Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv·Lyuboslav Lyubomirov, Bulgaria 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap+7.8%
Botev Plovdiv Rest
5 days
Cherno More Varna Rest
6 days

Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna: result, form and history

Botev Plovdiv beat Cherno More Varna 1-0 in the First League on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.83
X
27%3.45
2
19%4.10
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
46%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.85
No
58%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 0.93 = 2.31
Over 1.5
66%1.30
Over 2.5
40%2.00
Over 3.5
22%3.50
Under 1.5
34%3.15
Under 2.5
60%1.75
Under 3.5
78%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'I. Videv
23'A. Chandarov(Penalty)
24'C. Algarra INM. Rodrigues out
35'A. Kolev
46'I. Videv INN. Soldo out
58'D. Teles
60'M. Barandas INN. Zlatev out
61'O. M. Chidera INMascote out
62'C. Sidney
64'M. Rodrigues
72'E. Nyagolov INV. Kerchev out
72'V. Panayotov INI. Bounaas out
72'C. Sidney ING. Lazarov out
76'M. Achi INP. Andreev out
83'C. Meotti INN. Iliev out
90+2'V. Mendes

Lineups

Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Ilian Iliev
Daniel Naumov29D. Naumov
Vladimir Mendes82V. Mendes
Simeon Petrov87S. Petrov
Ivaylo Videv6I. Videv
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein27B. Chibuike Hein
Carlos Algarra López14C. Algarra López
Lucas Araujo77L. Araujo
Carlos Meotti66C. Meotti
Asen Chandarov10A. Chandarov
Samuel Kalu90S. Kalu
Chidera Micheal Okoh9C. Micheal Okoh
Kristian Tomov81K. Tomov
Ertan Tombak50E. Tombak
Zhivko Atanasov3Z. Atanasov
Luciano Squadrone5L. Squadrone
Celso Sidney10C. Sidney
Vasil Panayotov71V. Panayotov
David Teles24D. Teles
Miguel Barandas7M. Barandas
Mohamed Achi11M. Achi
Emanuil Nyagolov13E. Nyagolov
Aleksandar Kolev20A. Kolev

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

19Mauro Rodrigues24'for C. Algarra64'
4Nikola Soldo46'for I. Videv
30Franklin Mascote61'for O. M. Chidera
7Nikola Iliev83'for C. Meotti
21Nikolay Prandzhev
15Bogdan Kostov
22Marvin Senger
16Veliyan Vidolov
23Dimitar Tonev
45Edson Silva
88Williams Chimezie Oluebube

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

39Nikolay Zlatev60'for M. Barandas
37Ventsislav Kerchev72'for E. Nyagolov
19Georgi Lazarov72'for C. Sidney
18Petar Andreev76'for M. Achi
70Antoan Manasiev
26João Bandaro
93Georgi Ventsislavov
29Berk Beyhan
14Aleksandar Todorov
22Nikolay Petrov Kostadinov
99Idris Bounaas72'for V. Panayotov

Team Comparison

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1571Elo Rating 1452
1.89Attack 1.13
1.92Defense 1.89
73%Hit Rate 23%
11.9Shots per Game 9.1
5.4Shots on Target 4.3
5.0Corners per Game 4.6
1.8Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League16/05/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
50
First League09/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaBotev Plovdiv
20
First League29/11/2025
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
21
First League27/07/2025
Cherno More VarnaBotev Plovdiv
21
First League05/04/2025
Cherno More VarnaBotev Plovdiv
11
First League25/10/2024
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
First League31/03/2024
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
00
First League26/09/2023
Cherno More VarnaBotev Plovdiv
10
First League04/03/2023
Cherno More VarnaBotev Plovdiv
12
First League19/08/2022
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
34

Recent Form

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
6W1D3L
27/07/2026
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
32
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
12/07/2026
Botev PlovdivBeroe
40
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivEtar Veliko Tarnovo
12
L
01/07/2026
Botev PlovdivChernomorets 1919 Burgas
40
W
26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
W
23/06/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Pleven
40
W
25/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
21
L
16/05/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
50
W
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
3W4D3L
26/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
03
L
19/07/2026
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
11
D
11/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
11
D
08/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDobrudzha
22
D
08/07/2026
Farul ConstantaCherno More Varna
01
W
03/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Pleven
10
W
01/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
00
D
24/06/2026
Yantra 2019Cherno More Varna
01
W
25/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
23
L
16/05/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
50
L

Referee Profile

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov81 matches

4.54Cards per match
4.31Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
21.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov4.54
Other referees4.80

4.54 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.80).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1192024:5+1929DWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1124:529
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Botev Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna in the First League table

In the First League table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th and Cherno More Varna 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Botev Plovdiv 17-18, Cherno More Varna 13-22. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Botev Plovdiv have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.