Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: the result in context
Athletic Club beat Atletico Madrid 3-0 in the La Liga on 5 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Atletico Madrid had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Athletic Club.
Atletico Madrid have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Athletic Club
Avg ratingAvg rating
1U. Simon
12J. Areso
5Y. Alvarez
14A. Laporte
17Y. Berchiche
16I. Ruiz de Galarreta
24B. Gerenabarrena
23R. Navarro
8O. Sancet
10N. Williams
C9I. Williams
C13J. Oblak
14M. Llorente
18M. Pubill
17D. Hancko
22A. Grimaldo
20G. Simeone
8P. Barrios
23M. Hjulmand
11A. Lookman
7L. Kang-In
10A. BaenaAthletic Club Substitutes
Atletico Madrid Substitutes
Match Stats
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid Team Comparison
Athletic ClubAtletico MadridAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Athletic Club- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
Atletico Madrid- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Athletic Club4Wins · 40%6Wins · 60%Previous meetings
25/04/2026Atletico MadridAthletic Club06/12/2025Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid01/03/2025Atletico MadridAthletic Club31/08/2024Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid27/04/2024Atletico MadridAthletic Club
29/02/2024Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid07/02/2024Atletico MadridAthletic Club16/12/2023Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid19/02/2023Atletico MadridAthletic Club15/10/2022Athletic ClubAtletico MadridRecent Form
Athletic Club
Celta VigoAthletic Club
BarcelonaAthletic ClubAthletic Club
Sevilla
ZaragozaAthletic Club
AtalantaAthletic Club
MarseilleAthletic Club
BurgosAthletic Club
Racing SantanderAthletic ClubAthletic Club
Eibar
Sestao RiverAthletic ClubAtletico MadridSevillaAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
VillarrealAtletico Madrid
MalagaMarseilleAtletico Madrid
Manchester CityAtletico Madrid
Manchester UnitedAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
GetafeAtletico Madrid
Girona
OsasunaAtletico MadridAtletico MadridCelta VigoReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.58 cards a match, 0.30 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).
Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 |  Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 7:19 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Atletico Madrid are 2nd and Athletic Club 8th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Athletic Club 12-9, Atletico Madrid 20-8. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.