Valencia vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Valencia
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia·Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseHighGap+13.2%
Valencia Rest
13 days
Celta Vigo Rest
13 days

Valencia vs Celta Vigo: the result in context

Valencia and Celta Vigo drew 0-0 in the La Liga on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.53
X
30%3.11
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
60%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.90
No
40%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.18 = 2.93
Over 1.5
78%1.40
Over 2.5
57%2.25
Over 3.5
35%4.13
Under 1.5
22%2.88
Under 2.5
43%1.65
Under 3.5
65%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.9 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.68
Over 9.5
46%2.08
Over 10.5
34%2.70
Under 8.5
42%2.08
Under 9.5
54%1.68
Under 10.5
66%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.44
Over 4.5
35%1.86
Under 3.5
43%2.62
Under 4.5
65%1.91

Match Events

38'J. De HaasFoul
39'S. DimitrievskiFoul
46'J. De Haas INM. Diakhaby out
57'S. CarreiraFoul
57'H. Alvarez INW. Swedberg out
57'R. Sato INU. Sadiq out
64'F. Jutgla INP. Duran out
64'J. El Abdellaoui INJ. Rueda out
64'J. Galan INI. Aspas out
67'J. RuedaFoul
69'J. Gaya INP. Maffeo out
69'F. Ugrinic INA. Dieng out
77'A. Febas INI. Moriba out
80'I. RaduDelay of game
83'A. Danjuma INH. Duro out

Lineups

Valencia
5-4-1Coach: Carlos Corberan
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giraldez
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.69
Stole Dimitrievski6.71S. Dimitrievski
Jesús Vázquez6.621J. Vázquez
César Tárrega7.65C. Tárrega
Pepelu7.318Pepelu
Justin De Haas6.312J. De Haas
José Luis GayàC6.614J. Luis Gayà
Ryunosuke Sato6.739R. Sato
Filip Ugrinić7.323F. Ugrinić
Guido Rodríguez7.52G. Rodríguez
Javier Guerra6.78J. Guerra
Arnaut Danjuma6.67A. Danjuma
Ionuț Radu6.913I. Radu
Javi Rodríguez7.020J. Rodríguez
Yoel Lago7.029Y. Lago
Marcos AlonsoC7.23M. Alonso
Sergio Carreira7.05S. Carreira
Miguel Román7.28M. Román
Aleix Febas6.614A. Febas
Javi Galán6.722J. Galán
Jones El-Abdellaoui6.239J. El-Abdellaoui
Ferran Jutglà6.09F. Jutglà
Hugo Álvarez6.323H. Álvarez

Valencia Substitutes

13Cristian Rivero
36Iker Cordoba
41Marcos Navarro
4Mouctar Diakhaby46'for J. De Haas6.9
24Pablo Maffeo69'for J. Gaya6.3
38Jaume Durá
15Aliou Dieng69'for F. Ugrinic6.2
10André Almeida
9Hugo Duro83'for A. Danjuma6.5
27David Otorbi
19Dani Raba
6Umar Sadiq57'for R. Sato6.5

Celta Vigo Substitutes

1Altay Bayındır
2Carl Starfelt
4Abdoulaye Faye
15Alvaro Núñez
17Javier Rueda64'for J. El Abdellaoui67'6.2
30Hugo Burcio
6Ilaix Moriba77'for A. Febas6.7
16Hugo González
19Williot Swedberg57'for H. Alvarez6.6
10Iago Aspas64'for J. Galan6.7
11Pablo Durán64'for F. Jutgla6.7
7Borja Iglesias

Match Stats

ValenciaCelta Vigo
44%Ball Possession56%
1Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots7
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
4Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
17Fouls17
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
486Total Passes616
427Passes Accurate551
88%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

ValenciaValencia
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1714Elo Rating 1768
1.13Attack 1.90
1.57Defense 2.11
14%Hit Rate 64%
13.1Shots per Game 12.0
3.7Shots on Target 3.4
4.5Corners per Game 2.8
3.2Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ValenciaValencia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ValenciaValencia4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Celta VigoCelta Vigo4Wins · 40%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga05/04/2026
ValenciaCelta Vigo
23
La Liga03/01/2026
Celta VigoValencia
41
La Liga02/02/2025
ValenciaCelta Vigo
21
La Liga23/08/2024
Celta VigoValencia
31
La Liga26/05/2024
Celta VigoValencia
22
Copa del Rey17/01/2024
ValenciaCelta Vigo
13
La Liga25/11/2023
ValenciaCelta Vigo
00
La Liga14/05/2023
Celta VigoValencia
12
La Liga17/09/2022
ValenciaCelta Vigo
30
La Liga21/05/2022
ValenciaCelta Vigo
20

Recent Form

ValenciaValencia
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
ValenciaNewcastle
12
L
01/08/2026
Stoke CityValencia
11
D
28/07/2026
DerbyValencia
12
W
25/07/2026
ValenciaCastellón
12
L
22/07/2026
ValenciaEldense
30
W
18/07/2026
Petro de LuandaValencia
31
L
23/05/2026
ValenciaBarcelona
31
W
17/05/2026
Real SociedadValencia
34
W
14/05/2026
ValenciaRayo Vallecano
11
D
10/05/2026
Athletic ClubValencia
01
W
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
5W4D1L
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
W
29/07/2026
Celta VigoAcademico Viseu
22
D
25/07/2026
Celta VigoSporting Gijon
10
W
18/07/2026
SC BragaCelta Vigo
22
D
23/05/2026
Celta VigoSevilla
10
W
17/05/2026
Athletic ClubCelta Vigo
11
D
12/05/2026
Celta VigoLevante
23
L
09/05/2026
Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
01
W
03/05/2026
Celta VigoElche
31
W

Referee Profile

Jesus Gil Manzano200 matches

4.64Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jesus Gil Manzano4.64
Other referees4.71

4.64 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 193 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1081120:8+1225WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1062216:14+220DLWDW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1026210:7+312DWDWD
10VillarrealVillarreal1033415:14+112WDLWW
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
12OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
14LevanteLevante1024416:19-310LWDDL
15ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano923412:20-89DDDWL
17GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
18EspanyolEspanyol1022612:14-28LLDLL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1020:825
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1016:1420
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1010:712
10VillarrealVillarreal1015:1412
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
12OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
14LevanteLevante1016:1910
15ElcheElche1014:1710
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano912:209
17GetafeGetafe105:159
18EspanyolEspanyol1012:148
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Valencia vs Celta Vigo forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valencia and Celta Vigo in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Celta Vigo are 9th and Valencia 19th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Valencia 7-17, Celta Vigo 10-7. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.