Elche vs Barcelona Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Elche Rest
6 days
Barcelona Rest
4 days
Elche vs Barcelona: the result in context
Match Forecasts
Match Result
118%7.95
X20%5.50
262%1.36
Double Chance
1X38%3.20
X282%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.71
No50%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.95 + 1.71 = 2.66
Over 1.574%1.14
Over 2.555%1.45
Over 3.530%2.17
Under 1.526%5.65
Under 2.545%2.70
Under 3.570%1.69
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.7 = 8.9
Over 8.558%1.52
Over 9.546%1.91
Over 10.534%2.35
Under 8.542%2.42
Under 9.554%1.86
Under 10.566%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.5 = 3.8
Over 3.552%1.65
Over 4.530%2.30
Under 3.548%2.17
Under 4.570%1.55
Match Events
14'Raphinha(Penalty)
33'Ali HouaryFoul
45'Gavi INPedri out
45'K. AdeyemiAssist: Raphinha
64'M. Aguado INM. Neto out
64'A. Houary INF. Buonanotte out
64'Tete Morente INL. Cepeda out
65'K. Adeyemi IND. Olmo out
65'Lamine Yamal INA. Gordon out
67'RaphinhaAssist: A. Gordon
69'F. Nino INE. Ponce out
71'FerminAssist: A. Gordon
79'FerminAssist: X. Espart
80'M. Bernal INJ. Kounde out
80'Raphinha INJ. Cancelo out
81'F. Redondo Solari INP. Bigas out
Lineups
ElcheBarcelona
4-2-3-1Coach: Hansi FlickAvg ratingAvg rating
C1M. Dituro
2B. Sangare
22D. Affengruber
5F. Redondo Solari
23V. Chust
11G. Valera
20T. Morente
12G. Villar
8M. Aguado
29A. Houary
14F. Nino
1J. Garcia
24E. Garcia
15A. Christensen
18G. Martin
36X. Espart
22M. Bernal
6Gavi
10L. Yamal
7Fermín
14K. Adeyemi
C11RaphinhaElche Substitutes
43A. Iturbe
26M. Barzic
6P. Bigas81'for F. Redondo Solari
19G. Diangana
16M. Neto64'for M. Aguado
47J. Morcillo
10F. Buonanotte64'for A. Houary
9E. Ponce69'for F. Nino
17Josan
21L. Cepeda64'for Tete Morente
36U. Konare
30A. Padilla
Barcelona Substitutes
13W. Szczesny
31E. Aller
23J. Kounde80'for M. Bernal
26A. Cortes
2J. Cancelo80'for Raphinha
5P. Cubarsi
33Jordi Pesquer
8Pedri45'for Gavi
28Brian Farinas
20D. Olmo65'for K. Adeyemi
17A. Gordon65'for Lamine Yamal
29H. Abdelkarim
Match Stats
ElcheBarcelona 46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards0
7Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box1
0Blocked Shots0
13Fouls12
3Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
436Total Passes533
349Passes Accurate463
80%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
ElcheBarcelona1767Elo Rating 2047
1.92Attack 2.79
2.59Defense 0.99
64%Hit Rate 50%
11.6Shots per Game 19.4
4.7Shots on Target 7.7
4.0Corners per Game 5.5
2.8Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Elche- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Barcelona- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Elche0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Barcelona8Wins · 100%
8Wins · 100%3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
88%3+ goals7 of 8
Previous meetings
31/01/2026ElcheBarcelona13
02/11/2025BarcelonaElche31
01/04/2023ElcheBarcelona04
17/09/2022BarcelonaElche30
06/03/2022ElcheBarcelona12
18/12/2021BarcelonaElche32
24/02/2021BarcelonaElche30
24/01/2021ElcheBarcelona02
Recent Form
Elche3W5D2L
17/08/2026
Deportivo La CorunaElche
Deportivo La CorunaElche11
D31/07/2026Elche
Cordoba
ElcheCordoba22
D28/07/2026Elche
Al Ain
ElcheAl Ain22
D18/07/2026Elche
Kaizer Chiefs
ElcheKaizer Chiefs21
W23/05/2026
GironaElche
GironaElche11
D17/05/2026Elche
Getafe
ElcheGetafe10
W12/05/2026
Real BetisElche
Real BetisElche21
L09/05/2026Elche
Alaves
ElcheAlaves11
D03/05/2026
Celta VigoElche
Celta VigoElche31
L26/04/2026
OviedoElche
OviedoElche12
WBarcelona6W0D4L
19/08/2026Barcelona
Al Ahly
BarcelonaAl Ahly21
W16/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Barcelona
FC Basel 1893Barcelona25
W08/08/2026
UdineseBarcelona
UdineseBarcelona10
L08/08/2026Barcelona
Nottingham Forest
BarcelonaNottingham Forest10
W31/07/2026
BirminghamBarcelona
BirminghamBarcelona3222
L24/07/2026Barcelona
Europa Fc
BarcelonaEuropa Fc41
W23/05/2026
ValenciaBarcelona
ValenciaBarcelona31
L17/05/2026BarcelonaReal Betis
BarcelonaReal Betis31
W13/05/2026AlavesBarcelona
AlavesBarcelona10
L10/05/2026Barcelona
Real Madrid
BarcelonaReal Madrid20
WReferee Profile
5.19Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
28.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.19 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.91).
Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | +3 | 23 | WDLWD |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | LWDLW |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | LDWDW |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | LDDDW |
| 12 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 14 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 16 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 17 |  Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 |  Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 11 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 16 | Elche | 10 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Levante | 11 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 8:21 | 5 |
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About the Elche vs Barcelona forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Elche and Barcelona in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Barcelona are 2nd and Elche 16th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Elche 14-17, Barcelona 40-11. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.