Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC Prediction

TD Place Stadium, Ottawa 01/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.16
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-11.1%
Atlético Ottawa Rest
4 days
Cavalry FC Rest
4 days

Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC: result, form and history

Atlético Ottawa beat Cavalry FC 3-2 in the Canadian Premier League on 1 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Cavalry FC had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Atlético Ottawa.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.45
X
21%4.10
2
57%1.57
Double Chance
1X
43%2.15
X2
78%1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.51
No
41%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.7 = 2.86
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
61%1.45
Over 3.5
39%2.20
Under 1.5
19%5.06
Under 2.5
39%2.55
Under 3.5
61%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Eryk kobzaAssist: Ali Musse
43'Diego Gutiérrez
51'Harrison PatonFoul
57'Adam Pearlman
59'Kamron Habibullah
62'Harrison Paton INMichael Baldisimo out
73'Kamron Habibullah
76'Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau INAmaury Escoto out
76'Ballou Tabla ING. Antinoro out
77'Nathaniel Edwards INOwen Graham-Roache out
80'Goteh Ntignee
81'Goteh Ntignee
85'Ali Musse INMaël Henry out
85'Bradley kamdem INCurtis Ofori out
85'Adam Pearlman INNikolas myroniuk out
88'Diego Gutiérrez INJuan Castro out
90+4'Tobias WarschewskiAssist: Owen Graham-Roache
90+8'Michael Baldisimo
90+9'Tim Arnaud INReinaldo Abraham out
90+9'Emiliano·García INJean-Aniel Assi out
90+10'G. AntinoroAssist: Jean-Aniel Assi

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
4-2-3-1Coach: Gustavo Leal
Cavalry FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Tommy Wheeldon Jr.
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.44
C. Kalongo6.431C. Kalongo
T. Arnaud6.437T. Arnaud
J. Dunn-Johnson6.83J. Dunn-Johnson
Sergei Kozlovskiy6.484S. Kozlovskiy
Joaquim Coulanges6.320J. Coulanges
M. Aparicio6.710M. Aparicio
D. Gutiérrez6.66D. Gutiérrez
E. García6.27E. García
B. Tabla6.813B. Tabla
K. Habibullah8.630K. Habibullah
N. Fleuriau Chateau5.921N. Fleuriau Chateau
N. Ingham6.329N. Ingham
A. Pearlman6.416A. Pearlman
D. Klomp6.54D. Klomp
A. Didic6.655A. Didic
B. Kamdem6.25B. Kamdem
H. Paton6.38H. Paton
E. Kobza7.424E. Kobza
N. Edwards6.017N. Edwards
T. Warschewski7.79T. Warschewski
G. Ntignee6.120G. Ntignee
A. Musse7.07A. Musse

Atlético Ottawa Substitutes

11G. Antinoro76'for Ballou Tabla90+10'7.3
77R. Abraham90+9'for Tim Arnaud
14J. Assi90+9'for Emiliano·García6.7
2J. Castro88'for Diego Gutiérrez6.0
1T. Crampton
4T. Walker
9A. Escoto76'for Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau6.5

Cavalry FC Substitutes

6M. Baldisimo62'for Harrison Paton90+8'5.6
3C. Ofori85'for Bradley kamdem
28N. Myroniuk85'for Adam Pearlman5.9
21J. Holliday
18M. Henry85'for Ali Musse5.9
35Owen Graham-Roache77'for Nathaniel Edwards6.7
19Robert Owen Antoniuk

Match Stats

Atlético OttawaCavalry FC
63%Ball Possession37%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
7Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots3
9Fouls13
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
492Total Passes283
424Passes Accurate221
13Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
Cavalry FCCavalry FC
1519Elo Rating 1624
1.48Attack 2.91
1.79Defense 0.92
59%Hit Rate 41%
8.0Shots per Game 16.2
3.2Shots on Target 5.0
5.7Corners per Game 4.7
2.3Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Cavalry FCCavalry FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Cavalry FCCavalry FC4Wins · 40%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League22/08/2026
Cavalry FCAtlético Ottawa
31
Canadian Premier League04/07/2026
Atlético OttawaCavalry FC
03
Canadian Premier League12/04/2026
Cavalry FCAtlético Ottawa
31
Canadian Premier League09/11/2025
Atlético OttawaCavalry FC
2111
Canadian Premier League27/09/2025
Atlético OttawaCavalry FC
30
Canadian Premier League24/08/2025
Atlético OttawaCavalry FC
22
Canadian Premier League29/06/2025
Cavalry FCAtlético Ottawa
02
Canadian Premier League26/04/2025
Cavalry FCAtlético Ottawa
13
Canadian Premier League15/09/2024
Cavalry FCAtlético Ottawa
22
Canadian Premier League04/08/2024
Atlético OttawaCavalry FC
12

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlético Ottawa and Cavalry FC in the Canadian Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Cavalry FC are 1st in the Canadian Premier League, 17 points ahead of Atlético Ottawa in 3rd. League goal record so far: Atlético Ottawa 42-45, Cavalry FC 58-23. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cavalry FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.