Auda vs Super Nova Prediction

Auda
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Super Nova
Skonto stadions, Riga 29/08/2026
AudaAuda
1-1
Finished
Super NovaSuper Nova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Auda Rest
4 days
Super Nova Rest
7 days

Auda vs Super Nova: result, form and history

Auda and Super Nova drew 1-1 in the Virsliga on 29 Aug 2026. Auda had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Super Nova.

Auda have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.40
X
19%4.28
2
9%6.45
Double Chance
1X
91%1.07
X2
28%2.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.82
No
56%1.87
Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Ibrahima Ndiaye
18'Andrews AppiahAssist: Oskars Rubenis
39'Kristers Skadmanis INmilans tihonovics out
53'Sebastián Aranda
59'Valerijs lizunovsAssist: Bamba
63'Daniels Balodis INralfs kragliks out
63'Oskars Rubenis INroberts bocs out
66'Bamba INKristaps romanovs out
66'raivis kirss INgeorgijs bombans out
68'jegors cirulis
72'Youba Traore INJevgenijs Miņins out
77'Moussa ouedraogo
77'ivans patrikejevs
78'Mahamoud Fofana INkader kone out
78'J. Gerold INEduards Daskevics out
80'Valerijs lizunovs INAram baghdasaryan out

Lineups

Auda
4-1-4-1Coach: Didier Zanetti
Super Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Maksims Rafalskis
R. Stūriņš1R. Stūriņš
O. Rubenis71O. Rubenis
D. Balodis3D. Balodis
S. Aranda80S. Aranda
Youba Traore20Y. Traore
Mahamoud Fofana23M. Fofana
W. Fofana10W. Fofana
E. Bongemba8E. Bongemba
J. Gerold46J. Gerold
A. Appiah7A. Appiah
D. Veisbuks90D. Veisbuks
J. Cīrulis5J. Cīrulis
M. Ošs25M. Ošs
I. Ndiaye20I. Ndiaye
R. Iida3R. Iida
Kristers Skadmanis22K. Skadmanis
Bamba9Bamba
I. Patrikejevs8I. Patrikejevs
R. Ķiršs15R. Ķiršs

Auda Substitutes

12N. Aleksandrovs
21R. Bocs63'for Oskars Rubenis
17E. Dašķevičs78'for J. Gerold
25B. Diedhiou
42M. Fofana
47K. Kone78'for Mahamoud Fofana
6R. Kragliks63'for Daniels Balodis
77J. Miņins72'for Youba Traore
30Brian Peña

Super Nova Substitutes

18Mikus Vasilevskis
21M. Tihonovičs39'for Kristers Skadmanis
16K. Romanovs66'for Bamba
31T. Petrovics
7A. Glaudāns
17G. Bombans66'for raivis kirss
29A. Baghdasaryan80'replaced by Valerijs lizunovs

Team Comparison

AudaAuda
Super NovaSuper Nova
1601Elo Rating 1421
1.60Attack 0.66
1.53Defense 1.04
39%Hit Rate 19%
15.0Shots per Game 10.0
4.0Shots on Target 4.0
2.0Corners per Game 1.0
2.0Cards per Game 6.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+180 Elo

Game State Tendencies

AudaAuda
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AudaAuda8Wins · 80%
Draws220%
Super NovaSuper Nova0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga21/06/2026
Super NovaAuda
02
Virsliga01/05/2026
Super NovaAuda
12
Virsliga08/03/2026
AudaSuper Nova
21
Virsliga22/09/2025
AudaSuper Nova
32
Cup18/08/2025
AudaSuper Nova
3111
Virsliga01/07/2025
Super NovaAuda
01
Virsliga11/05/2025
Super NovaAuda
11
Virsliga16/03/2025
AudaSuper Nova
10
Virsliga02/09/2023
AudaSuper Nova
10
Virsliga25/06/2023
Super NovaAuda
05

Recent Form

AudaAuda
9W0D1L
25/08/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
10
W
21/08/2026
AudaTukums
30
W
17/08/2026
AudaGrobiņa
3222
W
13/08/2026
Dinamo TiranaAuda
40
L
09/08/2026
FS JelgavaAuda
01
W
04/08/2026
AudaDinamo Tirana
10
W
30/07/2026
AudaFCSB
41
W
26/07/2026
AudaBFC Daugavpils
10
W
23/07/2026
FCSBAuda
23
W
11/07/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
10
W
Super NovaSuper Nova
3W2D5L
22/08/2026
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
16/08/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
01
L
09/08/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
L
20/07/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
20
W
11/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
06/07/2026
Super NovaOgre United
12
L
01/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
25/06/2026
Super NovaFS Jelgava
15
L
21/06/2026
Super NovaAuda
02
L
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Auda vs Super Nova forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Auda and Super Nova in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, Auda are 3rd and Super Nova 6th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: Auda 57-35, Super Nova 32-50. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.