Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

Ogre United
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Ogre United Rest
6 days
BFC Daugavpils Rest
7 days

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils: the result in context

BFC Daugavpils beat Ogre United 4-0 in the Virsliga on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ogre United tend to win more corners, 10.0 a game to 3.0 for BFC Daugavpils.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.76
X
21%3.65
2
53%1.76
Double Chance
1X
47%1.91
X2
74%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.62
No
56%2.11
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.66
Over 3.5
19%2.70
Under 1.5
37%4.00
Under 2.5
61%2.08
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'R. SkrebelsFoul
17'A. TraoreAssist: D. Kivinda
45+4'K. CudarsUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'E. Evelons INV. Mashchenko out
54'D. KivindaAssist: A. Traore
58'A. TraoreFoul
62'M. Lormanis IND. Vejkrigers out
62'M. Kalnins INT. Marusiy out
74'J. Yakubu INZ. Ouled-Haj-M'hand out
74'D. Kivinda IND. Ayebadiepreye out
74'A. Marchuk INM. Ivulans out
77'A. TraoreAssist: Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
82'L. Estevez Fernandez INM. Pacepko out
84'E. PinaskinsAssist: A. Traore
87'E. Pinaskins INA. Saveljevs out

Team Comparison

Ogre UnitedOgre United
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1342Elo Rating 1510
1.24Attack 1.30
1.29Defense 2.03
19%Hit Rate 50%
16.0Shots per Game 7.0
7.0Shots on Target 5.0
10.0Corners per Game 3.0
1.0Cards per Game 0.0

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Ogre UnitedOgre United0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils2Wins · 100%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Virsliga21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
Virsliga07/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
21

Recent Form

Ogre UnitedOgre United
4W1D5L
12/07/2026
Valmiera / BSSOgre United
2242
W
06/07/2026
Super NovaOgre United
12
W
30/06/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
40
L
26/06/2026
Ogre UnitedTukums
32
W
22/06/2026
Rīgas FSOgre United
60
L
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
W
13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
14
L
30/05/2026
AudaOgre United
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
L
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
4W4D2L
11/07/2026
Riga MarinersBFC Daugavpils
5363
W
04/07/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
31
W
30/06/2026
Rīgas FSBFC Daugavpils
31
L
25/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRiga
00
D
20/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
10
W
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D
12/06/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
01
L
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: BFC Daugavpils are 4th in the Virsliga, while Ogre United sit 10th, 30 points behind. League goal record so far: Ogre United 34-85, BFC Daugavpils 40-37. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.