Super Nova vs Grobiņa Prediction

Super Nova
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Grobiņa
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 20/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-0.4%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalGOODModel33%SurpriseHighGap+7.1%
Super Nova Rest
9 days
Grobiņa Rest
8 days

Super Nova vs Grobiņa: the result in context

Super Nova beat Grobiņa 2-0 in the Virsliga on 20 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game. Grobiņa tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 1.0 for Super Nova.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.62
X
27%3.10
2
30%2.52
Double Chance
1X
70%1.42
X2
57%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.80
No
56%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.33
Over 2.5
38%2.07
Over 3.5
18%3.64
Under 1.5
36%3.00
Under 2.5
62%1.69
Under 3.5
82%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'J. RibeiroFoul
33'A. PuzirevskisFoul
39'M. OssFoul
59'BambaAssist: V. Lizunovs
61'A. Puzirevskis INA. Zjuzins out
65'M. Sidorovs INH. Yamada out
66'Bamba INR. Kirss out
75'J. Ribeiro INA. Aruna out
75'D. Sirbu INA. Kholod out
75'K. Rupeiks ING. Kluskins out
77'A. Glaudans INA. Grikovs out
82'V. LizunovsFoul
87'I. Patrikejevs INK. Skadmanis out
90+3'V. LizunovsAssist: K. Skadmanis

Team Comparison

Super NovaSuper Nova
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1421Elo Rating 1379
0.66Attack 1.23
1.04Defense 1.67
19%Hit Rate 27%
10.0Shots per Game 21.0
4.0Shots on Target 6.0
1.0Corners per Game 9.0
6.0Cards per Game 1.0

Game State Tendencies

Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Super NovaSuper Nova3Wins · 43%
Draws457%
GrobiņaGrobiņa0Wins · 0%
1.4Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

Virsliga20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
Virsliga09/04/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
01
Virsliga18/10/2025
GrobiņaSuper Nova
00
Virsliga26/07/2025
Super NovaGrobiņa
00
Virsliga26/05/2025
GrobiņaSuper Nova
11
Virsliga10/04/2025
Super NovaGrobiņa
11
1. Liga29/08/2021
Super NovaGrobiņa
21

Recent Form

Super NovaSuper Nova
3W1D6L
11/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
06/07/2026
Super NovaOgre United
12
L
01/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
25/06/2026
Super NovaFS Jelgava
15
L
21/06/2026
Super NovaAuda
02
L
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D
12/06/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
L
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
L
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
L
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
W
GrobiņaGrobiņa
4W1D5L
12/07/2026
MārupeGrobiņa
01
W
05/07/2026
GrobiņaTukums
31
W
29/06/2026
FS JelgavaGrobiņa
20
L
25/06/2026
GrobiņaAuda
10
W
20/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
10
L
16/06/2026
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
10
W
13/06/2026
GrobiņaRīgas FS
13
L
29/05/2026
RigaGrobiņa
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Super Nova vs Grobiņa forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Super Nova and Grobiņa in the Virsliga table

Super Nova and Grobiņa are close in the Virsliga table, 6th and 8th, with 9 points between them. League goal record so far: Super Nova 32-50, Grobiņa 27-61. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.