Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Prediction

Lokomotiv Sofia
1-3
Finished
HT 0-0
CSKA 1948
Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia·Todor Nedyalkov Kirov, Bulgaria 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.37
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+8.4%
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
8 days
CSKA 1948 Rest
2 days

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948: result, form and history

CSKA 1948 beat Lokomotiv Sofia 3-1 in the First League on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: CSKA 1948 had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Lokomotiv Sofia.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Lokomotiv Sofia tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 4.1 for CSKA 1948.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%2.83
X
27%3.16
2
54%2.41
Double Chance
1X
46%1.50
X2
81%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.70
No
58%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.89 + 1.33 = 2.22
Over 1.5
54%1.29
Over 2.5
30%1.94
Over 3.5
14%3.25
Under 1.5
46%3.25
Under 2.5
70%1.80
Under 3.5
86%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'Fourat Soltani
15'Reyan Daskalov
46'Erol Dost INMohamed Medfai out
46'Nikolas Penev INAdil Taoui out
52'Georgi Minchev
53'Elias Franco
54'Mohamed Medfai
60'Borislav Tsonev INFrédéric Maciel out
60'Mamadou Diallo INAtanas Iliev out
60'José Martínez INGeorgi Rusev out
60'Benaissa Benamar INKostadin Iliev out
70'Georgi Minchev INMark Emilio Papazov out
73'Frédéric Maciel
77'Spas Delev
81'Florian Krebs INJules Meyer out
85'Dimitar Kostadinov INCaue Caruzo Alves out
85'Reyan Daskalov INEirô out
87'Frédéric Maciel
90+2'Kostadin Iliev

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Lyuboslav Penev
CSKA 1948
4-2-3-1Coach: Yuriy Vasev
Martin Velichkov99M. Velichkov
Reyan Daskalov22R. Daskalov
Bozhidar Katsarov44B. Katsarov
Ryan Bidounga91R. Bidounga
Angel Lyaskov14A. Lyaskov
Krasimir Stanoev31K. Stanoev
Erol Dost5E. Dost
Nikolas Penev71N. Penev
Dimitar Kostadinov20D. Kostadinov
Spas Delev7S. Delev
Georgi Minchev10G. Minchev
Aleks Bozhev31A. Bozhev
Dragan Grivić96D. Grivić
Egor Parkhomenko6E. Parkhomenko
Benaissa Benamar5B. Benamar
Fourat Soltani15F. Soltani
Petar Vitanov34P. Vitanov
Florian Krebs23F. Krebs
José Martínez17J. Martínez
Borislav Tsonev10B. Tsonev
Elias Franco77E. Franco
Mamadou Diallo93M. Diallo

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

11Adil Taoui46'for Nikolas Penev
16Mohamed Medfai46'for Erol Dost54'
17Mark Emilio Papazov70'for Georgi Minchev
6Eirô85'for Reyan Daskalov
77Caue Caruzo Alves85'for Dimitar Kostadinov
24Aleksandar Lyubenov
3Kaloyan Kostov
42Nikola Neychev
19Mitko Mitkov
21Kristian Chachev
26Krasimir Miloshev

CSKA 1948 Substitutes

70Kostadin Iliev60'for Benaissa Benamar90+2'
67Frédéric Maciel60'for Borislav Tsonev73'87'
11Georgi Rusev60'for José Martínez
9Atanas Iliev60'for Mamadou Diallo
30Jules Meyer81'for Florian Krebs
13Dimitar Sheytanov
22Ognjen Gašević
14Kaloyan Strinski
19Marto Boychev
18Boris Dimitrov
71Danylo Tarasenko

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
1459Elo Rating 1665
1.09Attack 3.00
2.02Defense 2.11
39%Hit Rate 81%
8.9Shots per Game 13.1
3.8Shots on Target 6.5
6.1Corners per Game 4.1
4.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
CSKA 1948CSKA 19485Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

First League21/03/2026
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Sofia
32
First League19/10/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
01
First League14/05/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
21
First League09/02/2025
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Sofia
14
First League18/08/2024
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
00
First League15/04/2024
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Sofia
21
First League21/10/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
00
Cup10/05/2023
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Sofia
2122
Cup26/04/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
23
First League03/03/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
06

Recent Form

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
1W7D2L
31/07/2026
Slavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
25/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
12
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
11/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaTeuta Durrës
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaDukagjini
33
D
22/05/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
30
L
18/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSlavia Sofia
20
W
14/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaBeroe
11
D
09/05/2026
MontanaLokomotiv Sofia
22
D
05/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
22
D
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
5W4D1L
05/08/2026
PanathinaikosCSKA 1948
11
D
31/07/2026
CSKA 1948Arda Kardzhali
21
W
28/07/2026
CSKA 1948Spartak Trnava
5030
W
25/07/2026
CSKA 1948Botev Vratsa
21
W
22/07/2026
Spartak TrnavaCSKA 1948
00
D
17/07/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
22
D
07/07/2026
Železničar PančevoCSKA 1948
01
W
04/07/2026
NK VarazdinCSKA 1948
10
L
01/07/2026
CSKA 1948Maribor
33
D
29/06/2026
CSKA 1948FK Partizan
30
W

Referee Profile

Todor Nedyalkov Kirov8 matches analysed

4.13Cards per match
4.02Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
22.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 13% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1192024:5+1929DWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1124:529
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Sofia and CSKA 1948 in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: CSKA 1948 are 4th in the First League, while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Sofia 13-20, CSKA 1948 25-13. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA 1948 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.