Real Sociedad vs Espanyol Prediction

Real Sociedad
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Espanyol
Reale Arena, San Sebastian·Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+6.3%
Real Sociedad Rest
2 days
Espanyol Rest
6 days

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol: result, form and history

Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2-1 in the La Liga on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Real Sociedad have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Referee Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid averages 6.03 cards a game, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.83
X
27%3.75
2
25%4.44
Double Chance
1X
75%1.22
X2
52%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.74
No
43%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.1 = 2.60
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
49%1.84
Over 3.5
22%3.05
Under 1.5
27%3.75
Under 2.5
51%2.00
Under 3.5
78%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
58%1.46
Over 9.5
46%1.82
Over 10.5
34%2.32
Under 8.5
42%2.45
Under 9.5
54%1.91
Under 10.5
66%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.9 = 4.2
Over 3.5
59%1.29
Over 4.5
40%1.61
Under 3.5
41%3.20
Under 4.5
60%2.23

Match Events

4'Ander BarrenetxeaAssist: Mikel Oyarzabal
17'Benat TurrientesFoul
22'Urko GonzalezFoul
45'Roberto Fernández JaénAssist: Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
45'Urko Gonzalez INGabriel Moscardo out
61'Orri Steinn ÓskarssonAssist: Mikel Oyarzabal
62'Benat Turrientes INYangel Herrera out
63'Ander Barrenetxea INAlex Marchal García out
70'Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa INMarcos Fernández out
70'Eduardo Expósito Jaén INRafel Bauzà out
75'Marcos FernándezFoul
78'Orri Steinn Óskarsson INGonçalo Guedes out
78'Luka Sučić INTakefusa Kubo out
82'Roger HinojoFoul
83'Tyrhys Dolan INJofre Carreras Pagès out
83'Roberto Fernández Jaén INPere Milla out
88'Rafel BauzàDissent
90'Mikel Oyarzabal INJon Gorrotxategi out
90+3'Igor ZubeldiaTime wasting
90+4'Pellegrino MatarazzoAbusive Language

Lineups

Real Sociedad
4-4-2Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo
Espanyol
4-2-3-1Coach: Manolo González
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.43
Álex Remiro6.11Á. Remiro
J. Aramburu6.62J. Aramburu
Zubeldia6.15Zubeldia
Jon Martín7.231J. Martín
Sergio Gómez6.517S. Gómez
L. Sučić6.724L. Sučić
Beñat Turrientes6.38B. Turrientes
Carlos Soler7.118C. Soler
Barrenetxea7.47Barrenetxea
O. Óskarsson7.69O. Óskarsson
Mikel Oyarzabal7.610M. Oyarzabal
M. Dmitrović7.913M. Dmitrović
O. El Hilali6.423O. El Hilali
V. Drkušić6.216V. Drkušić
Unai Núñez6.614U. Núñez
Roger Hinojo6.121R. Hinojo
Urko González6.34U. González
Edu Expósito5.98E. Expósito
Álex Calatrava6.122Á. Calatrava
Javier Hernandez6.728J. Hernandez
T. Dolan6.124T. Dolan
Roberto Fernández7.79R. Fernández

Real Sociedad Substitutes

27Gorka Carrera
11Gonçalo Guedes78'for Orri Steinn Óskarsson7.0
4Jon Gorrotxategi90'for Mikel Oyarzabal
21Y. Herrera62'for Benat Turrientes6.4
14T. Kubo78'for Luka Sučić6.5
29Alex Garcia63'for Ander Barrenetxea7.0
13Unai Marrero
3Aihen Muñoz
12J. Ochieng
19M. Sarr
23A. Zakharyan
34Luken Beitia

Espanyol Substitutes

1Ángel Fortuño
31Llorenç Serred
27Adama Timera
32José Ángel
3Q. Hartman
5C. Riedel
26Rafel Bauzà70'for Eduardo Expósito Jaén88'5.9
20Gabriel Moscardo45'for Urko Gonzalez6.3
17Jofre Carreras83'for Tyrhys Dolan6.4
10Pol Lozano
11Pere Milla83'for Roberto Fernández Jaén6.0
18Marcos Fernández70'for Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa75'6.5

Match Stats

Real SociedadEspanyol
51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots11
10Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
19Fouls14
2Goalkeeper Saves7
423Total Passes403
344Passes Accurate315
81%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
EspanyolEspanyol
1833Elo Rating 1700
3.48Attack 1.06
1.89Defense 1.85
83%Hit Rate 27%
15.0Shots per Game 9.4
5.1Shots on Target 2.8
3.5Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
EspanyolEspanyol
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Real SociedadReal Sociedad5Wins · 63%
Draws225%
EspanyolEspanyol1Wins · 12%
2.5Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

La Liga23/05/2026
EspanyolReal Sociedad
11
La Liga24/08/2025
Real SociedadEspanyol
22
La Liga09/02/2025
Real SociedadEspanyol
21
La Liga24/08/2024
EspanyolReal Sociedad
01
La Liga13/02/2023
EspanyolReal Sociedad
23
La Liga18/09/2022
Real SociedadEspanyol
21
La Liga04/04/2022
Real SociedadEspanyol
10
La Liga28/11/2021
EspanyolReal Sociedad
10

Recent Form

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2W2D6L
26/08/2026
Real MadridReal Sociedad
41
L
21/08/2026
Real BetisReal Sociedad
10
L
15/08/2026
ChelseaReal Sociedad
31
L
08/08/2026
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad
21
L
31/07/2026
ToulouseReal Sociedad
21
L
28/07/2026
Aston VillaReal Sociedad
24
W
25/07/2026
WolvesReal Sociedad
12
W
18/07/2026
Real SociedadRacing Santander
11
D
11/07/2026
Real SociedadPAU
01
L
23/05/2026
EspanyolReal Sociedad
11
D
EspanyolEspanyol
4W4D2L
22/08/2026
EspanyolReal Madrid
12
L
16/08/2026
EspanyolLevante
30
W
08/08/2026
CoventryEspanyol
31
L
01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
33
D
29/07/2026
BurnleyEspanyol
22
D
25/07/2026
EspanyolSabadell
11
D
21/07/2026
EspanyolPAU
40
W
18/07/2026
OlotEspanyol
03
W
23/05/2026
EspanyolReal Sociedad
11
D
17/05/2026
OsasunaEspanyol
12
W

Referee Profile

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid107 matches

6.03Cards per match
5.74Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid6.03
Other referees5.07

6.03 cards a match, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 68 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1191122:8+1428WWWWW
2BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1172218:15+323WDLWD
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9VillarrealVillarreal1133515:15012LWDLW
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1126310:10012LDWDW
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1033415:20-512LDDDW
12Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
13EspanyolEspanyol1132613:14-111WLLDL
14OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
15Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
16ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
17LevanteLevante1124516:21-510LWDDL
18GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga110568:21-135LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1122:828
2BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1118:1523
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9VillarrealVillarreal1115:1512
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1110:1012
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1015:2012
12Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
13EspanyolEspanyol1113:1411
14OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
15Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
16ElcheElche1014:1710
17LevanteLevante1116:2110
18GetafeGetafe105:159
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga118:215
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Real Sociedad vs Espanyol forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Sociedad and Espanyol in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Real Sociedad are 5th and Espanyol 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Sociedad 19-18, Espanyol 13-14. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Real Sociedad have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.