FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja Prediction

FS Jelgava
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
FK Liepaja
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseHighGap+9.8%
FS Jelgava Rest
6 days
FK Liepaja Rest
3 days

FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja: the result in context

FK Liepaja beat FS Jelgava 2-0 in the Virsliga on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.00
X
26%3.33
2
37%2.10
Double Chance
1X
63%-
X2
63%-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.56
No
56%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.19
Over 2.5
38%1.69
Over 3.5
19%2.69
Under 1.5
36%3.95
Under 2.5
62%2.02
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'E. Oloko
24'J. NovikovsFoul
27'A. OgunniyiAssist: A. Haidara
46'J. Novikovs INA. Petersons out
46'R. Melkis INR. Becers out
46'E. Rodolphe INA. Korobenko out
53'V. SorokinsFoul
57'E. OlokoFoul
66'D. Patijcuks INK. Leidsman out
75'A. Haidara INA. Leite out
75'A. Ogunniyi IND. Gueye out
80'F. Hasek ING. Patika out
80'M. Pudil INA. Janovskis out
84'T. Rataj INA. Dreimanis out
84'V. Isajevs INK. Iljins out
85'R. BecersFoul
86'D. OssDelay of game
88'L. StrumiaFoul

Team Comparison

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1390Elo Rating 1499
0.46Attack 1.36
0.94Defense 2.13
0%Hit Rate 23%
-Shots per Game 18.0
-Shots on Target 5.0
-Corners per Game 9.0
-Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava0Wins · 0%
Draws550%
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja5Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
Virsliga12/04/2026
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
11
Virsliga25/10/2025
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
22
Virsliga02/08/2025
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
12
Virsliga30/05/2025
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
01
Virsliga14/04/2025
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
10
Virsliga03/11/2024
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
22
Virsliga10/08/2024
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
30
Cup14/07/2024
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
24
Virsliga02/06/2024
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FS Jelgava and FK Liepaja in the Virsliga table

FK Liepaja and FS Jelgava are close in the Virsliga table, 5th and 7th, with 15 points between them. League goal record so far: FS Jelgava 34-57, FK Liepaja 46-46. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.