Barcelona vs Athletic Club Prediction

Barcelona
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Athletic Club
Camp Nou, Barcelona·Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.88
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+13.7%
Barcelona Rest
3 days
Athletic Club Rest
5 days

Barcelona vs Athletic Club: result, form and history

Barcelona beat Athletic Club 2-0 in the La Liga on 27 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Barcelona had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Athletic Club.

Barcelona have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.25
X
21%6.63
2
9%11.14
Double Chance
1X
91%1.05
X2
30%4.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 0.9 = 3.00
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
61%1.36
Over 3.5
37%1.95
Under 1.5
17%6.50
Under 2.5
39%3.00
Under 3.5
63%1.88
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.35
Over 9.5
46%1.61
Over 10.5
34%1.99
Under 8.5
42%2.85
Under 9.5
54%2.20
Under 10.5
66%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.5 = 3.4
Over 3.5
37%1.89
Over 4.5
26%2.73
Under 3.5
63%1.81
Under 4.5
74%1.39

Match Events

27'X. EspartHolding
37'RaphinhaAssist: Pedri
48'G. GuruzetaRoughing
60'I. Williams INA. Berenguer out
60'N. Williams INR. Navarro out
61'J. Louis-JeanHolding
63'Raphinha INRodri out
63'M. Bernal IND. Olmo out
70'J. Louis-Jean INA. Boiro out
70'M. Jauregizar INB. Gerenabarrena out
80'E. Garcia INJ. Kounde out
80'A. Gordon INK. Adeyemi out
81'G. Guruzeta INA. Djalo out
82'Fermin
85'Pedri INJ. Cancelo out

Lineups

Barcelona
4-3-3Coach: Hansi Flick
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Coach: Edin Terzic
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.58
Joan García6.71J. García
Eric García7.224E. García
Pau Cubarsí7.95P. Cubarsí
Gerard Martín7.518G. Martín
Xavi Espart6.312X. Espart
Fermín López7.67F. López
Marc Bernal6.922M. Bernal
Pedri7.98Pedri
Lamine Yamal7.710L. Yamal
RaphinhaC7.911Raphinha
Anthony Gordon7.217A. Gordon
Unai Simón9.01U. Simón
Hugo Rincón6.315H. Rincón
Yeray Álvarez6.55Y. Álvarez
Aymeric Laporte5.614A. Laporte
Johaneko Louis Jean7.031J. Louis Jean
Mikel Jauregizar6.918M. Jauregizar
Peio Canales6.328P. Canales
Iñaki WilliamsC6.29I. Williams
Oihan Sancet6.38O. Sancet
Nico Williams6.210N. Williams
Gorka Guruzeta6.511G. Guruzeta

Barcelona Substitutes

16Rodri63'for Raphinha6.6
20Dani Olmo63'for M. Bernal7.2
23Jules Koundé80'for E. Garcia6.7
14Karim Adeyemi80'for A. Gordon6.3
2João Cancelo85'for Pedri6.3
13Wojciech Szczęsny
31Eder Aller
15Andreas Christensen
3Alejandro Balde
28Brian Fariñas
29Hamza Abdelkarim

Athletic Club Substitutes

23Robert Navarro60'for N. Williams6.3
7Álex Berenguer60'for I. Williams6.3
19Adama Boiro70'for J. Louis-Jean6.5
24Beñat Gerenabarrena70'for M. Jauregizar6.9
25Álvaro Djaló81'for G. Guruzeta6.5
13Alex Padilla
12Jesús Areso
30Iker Monreal Agundez
4Aitor Paredes
20Alejandro Rego Mora
16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
21Maroan Sannadi

Match Stats

BarcelonaAthletic Club
70%Ball Possession30%
12Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots5
10Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal5
18Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots0
13Fouls6
8Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves8
621Total Passes252
560Passes Accurate183
90%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

BarcelonaBarcelona
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2047Elo Rating 1765
2.79Attack 2.73
0.99Defense 2.15
50%Hit Rate 50%
19.4Shots per Game 18.2
7.7Shots on Target 6.1
5.5Corners per Game 5.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+282 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarcelonaBarcelona
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BarcelonaBarcelona8Wins · 80%
Draws220%
Athletic ClubAthletic Club0Wins · 0%
2.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga07/03/2026
Athletic ClubBarcelona
01
Super Cup07/01/2026
BarcelonaAthletic Club
50
La Liga22/11/2025
BarcelonaAthletic Club
40
La Liga25/05/2025
Athletic ClubBarcelona
03
Super Cup08/01/2025
Athletic ClubBarcelona
02
La Liga24/08/2024
BarcelonaAthletic Club
21
La Liga03/03/2024
Athletic ClubBarcelona
00
Copa del Rey24/01/2024
Athletic ClubBarcelona
4222
La Liga22/10/2023
BarcelonaAthletic Club
10
La Liga12/03/2023
Athletic ClubBarcelona
01

Recent Form

BarcelonaBarcelona
6W0D4L
23/08/2026
ElcheBarcelona
05
W
19/08/2026
BarcelonaAl Ahly
21
W
16/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Barcelona
25
W
08/08/2026
UdineseBarcelona
10
L
08/08/2026
BarcelonaNottingham Forest
10
W
31/07/2026
BirminghamBarcelona
3222
L
24/07/2026
BarcelonaEuropa Fc
41
W
23/05/2026
ValenciaBarcelona
31
L
17/05/2026
BarcelonaReal Betis
31
W
13/05/2026
AlavesBarcelona
10
L
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
5W1D4L
22/08/2026
Athletic ClubSevilla
13
L
21/08/2026
ZaragozaAthletic Club
31
L
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
L
09/08/2026
MarseilleAthletic Club
31
L
01/08/2026
BurgosAthletic Club
03
W
29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
03
W
25/07/2026
Athletic ClubEibar
22
D
22/07/2026
Sestao RiverAthletic Club
02
W
18/07/2026
LeioaAthletic Club
011
W
15/07/2026
DerioAthletic Club
03
W

Referee Profile

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias138 matches

4.57Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias4.57
Other referees5.03

4.57 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.03).

Cards come from 134 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona11100146:12+3430WLWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1191122:8+1428WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1190228:10+1827WWWWL
4Real BetisReal Betis1172218:15+323WDLWD
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1161420:20019LWWWW
6SevillaSevilla1152417:19-217LWLDL
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1043314:10+415WLDDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1133515:15012LWDLW
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1126310:10012LDWDW
10AlavesAlaves1133515:17-212LDLLD
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1033415:20-512LDDDW
12GetafeGetafe113358:16-812WLDLW
13Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
14EspanyolEspanyol1132613:14-111WLLDL
15OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
16Racing SantanderRacing Santander1132615:29-1411LWLDL
17ElcheElche1124514:18-410LWDDW
18LevanteLevante1124516:21-510LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia112368:17-99WLDDL
20MalagaMalaga110568:21-135LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1146:1230
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1122:828
3Real MadridReal Madrid1128:1027
4Real BetisReal Betis1118:1523
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1120:2019
6SevillaSevilla1117:1917
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1014:1015
8VillarrealVillarreal1115:1512
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1110:1012
10AlavesAlaves1115:1712
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1015:2012
12GetafeGetafe118:1612
13Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
14EspanyolEspanyol1113:1411
15OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
16Racing SantanderRacing Santander1115:2911
17ElcheElche1114:1810
18LevanteLevante1116:2110
19ValenciaValencia118:179
20MalagaMalaga118:215
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Barcelona vs Athletic Club forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barcelona and Athletic Club in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Barcelona are 1st and Athletic Club 7th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Barcelona 46-12, Athletic Club 14-10. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.