Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC Prediction

Forge
3-3
Finished
HT 1-0
HFX Wanderers FC
Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-7.0%
Forge Rest
6 days
HFX Wanderers FC Rest
7 days

Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC: result, form and history

Forge and HFX Wanderers FC drew 3-3 in the Canadian Premier League on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Forge have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.45
X
21%4.17
2
15%5.70
Double Chance
1X
85%1.11
X2
36%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.72
No
46%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.24 + 0.93 = 3.17
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.64
Over 3.5
38%2.55
Under 1.5
20%4.29
Under 2.5
40%2.19
Under 3.5
62%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Lucas CavalliniAssist: Antoine Batisse
54'Goal cancelledM. Bourgeois
56'A. Reid INLiam MacKenzie out
60'D. NimickFoul
68'Penalty cancelledM. Bourgeois
69'Tristan Borges INNoah Jensen out
69'Jason Bahamboula INNelson Pierre out
78'Lucas Cavallini INIsmael Oketokoun Hassane out
78'aghilas sadek INLevonte Johnson out
78'D. NimickAssist: Noah Jensen
81'Nelson PierreAssist: Lorenzo Callegari
85'Finn Linder INYohan Bai out
85'S. Zitman INTavio Ciccarelli out
86'Miguel Arilla Guinot INFrancesco Troisi out
90'Ismael Oketokoun HassaneAssist: Noah Jensen
90+1'M. Bourgeois INDaniel Krutzen out
90+4'Liam MacKenzie
90+11'Card upgrade cancelledLiam MacKenzie
90+13'Tavio Ciccarelli
90+16'Manjrekar JamesFoul

Lineups

Forge
4-3-3Coach: Bobby Smyrniotis
HFX Wanderers FC
4-3-3Coach: V. Sartini
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.56
Dino Bontis5.936D. Bontis
R. Rama6.324R. Rama
D. Nimick6.85D. Nimick
5555M. James
B. Paton6.66B. Paton
T. Borges6.419T. Borges
A. Batisse7.58A. Batisse
A. Aromatario6.323A. Aromatario
M. Bourgeois6.487M. Bourgeois
L. Cavallini7.890L. Cavallini
A. Sadek6.526A. Sadek
M. Carducci5.91M. Carducci
Jefferson Alphonse6.321J. Alphonse
T. Meilleur-Giguère6.326T. Meilleur-Giguère
F. Linder6.22F. Linder
Kareem Sow6.216K. Sow
L. Callegari7.36L. Callegari
L. Olguin6.55L. Olguin
S. Zitman6.022S. Zitman
Miguel Arilla6.123M. Arilla
J. Bahamboula6.414J. Bahamboula
A. Reid7.011A. Reid

Forge Substitutes

4D. Krutzen90+1'for M. Bourgeois
3M. Jevremović
22N. Jensen69'for Tristan Borges7.0
33Cuba Grant
14L. Johnson78'for aghilas sadek6.7
17H. Massunda
7I. Oketokoun78'for Lucas Cavallini90'7.9

HFX Wanderers FC Substitutes

12S. Astridge
10Y. Baï85'for Finn Linder6.5
20Tavio Ciccarelli85'for S. Zitman90+13'8.1
4Jabu Deng
25Liam Mackenzie56'for A. Reid90+4'6.8
27N. Pierre69'for Jason Bahamboula81'7.4
17F. Troisi86'for Miguel Arilla Guinot6.1

Match Stats

ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards0
16Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots3
16Fouls11
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
416Total Passes397
362Passes Accurate340
11Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

ForgeForge
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
1630Elo Rating 1428
2.14Attack 1.92
2.31Defense 0.44
50%Hit Rate 0%
16.9Shots per Game 10.1
5.8Shots on Target 2.7
6.3Corners per Game 4.9
1.3Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+203 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ForgeForge
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ForgeForge7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League03/08/2026
HFX Wanderers FCForge
00
Canadian Premier League11/06/2026
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
10
Canadian Championship09/05/2026
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
40
Canadian Premier League02/05/2026
HFX Wanderers FCForge
13
Canadian Premier League06/09/2025
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
10
Canadian Premier League26/07/2025
HFX Wanderers FCForge
12
Canadian Premier League08/06/2025
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
21
Canadian Championship08/05/2025
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
31
Canadian Premier League03/05/2025
HFX Wanderers FCForge
00
Canadian Premier League14/09/2024
HFX Wanderers FCForge
30

Recent Form

ForgeForge
4W4D2L
27/09/2026
Vancouver FCForge
11
D
19/09/2026
Cavalry FCForge
11
D
16/09/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
10
W
13/09/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
30
W
06/09/2026
ForgeYork United
11
D
02/09/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
11
D
29/08/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
10
L
23/08/2026
ForgePacific FC
20
W
20/08/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
32
W
15/08/2026
Cavalry FCForge
21
L
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
3W1D6L

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Forge and HFX Wanderers FC in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Forge are 2nd and HFX Wanderers FC 7th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Forge 49-22, HFX Wanderers FC 44-50. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Forge have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.