Racing Santander vs Elche Prediction

Racing Santander
3-2
Finished
HT 3-0
Elche
El Sardinero, Santander·Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
2.20
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+12.8%
Racing Santander Rest
4 days
Elche Rest
4 days

Racing Santander vs Elche: result, form and history

Racing Santander beat Elche 3-2 in the La Liga on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Carlos Muniz Munoz averages 3.83 cards a game, 1.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.06
X
29%3.60
2
29%3.60
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
58%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.56
No
43%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.25 = 2.53
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
45%1.69
Over 3.5
19%2.66
Under 1.5
26%4.28
Under 2.5
55%2.20
Under 3.5
81%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.52
Over 9.5
46%1.91
Over 10.5
34%2.38
Under 8.5
42%2.38
Under 9.5
54%1.85
Under 10.5
66%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%1.46
Over 4.5
42%1.94
Under 3.5
37%2.52
Under 4.5
58%1.80

Match Events

15'Y. Zabiri
21'Y. Zabiri
36'Y. ZabiriAssist: I. Vicente
43'F. GonzalezHolding
45'A. MantillaFoul
46'A. Houary INE. Ponce out
46'M. Aguado INTete Morente out
59'A. Martin INM. Prati out
62'P. Bigas INJ. Morcillo out
63'F. BuonanotteFoul
69'F. Buonanotte INL. Cepeda out
69'Y. Zabiri INA. Villalibre out
69'I. Vicente ING. Guliashvili out
78'Buba SangareAssist: L. Cepeda
79'F. NinoAssist: Tete Morente
84'Buba Sangare INJosan out
85'S. Canales INM. Gueye out

Lineups

Racing Santander
4-2-3-1Coach: Jose Lopez
Elche
5-4-1Coach: Martin Anselmi
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.56
Julen Agirrezabala7.013J. Agirrezabala
Alvaro MantillaC6.52A. Mantilla
Manu Hernando6.94M. Hernando
Facundo González6.216F. González
Jorge Salinas5.917J. Salinas
Iván Martín7.223I. Martín
Gustavo Puerta7.78G. Puerta
Andrés Martín7.511A. Martín
Sergio Canales6.920S. Canales
Iñigo Vicente7.610I. Vicente
Yassir Zabiri10.021Y. Zabiri
Matías Dituro6.51M. Dituro
Buba Sangaré6.92B. Sangaré
David Affengruber7.022D. Affengruber
Víctor Chust6.923V. Chust
Pedro BigasC6.36P. Bigas
Germán Valera5.911G. Valera
Facundo Buonanotte6.310F. Buonanotte
Gonzalo Villar6.912G. Villar
Marc Aguado6.28M. Aguado
Ali Houary5.929A. Houary
Fernando Niño7.514F. Niño

Racing Santander Substitutes

18Matteo Prati59'for A. Martin6.3
7Giorgi Guliashvili69'for I. Vicente6.2
12Asier Villalibre69'for Y. Zabiri7.0
1Simon Eriksson
5Pablo Ramón
30Carlos Sánchez
36Sergio Martinez
34Diego Díaz
14Maguette Gueye85'for S. Canales6.3
6Íñigo Sáinz-Maza
38Hugo Pérez
9Juan Carlos Arana

Elche Substitutes

20Tete Morente46'for M. Aguado6.9
9Ezequiel Ponce46'for A. Houary6.6
47Javi Morcillo62'for P. Bigas6.2
21Lucas Cepeda69'for F. Buonanotte6.3
43Alejandro Iturbe
26Matia Barzić
16Martim Neto
5Federico Redondo
17Josan84'for Buba Sangare6.7
19Grady Diangana
30Alvaro Padilla
24Abiel Osorio

Match Stats

Racing SantanderElche
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots18
6Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots6
17Fouls19
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
380Total Passes557
305Passes Accurate483
80%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
ElcheElche
1678Elo Rating 1758
1.21Attack 1.59
0.07Defense 2.41
27%Hit Rate 44%
14.7Shots per Game 11.5
6.0Shots on Target 4.5
5.4Corners per Game 3.7
3.2Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ElcheElche
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Racing SantanderRacing Santander2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
ElcheElche1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División02/03/2025
Racing SantanderElche
20
Segunda División19/12/2024
ElcheRacing Santander
30
Segunda División04/05/2024
Racing SantanderElche
31
Segunda División02/09/2023
ElcheRacing Santander
11

Recent Form

Racing SantanderRacing Santander
2W3D5L
23/08/2026
GetafeRacing Santander
10
L
16/08/2026
Racing SantanderVillarreal
22
D
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
6171
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
W
01/08/2026
WolvesRacing Santander
30
L
29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
03
L
24/07/2026
OsasunaRacing Santander
20
L
18/07/2026
Real SociedadRacing Santander
11
D
31/05/2026
Racing SantanderCadiz
41
W
24/05/2026
MalagaRacing Santander
11
D
ElcheElche
2W5D3L
23/08/2026
ElcheBarcelona
05
L
17/08/2026
Deportivo La CorunaElche
11
D
31/07/2026
ElcheCordoba
22
D
28/07/2026
ElcheAl Ain
22
D
18/07/2026
ElcheKaizer Chiefs
21
W
23/05/2026
GironaElche
11
D
17/05/2026
ElcheGetafe
10
W
12/05/2026
Real BetisElche
21
L
09/05/2026
ElcheAlaves
11
D
03/05/2026
Celta VigoElche
31
L

Referee Profile

Carlos Muniz Munoz91 matches

3.83Cards per match
3.58Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Muniz Munoz3.83
Other referees5.28

3.83 cards a match, 1.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1081120:8+1225WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1062216:14+220DLWDW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1026210:7+312DWDWD
10VillarrealVillarreal1033415:14+112WDLWW
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
12OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
14LevanteLevante1024416:19-310LWDDL
15ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano923412:20-89DDDWL
17GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
18EspanyolEspanyol1022612:14-28LLDLL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1020:825
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1016:1420
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9Celta VigoCelta Vigo1010:712
10VillarrealVillarreal1015:1412
11Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
12OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
13Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
14LevanteLevante1016:1910
15ElcheElche1014:1710
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano912:209
17GetafeGetafe105:159
18EspanyolEspanyol1012:148
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Racing Santander vs Elche forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Racing Santander and Elche in the La Liga table

Racing Santander and Elche are close in the La Liga table, 13th and 15th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Racing Santander 15-26, Elche 14-17. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.