Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Septemvri Sofia
0-3
Finished
HT 0-1
CSKA Sofia
Dragalevtsi Stadium, Sofia·Kristiyan Kolev, Bulgaria 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap+5.0%
Septemvri Sofia Rest
8 days
CSKA Sofia Rest
3 days

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: the result in context

CSKA Sofia beat Septemvri Sofia 3-0 in the First League on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: CSKA Sofia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Septemvri Sofia.

CSKA Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 1.9 goals a game. Referee Kristiyan Kolev averages 5.66 cards a game, 0.64 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%6.42
X
23%4.17
2
52%1.45
Double Chance
1X
48%2.60
X2
75%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.98
No
58%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.85 + 1.37 = 2.22
Over 1.5
54%1.25
Over 2.5
32%1.85
Over 3.5
15%3.20
Under 1.5
46%3.45
Under 2.5
68%1.88
Under 3.5
85%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'A. Martino INA. Yordanov out
32'F. Rodriguez
45'I. Pittas(Penalty)
46'I. Pittas INL. Godoy out
46'B. Jordao INM. Ebong out
66'P. Panayotov INS. Sensi out
68'S. Wade
72'L. Godoy
75'A. Dzhamov INA. Liberal out
75'Y. Baurenski ING. Ivanov out
79'M. Brahimi
81'J. Eto'o
84'I. Solet ING. B. Chorbadzhiyski out
84'J. Gbamin
85'K. Onasci INZ. A. Atanasov out
85'N. Fontaine INS. Stoichkov out

Lineups

Septemvri Sofia
4-3-3Coach: Simao Freitas
CSKA Sofia
3-5-2Coach: Hristo Yanev
Vladimir Ivanov12V. Ivanov
Kubrat Onashchi13K. Onashchi
Martin Hristov4M. Hristov
Sebas Wade3S. Wade
Bozhidar Penchev8B. Penchev
Valentine Ozornwafor26V. Ozornwafor
Yoan Baurenski5Y. Baurenski
Pedro Ferreira6P. Ferreira
Aleksandar Dzhamov11A. Dzhamov
Nicolas Fontaine17N. Fontaine
Frantzety Herard29F. Herard
Fedor Lapoukhov21F. Lapoukhov
James Eto'o99J. Eto'o
Jean-Philippe Gbamin5J. Gbamin
Facundo Rodríguez32F. Rodríguez
Mohamed Amine Brahimi11M. Amine Brahimi
Isaac Solet94I. Solet
Bruno Jordão6B. Jordão
Petko Panayotov30P. Panayotov
Ángelo Martino17Á. Martino
Joël Zwarts10J. Zwarts
Ioannis Pittas28I. Pittas

Septemvri Sofia Substitutes

21Nikolay Krastev
Petar Gospodinov
23Borislav Stoichkov
20Bozhidar Tomovski
24Zahari Atanasov85'for K. Onasci
30Viktor Dobrev
33Galin Ivanov75'for Y. Baurenski
16Venislav Mihaylov
28Stoyan Stoichkov85'for N. Fontaine
14Aleksandar Vutov
27André Liberal75'for A. Dzhamov

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

19Andrey Yordanov19'for A. Martino
7Max Ebong46'for B. Jordao
9Leandro Godoy46'for I. Pittas72'
25Dimitar Evtimov
14Teodor Ivanov
2Pastor
90Aleks Tunchev
80Georgi Chorbadzhiyski84'for I. Solet
34Vasil Kaymakanov
38Léo Pereira
8Stefano Sensi66'for P. Panayotov

Team Comparison

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1379Elo Rating 1707
0.76Attack 1.98
0.87Defense 1.93
0%Hit Rate 61%
10.4Shots per Game 16.3
3.2Shots on Target 6.6
4.5Corners per Game 5.1
3.3Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia2Wins · 29%
Draws00%
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia5Wins · 71%
1.9Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7

Previous meetings

First League28/02/2026
Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
20
First League13/09/2025
CSKA SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
31
First League29/03/2025
Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
01
First League05/10/2024
CSKA SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
01
First League26/02/2023
Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
01
Cup01/12/2022
Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
12
First League14/08/2022
CSKA SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
10

Recent Form

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
4W2D4L
01/08/2026
Levski SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
30
L
26/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
21
L
18/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
11
D
10/07/2026
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
10
L
07/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaHebar 1918
21
W
04/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaSlavia Sofia
23
L
01/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaVihren
20
W
27/06/2026
Septemvri SofiaMarek
30
W
28/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaYantra 2019
21
W
22/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaDobrudzha
11
D

Referee Profile

Kristiyan Kolev75 matches

5.66Cards per match
5.10Yellow cards per match
0.55Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kristiyan Kolev5.66
Other referees5.02

5.66 cards a match, 0.64 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.02).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: CSKA Sofia are 2nd in the First League, while Septemvri Sofia sit 14th, 22 points behind. League goal record so far: Septemvri Sofia 10-23, CSKA Sofia 29-9. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.