Espanyol vs Real Madrid Prediction

Espanyol
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Real Madrid
RCDE Stadium, Cornella·José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.00
SignalSOLIDModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
Espanyol Rest
6 days
Real Madrid Rest
6 days

Espanyol vs Real Madrid: result, form and history

Real Madrid beat Espanyol 2-1 in the La Liga on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Real Madrid had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Espanyol.

Real Madrid have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%7.15
X
27%4.70
2
53%1.44
Double Chance
1X
47%2.75
X2
80%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.80
No
39%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.76 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.65
Over 3.5
36%2.60
Under 1.5
17%4.45
Under 2.5
41%2.26
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.4 = 8.6
Over 8.5
58%1.45
Over 9.5
41%1.74
Over 10.5
27%2.21
Under 8.5
42%2.56
Under 9.5
59%2.00
Under 10.5
73%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 1.8 = 4.5
Over 3.5
63%1.62
Over 4.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
37%2.20
Under 4.5
56%1.67

Match Events

9'J. BellinghamAssist: A. Guler
30'A. CalatravaAssist: J. Hernandez
32'Vinicius JuniorUnsportsmanlike conduct
32'A. CalatravaUnsportsmanlike conduct
59'C. RiedelTripping
64'A. Carreras INM. Cucurella out
64'A. Guler INY. Diomande out
66'C. Riedel INV. Drkusic out
66'A. Calatrava INR. Bauza out
75'U. Gonzalez INP. Lozano out
75'J. Hernandez INP. Milla out
80'D. Dumfries INT. Alexander-Arnold out
80'B. Silva INE. Camavinga out
80'J. Bellingham INC. Espi out
84'ExpositoTripping
88'Exposito INJofre out
90'C. Espi
90+1'P. MillaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'P. Lozano

Lineups

Espanyol
4-4-2Coach: Manolo Gonzalez
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1Coach: Jose Mourinho
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.70
Marko Dmitrović6.213M. Dmitrović
Omar El Hilali6.223O. El Hilali
Clemens Riedel6.25C. Riedel
Unai Núñez6.514U. Núñez
Roger Hinojo6.321R. Hinojo
Álex Calatrava7.322Á. Calatrava
Urko González6.24U. González
Edu ExpósitoC6.78E. Expósito
Tyrhys Dolan6.524T. Dolan
Roberto Fernández6.69R. Fernández
Javier Hernández7.028J. Hernández
Thibaut Courtois6.51T. Courtois
Denzel Dumfries6.524D. Dumfries
Ibrahima Konaté6.316I. Konaté
Dean Huijsen6.54D. Huijsen
Álvaro Carreras6.318Á. Carreras
Bernardo Silva6.520B. Silva
Federico ValverdeC6.98F. Valverde
Arda Güler7.215A. Güler
Jude Bellingham7.75J. Bellingham
Vinícius Júnior6.67V. Júnior
Kylian Mbappé6.710K. Mbappé

Espanyol Substitutes

31Llorenç Serred
1Angel Fortuno
27Adama Timera
32José Ángel López
3Quilindschy Hartman
16Vanja Drkušić66'for C. Riedel
26Rafael Bauzà66'for A. Calatrava
20Gabriel Moscardo
17Jofre Carreras88'for Exposito
10Pol Lozano75'for U. Gonzalez90+5'
11Pere Milla75'for J. Hernandez90+1'
18Marcos Fernández

Real Madrid Substitutes

26Sergio Mestre
13Andriy Lunin
17Marc Cucurella64'for A. Carreras
33Mario Rivas
12Trent Alexander-Arnold80'for D. Dumfries
22Antonio Rüdiger
21Brahim Díaz
36Alexis Ciria
29Jorge Cestero
6Eduardo Camavinga80'for B. Silva
25Yan Diomande64'for A. Guler
19Carlos Espí80'for J. Bellingham90'

Match Stats

EspanyolReal Madrid
37%Ball Possession63%
0Corner Kicks8
5Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots21
3Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots6
19Fouls7
3Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
326Total Passes552
273Passes Accurate508
84%Pass Accuracy92%

Team Comparison

EspanyolEspanyol
Real MadridReal Madrid
1677Elo Rating 2012
0.77Attack 3.08
1.26Defense 1.64
0%Hit Rate 86%
13.5Shots per Game 14.4
2.9Shots on Target 7.4
3.6Corners per Game 5.5
3.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals

Game State Tendencies

EspanyolEspanyol
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Real MadridReal Madrid
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

EspanyolEspanyol2Wins · 25%
Draws00%
Real MadridReal Madrid6Wins · 75%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

La Liga03/05/2026
EspanyolReal Madrid
02
La Liga20/09/2025
Real MadridEspanyol
20
La Liga01/02/2025
EspanyolReal Madrid
10
La Liga21/09/2024
Real MadridEspanyol
41
La Liga11/03/2023
Real MadridEspanyol
31
La Liga28/08/2022
EspanyolReal Madrid
13
La Liga30/04/2022
Real MadridEspanyol
40
La Liga03/10/2021
EspanyolReal Madrid
21

Recent Form

EspanyolEspanyol
5W4D1L
16/08/2026
EspanyolLevante
30
W
08/08/2026
CoventryEspanyol
31
L
01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
33
D
29/07/2026
BurnleyEspanyol
22
D
25/07/2026
EspanyolSabadell
11
D
21/07/2026
EspanyolPAU
40
W
18/07/2026
OlotEspanyol
03
W
23/05/2026
EspanyolReal Sociedad
11
D
17/05/2026
OsasunaEspanyol
12
W
13/05/2026
EspanyolAthletic Club
20
W
Real MadridReal Madrid
8W1D1L
16/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Real Madrid
03
W
12/08/2026
Deportivo La CorunaReal Madrid
01
W
08/08/2026
Ferencvarosi TCReal Madrid
12
W
01/08/2026
Real MadridFiorentina
22
D
28/07/2026
Real MadridLeganes
41
W
23/05/2026
Real MadridAthletic Club
42
W
17/05/2026
SevillaReal Madrid
01
W
14/05/2026
Real MadridOviedo
20
W
10/05/2026
BarcelonaReal Madrid
20
L
03/05/2026
EspanyolReal Madrid
02
W

Referee Profile

José María Sánchez Martínez61 matches

5.02Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

José María Sánchez Martínez5.02
Other referees4.66

5.02 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1081120:8+1225WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1062216:14+220DLWDW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1026210:7+312DWDWD
10VillarrealVillarreal1033415:14+112WDLWW
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
12OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
14LevanteLevante1024416:19-310LWDDL
15ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano923412:20-89DDDWL
17GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
18EspanyolEspanyol1022612:14-28LLDLL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1020:825
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1016:1420
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1010:712
10VillarrealVillarreal1015:1412
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
12OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
14LevanteLevante1016:1910
15ElcheElche1014:1710
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano912:209
17GetafeGetafe105:159
18EspanyolEspanyol1012:148
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Espanyol vs Real Madrid forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Espanyol and Real Madrid in the La Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: Real Madrid are 3rd in the La Liga, while Espanyol sit 18th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Espanyol 12-14, Real Madrid 25-10. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.