Zovko
26Denis Kirashki
3Dalil Ali
44Milan Petrovic
99Julien Lamy83'for M. Trdan
30Alexander Alexandrov
29Christ Longville64'for A. Velev66'
10Yoan Dzhelepov

Team Comparison

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
1745Elo Rating 1508
1.52Attack 1.09
2.39Defense 2.36
66%Hit Rate 50%
9.3Shots per Game 8.0
2.2Shots on Target 2.7
2.4Corners per Game 3.1
0.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+237 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.35 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League09/03/2026
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
First League26/09/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
10
First League04/12/2024
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
21
First League02/08/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
02
First League18/05/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
12
First League02/12/2023
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
30
First League06/08/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
21
First League21/05/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
03
First League08/05/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
10
First League22/10/2022
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
11

Recent Form

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
7W3D0L
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
4W0D6L
03/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
26/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
21
W
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
08/07/2026
Rilski SportistLokomotiv Plovdiv
02
W
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
W
29/05/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
3010
L
25/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
21
W
20/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA Sofia
3141
L
16/05/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Plovdiv
40
L
12/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1192024:5+1929DWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1124:529
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Levski Sofia and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Levski Sofia are 2nd in the First League, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Levski Sofia 24-5, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6-14. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Levski Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.